The DOI matches its Crossref record; 55 of the 55 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
An Anatomy of Trading Strategies
Abstract
In this article we use a single unifying framework to analyze the sources of profits to a wide spectrum of return-based trading strategies implemented in the literature. We show that less than 50% of the 120 strategies implemented in the article yield statistically significant profits and, unconditionally, momentum and contrarian strategies are equally likely to be successful. However, when we condition on the return horizon (short, medium, or long) of the strategy, or the time period during which it is implemented, two patterns emerge. A momentum strategy is usually profitable at the medium (3- to 12-months) horizon, while a contrarian strategy nets statistically significant profits at long horizons, but only during the 1926–1947 subperiod. More importantly, our results show that the cross-sectional variation in the mean returns of individual securities included in these strategies play an important role in their profitability. The cross-sectional variation can potentially account for the profitability of momentum strategies and it is also responsible for attenuating the profits from price reversals to long-horizon contrarian strategies.
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Cites
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Cited by
Do Industries Explain Momentum?
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Forecasting the equity risk premium: the role of technical indicators
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The illusory nature of momentum profits
Lesmond, D. A., Schill, M. J., & Zhou, C. (2004) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-405x(03)00206-x · Cited by 657
Coordination of Expectations in Asset Pricing Experiments
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Do momentum-based strategies work in emerging currency markets?
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Metadata
- Authors
- Conrad, J., & Kaul, G.
- Venue
- Review of Financial Studies
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1998-07
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 489-519
- ISSN
- 0893-9454 (ISSN-L)
- 1465-7368
- OpenAlex
- W2023826935
- Cited by
- 855
- References
- 55
- FWCI
- 23.65
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.