Cited by 172Statistical Methods in EpidemiologyMeta-analysis and systematic reviewsStatistical Methods in Clinical Trials

Relative risk versus absolute risk: one cannot be interpreted without the other

Open access
Noordzij, Marlies, van Diepen, Merel, Caskey, Fergus C., Jager, Kitty J.·2017·Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation

Abstract

For the presentation of risk, both relative and absolute measures can be used. The relative risk is most often used, especially in studies showing the effects of a treatment. Relative risks have the appealing feature of summarizing two numbers (the risk in one group and the risk in the other) into one. However, this feature also represents their major weakness, that the underlying absolute risks are concealed and readers tend to overestimate the effect when it is presented in relative terms. In many situations, the absolute risk gives a better representation of the actual situation and also from the patient's point of view absolute risks often give more relevant information. In this article, we explain the concepts of both relative and absolute risk measures. Using examples from nephrology literature we illustrate that unless ratio measures are reported with the underlying absolute risks, readers cannot judge the clinical relevance of the effect. We therefore recommend to report both the relative risk and the absolute risk with their 95% confidence intervals, as together they provide a complete picture of the effect and its implications.

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Crossref · 10.1093/ndt/gfw465

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  • Absolute risk reduction measures the precise magnitude and strength of the reduced risk, essential for clinical evaluation, which the relative risk reduction obscures.

    “ARR measures the precise magnitude and strength of the reduced risk, essential for clinical evaluation, which the RRR obscures [13].”

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Authors
Noordzij, M., van Diepen, M., Caskey, F. C., & Jager, K. J.
Affiliations
Amsterdam UMC Location University of Amsterdam (NL)
Venue
Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation
Published
2017-02-27
Volume
32
Issue
suppl_2
Pages
ii13-ii18
ISSN
  • 0931-0509 (ISSN-L)
  • 1460-2385
OpenAlex
W2598476089
Cited by
172
References
3
Citations by year
2026: 14 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 26 · 2022: 23 · 2021: 31 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 1
FWCI
6.66
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Pure Amsterdam UMC (publishedVersion, other-oa)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Keywords
relative risk, absolute risk, risk communication, overestimation of treatment effects, confidence intervals
MeSH terms
Humans, Risk, Statistics as Topic, Epidemiologic Studies

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