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An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle

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Lucas,, Robert E.·1975·Journal of Political Economy

Abstract

This paper develops a theoretical example of a business cycle, that is, a model economy in which real output undergoes serially correlated movements about trend which are not explainable by movements in the availability of factors of production. The mechanism generating these movements involves unsystematic monetary-fiscal shocks, the effects of which are distributed through time due to information lags and an accelerator effect. Associated with these output movements are procyclical movements in prices, procyclical movements in the share of output devoted to investment, and, in a somewhat limited sense, procyclical movements in nominal rates of interest.

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Metadata

Authors
Lucas
Venue
Journal of Political Economy
Published
1975-12
Volume
83
Issue
6
Pages
1113-1144
ISSN
  • 0022-3808 (ISSN-L)
  • 1537-534X
OpenAlex
W2107848170
Cited by
1,026
References
0
FWCI
37.54
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1086/260386
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Lucas. (1975). An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle. Journal of Political Economy. https://doi.org/10.1086/260386

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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.