The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums
Open accessAbstract
This paper provides an analysis of the predictable components of monthly common stock and bond portfolio returns. Most of the predictability is associated with sensitivity to economic variables in a rational asset pricing model with multiple betas. The stock market risk premimum is the most important for capturing predictable variation of the stock portfolios, while premiums associated with interest rate risks capture predictability of the bond returns. Time variation in the premium for beta risk is more important than changes in the betas.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*
Sharpe, W. F. (1964) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x · Cited by 19,441
Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work
Fama, E. F. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.2307/2325486 · Cited by 13,635
Cited by
FAMA, E. F. (1991) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04636.x · Cited by 5,350
… and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns
Harvey, C. R., Liu, Y., & Zhu, H. (2016) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhv059 · Cited by 2,119
Self-citationInvestor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns
Huang, D., Jiang, F., Tu, J., & Zhou, G. (2015) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhu080 · Cited by 1,123
Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets
Harvey, C. R. (1995) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/8.3.773 · Cited by 982
Self-citationConditioning variables and the cross-section of stock returns
Ferson, W. E., & Harvey, C. R. (1999) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00148 · Cited by 839
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Ferson, W. E., & Harvey, C. R.
- Venue
- Journal of Political Economy
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1991-04
- Volume
- 99
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 385-415
- ISSN
- 0022-3808 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-534X
- OpenAlex
- W2006808353
- Cited by
- 1,732
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 52.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1086/261755
- The paper
- Ferson, W. E., & Harvey, C. R. (1991). The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums. Journal of Political Economy. https://doi.org/10.1086/261755
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.