Fine-scale vegetation composition and structure shape spatiotemporal variation in surface albedo across a low Arctic tundra landscape
Open accessAbstract
The unprecedented rate of warming in the Arctic is driving changes in the structure and composition of tundra vegetation. Increases in deciduous tall shrub cover, height, and density are of particular concern, as these changes alter local surface albedo in ways that could amplify effects on the regional surface energy budget (SEB). Despite this importance, significant uncertainties remain in understanding the interplay between fine-scale vegetation patterns and emergent albedo dynamics across space and time. Here, we address these uncertainties by (1) quantifying spatiotemporal variation in surface shortwave albedo and (2) determining the relative influence of fine-scale vegetation composition, structure, and environmental conditions on albedo across a representative low-Arctic tundra landscape on Alaska’s Seward Peninsula. To do this, we synthesized multi-scale, multi-platform remote sensing observations, including a novel Landsat-derived albedo time series, a fine-scale map of Arctic plant functional type (PFT) fractional cover, and airborne LiDAR estimates of canopy height and topography. We show that there are substantial reductions in winter albedo for pixels dominated by tall, woody PFTs (28.13%) relative to pixels dominated by non-woody vegetation, but almost no change in summer albedo (3% increase). Further, we identified a unimodal trend in the relationship between canopy height and the timing of the springtime transition from high (snowy) to low (leafy) albedo (peak at 5.5 m), possibly because of competing ‘snow-fence’ and ‘protrusion’ snow-shrub interactions. To explore the primary drivers of albedo, we constructed a random forest model and found that canopy height and the fractional cover of woody PFTs were as- or more important predictors of winter albedo than topographic features. These findings provide strong evidence for the impacts of local vegetation characteristics on regional surface albedo, highlighting the need for better quantification of snow-shrub interactions to accurately predict the Arctic’s SEB under future environmental change.
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Tundra greening has far-reaching impacts on Arctic landscapes, wildlife habitats, biodiversity, permafrost conditions, and the livelihood of Arctic people, with implications for global climate and the carbon cycle.
“Tundra greening has far-reaching impacts to Arctic landscapes, wildlife habitats, biodiversity, permafrost conditions, and the livelihood of Arctic people, with implications for global climate and the carbon cycle.”
From NOAA Arctic Report Card 2025: Tundra Greenness (2025) · cites this paper as Shuman et al. 2025
The Introduction links shrubification to Arctic greening and describes effects on permafrost and land–atmosphere interactions. The Conclusions say its effects on albedo have implications for carbon cycling and global climate. The paper does not address the claimed impacts on wildlife habitats, biodiversity, or Arctic people’s livelihoods. (LLM, conf=0.88)
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NOAA Arctic Report Card 2025: Tundra Greenness
Frost, G. V., Macander, M. J., Bhatt, U. S., Berner, L. T., Assmann, J. J., Bartsch, A., & Bjerke, J. W. (2025) · NOAA Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing Program · doi:10.25923/0k84-kn78 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
- Authors
- Shuman, I. N. C., Serbin, S. P., Erb, A. M., Schaaf, C. B., & Yang, D.
- Affiliations
- Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (US)
- Goddard Space Flight Center (US)
- University of Massachusetts Boston (US)
- Venue
- Environmental Research: Ecology
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2025-10-10
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 045001
- ISSN
- 2752-664X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4414141642
- Cited by
- 1
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1
- FWCI
- 0.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Environmental Research Ecology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- NASA Earth Sciences Division (80NSSC22K1296, 80NCSSC18K0479, 80NSSC21K1906)
- U.S. Geological Survey (140G0118C0010)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Climate change and permafrost
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Remote Sensing in Agriculture
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Cryospheric studies and observations
- Keywords
- surface albedo, Arctic tundra, plant functional types, canopy height, surface energy balance, shortwave albedo, woody vegetation cover, Seward Peninsula
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