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A Screening Instrument for Autism at 18 Months of Age: A 6-Year Follow-up Study
Abstract
Objectives A population of 16,235 children aged 18 months was screened using the Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (CHAT) to identify childhood autism (CA). Two further screening procedures were conducted at age 3 and 5 years. The population was followed up at age 7 years in order to establish the sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value of the instrument.Method A brief checklist assessing joint attention and pretend play behaviors was administered by primary health care practitioners when the children were 18 months old. Follow-up methods included screening through parents and health practitioners and checking medical and educational records.Results Nineteen cases of CA were successfully identified by the CHAT at 18 months. At follow-up a total of 50 cases of CA were identified via all surveillance methods. Thus, the CHAT has a sensitivity of 38% and a specificity of 98% for identifying CA. The positive predictive value of the instrument was maximized by concentration on the highest-risk group. Repeated screening 1 month later increased the positive predictive value to 75% for identification of CA but reduced the sensitivity to 20%, although the specificity was close to 100%. The screen also identified cases of pervasive developmental disorder as well as children with language and other developmental disorders.Conclusions The CHAT can be used to identify cases of autism and related pervasive developmental disorders at 18 months of age. It is emphasized that the CHAT is not a diagnostic instrument but can identify potential cases of autism spectrum disorders for a full diagnostic assessment.
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“Our literature search identified prevalence data for eight countries [17,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- BAIRD, G., CHARMAN, T., BARON-COHEN, S., COX, A., SWETTENHAM, J., WHEELWRIGHT, S., & DREW, A.
- Affiliations
- Guy's Hospital (GB)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Corresponding author
- CHARMAN, TONY
- Venue
- Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2000-06
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 694-702
- ISSN
- 0890-8567 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2018786179
- Cited by
- 804
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 23 · 2015: 30 · 2014: 30 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 42
- FWCI
- 18.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Research Portal (King's College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- MRC (S.B.C., A.C., and G.B. (1992-95, 1995-96, and 1996-99))
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Autism Spectrum Disorder Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Child Nutrition and Feeding Issues
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Family and Disability Support Research
- Keywords
- autism spectrum disorder, autism screening, toddlers, screening sensitivity and specificity, positive predictive value, joint attention, pretend play, pervasive developmental disorders, primary care screening, case finding
- MeSH terms
- Autistic Disorder, Developmental Disabilities, Child Development Disorders, Pervasive, Child, Preschool, Diagnosis, Differential, England, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Infant, Male, Mass Screening, Population Surveillance, Predictive Value of Tests, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Sensitivity and Specificity, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Prevalence
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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