The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 60 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.
West Africa's International Drug Trade
Open accessAbstract
Since the publication in 2007 of a report on West Africa's role in the illegal cocaine trade from Latin America to Europe, considerable media attention has focused on Guinea-Bissau in particular as a country infiltrated by drug interests. However, West Africa has a long history of involvement in the international drug trade, that has been dominated by Nigerian interests especially. Consideration of this history may help stimulate a debate in historical sociology that will illuminate both the nature of involvement in the drug trade itself, and also larger questions about the long-term formation of the state.
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58 Sources not found · 28 Own interpretation · 25 No basis given · 2 Not checked yet
In the paper
“Research by the present author shows that Lebanese smugglers were using West Africa as a transit point to transport heroin to the USA as early as 1952.9”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites US National Archives and Records Administration [NARA II], Maryland, RG 84
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In the paper
“By the early 1980s, some had graduated to the global cocaine and heroin business.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
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In the paper
“Very large shipments of cocaine from South America to West Africa have been recorded for the last ten years.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
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In the paper
“A small market for cocaine soon emerged in Nigeria itself, to the extent that a Nigerian newspaper in 1983 reported the existence of what it called 'a tiny cocaine world' in fashionable Lagos society.38”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [38]
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In the paper
“In 1966, Nigeria's first military government took this problem seriously enough to decree ten-year jail terms for persons found guilty of exporting cannabis, although it is not clear that anyone was actually convicted under the terms of this legislation.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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In the paper
“It was in this context that the first reports emerged of locally grown cannabis being exported from Nigeria to Europe in significant quantities.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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In the paper
“In Nigeria at least, little social stigma was attached to people who simply transported them from one part of the world to another in an effort to earn a living.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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In the paper
“By the mid-1950s, there were occasional arrests of farmers in south-west Nigeria for growing cannabis, 15 and small quantities of locally grown marijuana were being shipped from the region to Europe and the USA.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites National Archives, Ibadan, Ekiti Div 1/1, 1085
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In the paper
“However, the reputation of Nigeria in particular soon changed, to the extent that, by 1985, British customs agents were said to be systematically searching, and sometimes strip-searching, Nigerians entering the country.37”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [37]
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In the paper
“Also in 1983, Thailand witnessed its first known case of a Nigerian convicted of possessing heroin.36”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [36]
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In the paper
“Significantly, among Nigerians arrested for smuggling cannabis in 1972 were pilgrims travelling to Saudi Arabia for the hajj.24”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [24]
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In the paper
“Whatever the exact origin, it is certainly the case that, in the early 1980s, there were already individual West Africansoverwhelmingly Nigerians, plus a few Ghanaians -who were settling in the main areas of narcotics supply.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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In the paper
“Early West African marijuana traffickers seem to have been mostly individuals travelling by air to the United Kingdom in particular, carrying relatively small quantities of the drug hidden in their personal baggage or in cargo.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“By the mid-1950s, there were occasional arrests of farmers in south-west Nigeria for growing cannabis, 15 and small quantities of locally grown marijuana were being shipped from the region to Europe and the USA.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“The first documented use of West Africa as a staging post for heroin smuggling dates from 1952, when US officials noted that parcels of the drug were being transported by a Lebanese syndicate from Beirut to New York via Kano and Accra, using couriers on commercial airlines.17”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Erwin P. Keeler to Department of State, 4 December 1952
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In the paper
“It is therefore interesting to note that, in the 1980s, Saudi Arabia already figured prominently on the list of countries where Nigerians had been arrested for drug offences, in third place behind the USA and the United Kingdom.25”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [25]
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In the paper
“By the end of 1987, BCCI had no less than 33 branches in Nigeria.47”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [47]
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In the paper
“In Nigeria, later to emerge as the hub of West Africa's illicit drugs trade, the colonial authorities in 1934 were experimenting with the cultivation of the coca plant in the botanical gardens in Calabar and at various other stations in the south of the country.14”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites National Archives, Ibadan, Oyo Prof 1/1321
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In the paper
“It was also during the Babangida period that the Bank of Credit and Commerce International, which had arrived in Nigeria in 1979, became integrated into a practice of financial corruption and money laundering that was 'systemic and endemic'.46”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [46]
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In the paper
“A significant case from the early period of West African marijuana trafficking concerns the conviction by a court in the United Kingdom of a 33-yearold Nigerian woman, Iyabo Olorunkoya, found guilty in 1974 of importing 78 kilograms of marijuana.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Sunday Times (Lagos), 10 March 1974
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The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This too appears to have been largely the work of individual Nigerian and Ghanaian traders, who penetrated the international narcotics market with extraordinary speed.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Those who went abroad in search of new sources of income tended not to be the poorest members of society -generally people from rural areas or without education -but rather those who had lived in towns and, being relatively well educated, spoke good English and were familiar with the workings of state bureaucracies.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The West African trade route to these destinations appears to have been largely in the hands of people from southern Nigeria from its inception.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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In the paper
“In 2003, a massive cargo of 7.5 tonnes of cocaine was intercepted on a ship en route to Spain via Cape Verde and Senegal.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [100]
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In the paper
“On 31 January 2008, 2.4 tonnes of cocaine were on board the Blue Atlantic when it was intercepted by the French navy off the Liberian coast, en route to Nigeria.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [104]
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In the paper
“In early 2008, Malian authorities seized 750 kilos of cocaine at Tin Zawatine in the middle of the Sahara.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [119]
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In the paper
“The first recorded case of a Nigerian smuggler transporting heroin in bulk is that of Joe Brown Akubueze, who imported some 250 kilograms of heroin from Thailand by sea, packed in water coolers, in December 1993.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [97]
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In the paper
“From the late 1990s, there were growing reports of 'very large consignments' of drugs heading to West Africa 'by ship or commercial containers', according to a police officer working for the UN.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [98]
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In the paper
“In the Niger Delta, the home of Nigerian oil, local militias smuggling crude oil to tankers moored offshore are paid not only with cash and weapons, but also with cocaine.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [118]
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In the paper
“Nigerian middlemen are also playing a leading role in the development of a trans-Saharan route for smuggling cocaine into Europe, using Tuareg guides.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Nigeria's drug police, the NDLEA, was reported to have seized no less than 14.2 tonnes of cocaine located in a container on a ship, the MSV Floriana, berthed at Lagos's Tin Can Island port.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [108]
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, West Africa has a long history of involvement in the international drug trade, that has been dominated by Nigerian interests especially.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Smuggling is widely tolerated, law enforcement is fitful and inefficient, and politicians are easily bribed or are even involved in the drug trade themselves.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [11] 11. Green, Drugs, Trafficking, p. 48.
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In the paper
“Latin American traders who see some benefit in moving part of their operations to West Africa can find local partners with well-established networks who provide them with safe houses, banking, storage space, and a host of other facilities in return for a suitable financial arrangement or for payment in kind.10”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [10] 10. Nnamdi Obasi, 'Drug trafficking', Weekend Concord, 1 June 1991.
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In the paper
“Not only is West Africa conveniently situated for trade between South America and Europe, but above all it has a political and social environment that is generally suitable for the drug trade.11”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [11] 11. Green, Drugs, Trafficking, p. 48.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“A major change in the global cocaine trade is taking place.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“These factors have induced them to make a strategic shift towards the European market, making use of West Africa's conducive political environment and the existence of well-developed West African smuggling networks.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“Not only is West Africa conveniently situated for trade between South America and Europe, but above all it has a political and social environment that is generally suitable for the drug trade.11”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [11] 11. Green, Drugs, Trafficking, p. 48.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Nigerian traders especially were truly global.They took over heroin retailing in Moscow.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
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In the paper
“His period in government is recognized as having marked a transformation in Nigeria's already notorious corruption, turning it into a generalized instrument of government.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [43]
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In the paper
“US authorities reportedly arrested 851 Nigerians for drug offences between 1984 and 1989, and reckoned that 55 percent of the heroin arriving at New York's John F. Kennedy airport was being carried by Nigerians.51”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [51]
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In the paper
“The smuggling of relatively small quantities of marijuana by individual traders, some of whom may have had connections to senior officials, was the precursor of the narcotics trade that emerged on a much larger scale in the early 1980s.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
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In the paper
“They found that of the 83 Nigerian passengers using this route during that period, no fewer than 63 were carrying drugs.76”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [76]
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In the paper
“Yet a pioneering article published in African Affairs in 2005 by the historian Emmanuel Akyeampong 13 pointed out that a small trade in cannabis products from West Africa existed in the first half of the twentieth century.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Emmanuel Akyeampong
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“One of the striker's most important tasks is the recruitment of couriers, and one of the features of the Nigerian system that makes effective police detection so difficult is that the use of independent specialists provides a vital cut-out between the top level of operation and the humble courier.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In the general atmosphere of corruption and manipulation that characterized General Babangida's years as head of state, from 1985 to 1993, the country's role in the global narcotics trade grew.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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In the paper
“By 1988, some 2,000 Nigerians were reported to be serving sentences for drug offences abroad.50”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [50]
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hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The drug connection was already becoming a factor in Nigerian politics.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The Nigerian drug trade is characterized by a distinctive business structure that has developed over decades, and which gives depth to the emerging cooperation with traders from other countries and continents.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“According to a statement attributed to the deputy director-general of the Ministry of External Affairs, Nigerians were the leading nationality arrested for drug offences in India, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Thailand.54”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [54]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Crucial to the success of Nigerian drug traders is their highly flexible mode of operation, as those involved constantly form and re-form their business relationships from among a wide pool of acquaintances.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The transport of illegal drugs by Nigerians to the Middle East, including under cover of the hajj, is far more likely to involve people of northern Nigerian origin than the North Atlantic trade, given the historic links between northern Nigeria and the Muslim world.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It is likely that some at least is sold on or bartered in the complex international trade in oil, arms and drugs that is now connecting centres all along the Gulf of Guinea, from Luanda to Dakar.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
hedgedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“In short, '[i]llegality generates competitive advantages in the countries or regions that have the weakest rule of law'.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [124]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
None of the sources cited for this claim could be matched to a paper in Crossref, so there is nothing to check it against.
In the paper
“When the executive director of the UNODC, Antonio Maria Costa, sounds an alarm about the risk of drug money 'perverting economies and rotting society' 127 and of drug profits possibly financing insurgency, 128 he is really describing an existing state of affairs rather than some future nightmare.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [127]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not matchedcites [128]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
boosted- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Ghana, often seen by donors as a 'virtuous' state (high growth rate, freedom of speech, and democratic politics), has been extensively penetrated by drug money.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“A more important reason for this development, which has been taking place for over a decade, is the exceptionally favourable political context offered by ineffective policing, governments that have a reputation for venality, and the relative lack of international attention given to West Africa.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [122]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Rests on an assumption: A pliable sovereign state is the ideal cover for a drug trafficker.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Their success, and their growing ability to cooperate with organized crime groups elsewhere in the world, is inextricably linked not only to globalization and new patterns of international migration, 131 but also to specific experiences of rapid economic liberalization in the late twentieth century.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [131]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Subsequently, the manner in which new financial and economic policies were implemented in West Africa in the 1980s contributed greatly to the formation of what has been called 'a shadow state', in which rulers draw authority 'from their abilities to control markets and their material rewards'.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [132]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“West African traders, with Nigerians in the forefront, have created for themselves an important role in a business characterized by competition that is cut-throatliterally -and by high profits.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
In the paper
“Drug production is not primarily to be explained by prices, but by reference to 'institutions, governability and social values'.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [125]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Political upheavals, infighting between rival security forces, and attempted coups in Guinea-Bissau throughout 2008 testify to the effect of the drug trade on the country's politics.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [113]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
In the paper
“The UNODC has pointed out 122 that the relocation of a substantial part of the Latin American cocaine business to West Africa, including even some senior management functions, is not best understood as a consequence simply of comparative advantage in pricing.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [122]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Not matched
- It may state two separate claims as one. 34
- Probably not a substantial claim. 26
In the paper
“Some leading Latin American cocaine traders are even physically relocating to West Africa 5 and moving a considerable part of their business operations to a more congenial location, just as any multinational company might do in the world of legal business.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites David Blair, 'Special report: West Africa welcomes Latin America's drug barons', Daily Telegraph
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Since then, successful Nigerian and Ghanaian drug traders have established themselves in most parts of the world, including other West African countries, where they work with local partners in Benin, C ôte d'Ivoire and elsewhere.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In general, the reaction of the Nigerian public was not favourable to the severe penalties decreed by General Buhari's military government.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“A coup on 31 December 1983 brought to power the austere General Muhammadu Buhari, who justified his assumption of power, in the customary manner, with the claim that he was going to clean up corruption in Nigeria with military rigour.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“They developed the technique of swallowing cocaine and heroin sealed in condoms, soon to become a hallmark of the West African carrying trade.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Within months, the new military junta introduced a decree making drug trafficking punishable by death, and by the end of 1984 a number of minor drug smugglers had been publicly executed by firing squad in Lagos.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Most West African countries, in financial difficulties as a result of the global convulsions of the period and their own profligacy in earlier, more favourable times, were obliged to borrow money from the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank and to undergo the process of economic liberalization known as structural adjustment.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Another coup in August 1985 introduced a less stringent regime.The new head of state, General Ibrahim Babangida, revoked the death penalty as a punishment for drug trafficking and replaced it with life imprisonment.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“When BCCI subsequently collapsed, in what was then the world's biggest-ever bank failure, the full extent of its criminal dealings became known.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“That year, US authorities arrested 21 Nigerians for narcotics offences, with figures rising rapidly thereafter.33”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [33]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“A similar pattern emerged in Europe, where an official of the West German Interior Ministry reportedly stated in 1983 that Hamburg was importing significant quantities of drugs from West Africa, including one and a half tonnes from Ghana (presumably of marijuana), and that a ship from Nigeria carrying cocaine, heroin, and marijuana had also docked there.34”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [34]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Among the many scandals of the Babangida years was the murder by parcel-bomb of the newspaper editor Dele Giwa.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This required deep cuts in public expenditure and the sacking of public employees.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Nigerian smugglers were sending heroin by air courier from Pakistan to Nigeria, where it was repackaged and reexported to the USA.30”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [30]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Years later, when Nigeria staged its own truth commission, one of the country's leading human rights lawyers and one of its most senior journalists jointly petitioned the members of the Human Rights Violations Investigation Commission, popularly called the 'Oputa Panel', requesting this body to charge General Babangida and others with murder.45”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [45]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The 1980s were years of rapid economic decline in West Africa, including in Nigeria, the region's only major oil producer at that time, where problems were compounded by the corruption and incompetence of the civilian government in office from 1979 to 1983.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The UNODC has given higher figures, reporting that the Spanish and British navies seized 9.9 tonnes of cocaine on five ships in international waters off West Africa in 2006”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [106]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Throughout the region, the Latin Americans' key local partners are often Nigerian drug traffickers who have longstanding connections in South America, and who are paid for their logistical services with cocaine in lots of up to 200 kilograms.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Chinese crime gangs have a long history in Africa.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [136]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
In the paper
“According to Ghanaian law-enforcement officers, many of the country's politicians have interests in the drug trade, and some of Accra's impressive building boom is being financed with the proceeds of drug deals.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [115]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Thus, in December 2006, 32 cocaine mules travelling from Guinea-Conakry via Morocco were arrested at Amsterdam airport.No fewer than 28 of the 32 were Nigerians.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [114]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“A US investigation codenamed Operation Titan unravelled a Lebanese-dominated syndicate that linked members of the Lebanese diasporas in North and South America and Nigeria with partners in their Mediterranean homeland, together involved in the transport of hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of merchandise to the USA.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [121]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Liberia, to name just one example, was already a fully criminalized state under Charles Taylor, the country's head of state from 1997 to 2003.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
In the paper
“He lists the total seizures in West Africa of cocaine as going from 1.2 tonnes in 2005 to 4.3 tonnes in the first seven months of 2007.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [105]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“South American cocaine traders are reacting against the saturation of the North American market, the growing importance of Mexican drug gangs, and effective interdiction along the Caribbean smuggling routes.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“However, West Africa has a long history of involvement in the international drug trade, that has been dominated by Nigerian interests especially.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
In the paper
“Smuggling is widely tolerated, law enforcement is fitful and inefficient, and politicians are easily bribed or are even involved in the drug trade themselves.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [11] 11. Green, Drugs, Trafficking, p. 48.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Smuggling is widely tolerated, law enforcement is fitful and inefficient, and politicians are easily bribed or are even involved in the drug trade themselves.”
§ DRUG TRADE > Abstract
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [11] 11. Green, Drugs, Trafficking, p. 48.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By the mid-1990s, thus, some Nigerian drug traffickers in particular had not only developed the means to invest in bulk shipments of narcotics, but had also become fully global, having business associates in both producing and consuming countries as well as other facilities in countries outside Nigeria.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“In the words of a senior Nigerian drug law-enforcement officer, 83 a Nigerian drug baron requires at least three assets.First, he, or she, needs to be able to buy drugs cheaply at source.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [83]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“While General Buhari's decree of the death penalty for drug trafficking was regarded by many Nigerians as too severe, his campaign against crime and corruption seriously threatened the interests of some in the military, including the small group with interests in the drug trade.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Whether imposed by the international financial institutions or from domestic necessity, drastic reductions in public budgets plunged many people into acute financial difficulty, and this was undoubtedly an incentive to some to make money by any means possible.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Scrutiny of arrest figures suggests that the Colombian drug cartels, reacting to the saturation of the US market, had begun seeking relationships with West African traders even by the late 1980s, 56 interested in using the West Africans' highly developed marketing channels as a way of penetrating new areas, notably in Europe.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [56]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It was indeed a critical moment in West Africa's insertion into global patterns of crime, even if Nigeria in particular had developed a role in the international marijuana trade well before the financial crisis of the early 1980s.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“'Prior to 1982', the US embassy in Lagos stated, 'Nigerians played an insignificant role in the marketing of narcotics and dangerous drugs in the United States.' 32”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites US embassy in Lagos
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Generally speaking, however, the roots of West Africa's emergence as a major transit point for a more broadly based trade in illegal drugs may be traced to the 1960s.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The great advantage of West African smugglers in the early days of this trade was that European and North American law-enforcement officers were not expecting heroin and cocaine to be imported from West Africa, since it was not a producing area.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
None of the sources cited for this claim could be matched to a paper in Crossref, so there is nothing to check it against.
In the paper
“In 1991, Nigeria's own Ministry of Justice reported that 15,433 Nigerians had been arrested worldwide for drug offences since 1984.52 Of these, 4,802 had been convicted.53”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [52]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not matchedcites [53]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Nigeria became more than ever a literal kleptocracy, a system of government by theft and bribery.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The origins of the West African drug trade
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
In the paper
“In March 1998, the US government described Nigeria as 'the hub of African narcotics trafficking', noting also 'traffickers' expansion into bulk shipments into Nigeria's neighbours'.70”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [70]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In retrospect, this was an early indicator of a move towards very large shipments by air and sea, although the classic Nigerian courier trade still remains as strong as ever.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
plaincorrelationalSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“There is a general consensus among those who have attempted this that the Nigerian narcotics trade is dominated by Igbo people.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
boosted- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“West Africa's 'shadow states' are thus relatively new, but they draw heavily on older traditions.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By most accounts, the West African country that has become most completely immersed in the drug trade is Guinea-Bissau.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
In the paper
“The Colombian economist Francisco Thoumi states that '[p]rofitable illegal economic activity requires not only profitability, but also weak social and state controls on individual behavior, that is, a society where government laws are easily evaded and social norms tolerate such evasion'.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [123]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The financing of insurgency appears to be an established fact, in the case of both the Sahara and the Niger Delta.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The employment by Nigerian drug traders of large numbers of couriers carrying small parcels of cocaine or heroin endows them both with a high degree of 'vertical' integration of their marketing channel from purchase to sale, and with the means to penetrate any customs service in the world.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The regional pattern
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The UNODC, however, warns that crime hinders development, which it defines as 'the process of building societies that work'.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [129]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“An authoritative view is that of Antonio Mazzitelli, a senior UN drug law-enforcement officer in West Africa, who sees 2005 as the year in which a major change of scale became visible.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The new bulk trade
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [105]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: fails — The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As the present article has shown, the development of the drug trade in West Africa has quite deep historical roots and has been enmeshed with politics in some countries for many decades.”
§ DRUG TRADE > The drug trade and the long term
boostedcorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper relies on this without support.
The proceeds of the drug trade are so great as to have a considerable impact on West African economies.
“Needless to say, this trade is entirely illegal, and yet the proceeds are so great as to have a considerable impact on West African economies.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Drug money is funding political campaigns and affecting political relations in several West African countries.
“Some African lawenforcement officers are deeply concerned by the likely effects of the drug trade and drug money on their own societies, 7 and indeed there is evidence that drug money is funding political campaigns and affecting political relations in several West African countries.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The recent emergence of a sophisticated financial infrastructure in Ghana and Nigeria is a further reason for the enhanced importance of West Africa in global drug trafficking.
“The recent emergence of a sophisticated financial infrastructure in Ghana and Nigeria is a further reason for the enhanced importance of West Africa in global drug trafficking.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Most reports on West African drug traders over the last forty years, whether by law-enforcement agencies or from other sources, have concerned the supply of consumer markets in North America and Western Europe.
“This is important for the light it throws on an aspect of Nigerian drug trafficking that appears to be almost completely unresearched, as most reports on West African drug traders over the last forty years, whether by law-enforcement agencies or emanating from other sources, have concerned the supply of consumer markets in North America and Western Europe.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Arrest figures from different countries are comparable and reflect the underlying patterns of drug trafficking.
“Scrutiny of arrest figures suggests that the Colombian drug cartels, reacting to the saturation of the US market, had begun seeking relationships with West African traders even by the late 1980s, 56 interested in using the West Africans' highly developed marketing channels as a way of penetrating new areas, notably in Europe.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Official statements from US government and Nigerian agencies are credible.
“In March 1998, the US government described Nigeria as 'the hub of African narcotics trafficking', noting also 'traffickers' expansion into bulk shipments into Nigeria's neighbours'.70”
The paper relies on this without support.
A pliable sovereign state is the ideal cover for a drug trafficker.
“A pliable sovereign state is the ideal cover for a drug trafficker.”
The paper relies on this without support.
For countries as poor as Guinea-Bissau or Guinea-Conakry, the drug trade makes a huge, though unofficial, contribution to national income.
“For countries as poor as Guinea-Bissau or Guinea-Conakry, it makes a huge, though unofficial, contribution to national income.”
Citations
Cites
Structure in Fives: Designing Effective Organizations.
Berniker, E., & Mintzberg, H. (1984) · Administrative Science Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2393181 · Cited by 2,726
The Politics of Heroin: CIA Complicity in the Global Drug Trade
Barlow, J. (1992) · History Reviews of New Books · doi:10.1080/03612759.1992.9950676 · Cited by 267
From Prebendalism to Predation: the Political Economy of Decline in Nigeria
Lewis, P. (1996) · The Journal of Modern African Studies · doi:10.1017/s0022278x0005521x · Cited by 230
Trapped in the Traffick: Growing Problems of Drug Consumption in Lagos
Klein, A. (1994) · The Journal of Modern African Studies · doi:10.1017/s0022278x00015895 · Cited by 17
Ebbe, O. N. I. (2012) · Studies of organized crime · doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-3212-8_9 · Cited by 9
Transnational Organized Crime in West Africa
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (2013) · doi:10.18356/18c1912e-en · Cited by 9
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- [15]15. Fottorino, La Piste blanche, pp. 57, 60.
- [20]20. unodc.org/unodc/en/data-and-analysis/Studies-on-Drugs-and-Crime.html> (26 November 2008). 130. Ibid. 131. Cf. Manuel Castells, End of Millennium (second edition, Blackwell, Oxford, 2000), Vol. 3 of the Information Age trilogy, pp. 82-118. 132. William Reno, Corruption and State Politics in Sierra Leone (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1995), p.
- [21]21. Interestingly, the expression 'shadow state' was used long before, by Jean Suret-Canale, 'La Guinée dans le système colonial', Présence africaine 29 (1959-60), p. 97. 133. Reno, Corruption and State Politics, p. 2 134. Cf. Tekena Tamuno and Robin Horton, 'The changing position of secret societies and cults in modern Nigeria', African Notes 5, 2 (1969), pp. 36-62.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
A mobilities approach to tourism from emerging world regions
Cohen, E., & Cohen, S. (2014) · Current Issues in Tourism · doi:10.1080/13683500.2014.898617 · Cited by 208
“…of travellers from Sub-Saharan Africa to the West and to Asia, but much of it is for trading (Bodomo, 2009, 2012; Le Bail, 2009), drug smuggling (Ellis, 2009) and (mostly illegal) migration (Grillo & Mazzucato, 2008); bona fide Sub-Saharan African long-haul tourism appears to be still a very…”
BackgroundJohn, J. D. (2009) · European Journal of Development Research · doi:10.1057/ejdr.2009.44 · Cited by 74
Raineri, L. (2018) · The Journal of Modern African Studies · doi:10.1017/s0022278x17000520 · Cited by 70
Onaolapo, O. J., Olofinnade, A. T., Ojo, F. O., Adeleye, O., Falade, J., & Onaolapo, A. Y. (2022) · World Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.5498/wjp.v12.i10.1268 · Cited by 61
Transnational organized crime challenges for future research
von Lampe, K. (2012) · Crime Law and Social Change · doi:10.1007/s10611-012-9377-y · Cited by 59
“There is also the notion that transnational criminal groups are most likely to be found operating in countries or places where corrupt or weak law-enforcement provides a “low-risk environment”, and more generally where socio-political conditions are conducive to large-scale criminal activity [119] (see also [27, 94]).”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Ellis, S.
- Affiliations
- African Studies Centre (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Ellis, S.
- Venue
- African Affairs
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2009-04-01
- Volume
- 108
- Issue
- 431
- Pages
- 171-196
- ISSN
- 0001-9909 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-2621
- OpenAlex
- W2117208882
- Cited by
- 143
- References
- 8
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 21 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 14
- FWCI
- 26.80
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- African Affairs (publishedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion)
- Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Digital Academic REpository of VU University Amsterdam (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Global Political and Social Dynamics
- Keywords
- international drug trafficking, West Africa, cocaine trafficking, Nigeria, Guinea-Bissau, state formation, historical sociology, transnational organized crime, smuggling routes
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-10-11, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-10-11 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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