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MORTALITY AND AIR POLLUTION J LONDON: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Abstract
The relation between air pollution and mortality in London was examined for the winters of 1958-1972. The data exhibited a high degree of autocorrelation, requiring analyses using autoregressive models. There was a highly significant relation between mortality and either particulate matter or sulfur dioxide (after controlling for temperature and humidity), both overall and in each individual year. Graphic analysis revealed a nonlinear relation with no threshold, and a steeper exposure-response curve at lower air pollution levels. In models with both pollutants, particulate matter remained a significant predictor with about a 10% reduction in its estimated coefficients, while sulfur dioxide was insignificant, with a large drop in its estimated coefficient. The authors conclude that particulates are strongly associated with mortality rates in London, and the relation is likely causal.
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Citations
Cited by
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Dockery, D. W., Pope, C. A., Xu, X., Spengler, J. D., Ware, J. H., Fay, M. E., Ferris, B. G., & Speizer, F. E. (1993) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199312093292401 · Cited by 8,018
Nanomaterials and nanoparticles: Sources and toxicity
Buzea, C., Pacheco, I. I., & Robbie, K. (2007) · Biointerphases · doi:10.1116/1.2815690 · Cited by 3,789
Particulate air pollution and acute health effects
Seaton, A., Godden, D., MacNee, W., & Donaldson, K. (1995) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(95)90173-6 · Cited by 2,138
Daniels, M. J. (2000) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/152.5.397 · Cited by 348
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Yang, W., & Omaye, S. T. (2009) · Mutation Research/Genetic Toxicology and Environmental Mutagenesis · doi:10.1016/j.mrgentox.2008.10.005 · Cited by 326
Metadata
- Authors
- SCHWARTZ, J., & MARCUS, A.
- Venue
- American Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1990-01
- Volume
- 131
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 185-194
- ISSN
- 0002-9262 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-6256
- OpenAlex
- W1876302624
- Cited by
- 439
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 13.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- SCHWARTZ, J., & MARCUS, A. (1990). MORTALITY AND AIR POLLUTION J LONDON: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS. American Journal of Epidemiology. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115473
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
