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Evidence for a wavier jet stream in response to rapid Arctic warming
Open accessAbstract
New metrics and evidence are presented that support a linkage between rapid Arctic warming, relative to Northern hemisphere mid-latitudes, and more frequent high-amplitude (wavy) jet-stream configurations that favor persistent weather patterns. We find robust relationships among seasonal and regional patterns of weaker poleward thickness gradients, weaker zonal upper-level winds, and a more meridional flow direction. These results suggest that as the Arctic continues to warm faster than elsewhere in response to rising greenhouse-gas concentrations, the frequency of extreme weather events caused by persistent jet-stream patterns will increase.
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Cited by
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Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather
Cohen, J., Zhang, X., Francis, J., Jung, T., Kwok, R., Overland, J., Ballinger, T. J., Bhatt, U. S., Chen, H. W., Coumou, D., et al. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y · Cited by 802
Self-citationArctic amplification is caused by sea-ice loss under increasing CO2
Dai, A., Luo, D., Song, M., & Liu, J. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-07954-9 · Cited by 659
Consistency and discrepancy in the atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice loss across climate models
Screen, J. A., Deser, C., Smith, D. M., Zhang, X., Blackport, R., Kushner, P. J., Oudar, T., McCusker, K. E., & Sun, L. (2018) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0059-y · Cited by 382
Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to the changing Arctic
Overland, J. E., Dethloff, K., Francis, J. A., Hall, R. J., Hanna, E., Kim, S.-J., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G., & Vihma, T. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3121 · Cited by 371
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Metadata
- Authors
- Francis, J. A., & Vavrus, S. J.
- Venue
- Environmental Research Letters
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2015-01-01
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 014005
- ISSN
- 1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2140273663
- Cited by
- 651
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 42.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Francis, J. A., & Vavrus, S. J. (2015). Evidence for a wavier jet stream in response to rapid Arctic warming. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014005
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
