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The Extent of Measurement Error in Longitudinal Earnings Data: Do Two Wrongs Make a Right?
Abstract
This article examines the properties and prevalence of measurement error in longitudinal earnings data. The analysis compares matched Current Population Survey data to administrative Social Security payroll tax records. In contrast to typically assumed properties of measurement error, the results indicate that errors are serially correlated over 2 years and negatively correlated with true earnings (i.e., mean reverting). In a cross section, the ratio of the variance of the signal to the total variance is .82 for men and .92 for women. These ratios fall to .65 and .81 when the data are specified in first differences. Longitudinal earnings data may be more reliable than previously believed.
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Citations
Cited by
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Angrist, J. D., & Krueger, A. B. (1999) · Handbook of Labor Economics · doi:10.1016/s1573-4463(99)03004-7 · Cited by 1,628
Self-citationThe Macroeconomics of Low Inflation
Akerlof, G. A., Dickens, W. T., Perry, G. L., Gordon, R. J., & Mankiw, N. G. (1996) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · doi:10.2307/2534646 · Cited by 1,200
Life-Cycle Variation in the Association between Current and Lifetime Earnings
Haider, S., & Solon, G. (2006) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.96.4.1308 · Cited by 744
Income Variance Dynamics and Heterogeneity
Meghir, C., & Pistaferri, L. (2004) · Econometrica · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00476.x · Cited by 622
The Transitional Costs of Sectoral Reallocation: Evidence From the Clean Air Act and the Workforce*
Walker, W. R. (2013) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qjt022 · Cited by 506
Metadata
- Authors
- Bound, J., & Krueger, A. B.
- Venue
- Journal of Labor Economics
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1991-01
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-24
- ISSN
- 0734-306X (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5307
- OpenAlex
- W1987296535
- Cited by
- 513
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 9.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Bound, J., & Krueger, A. B. (1991). The Extent of Measurement Error in Longitudinal Earnings Data: Do Two Wrongs Make a Right? Journal of Labor Economics. https://doi.org/10.1086/298256
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