Wildfire-specific Fine Particulate Matter and Risk of Hospital Admissions in Urban and Rural Counties
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: The health impacts of wildfire smoke, including fine particles (PM2.5), are not well understood and may differ from those of PM2.5 from other sources due to differences in concentrations and chemical composition. METHODS: First, for the entire Western United States (561 counties) for 2004-2009, we estimated daily PM2.5 concentrations directly attributable to wildfires (wildfires-specific PM2.5), using a global chemical transport model. Second, we defined smoke wave as ≥2 consecutive days with daily wildfire-specific PM2.5 > 20 μg/m, with sensitivity analysis considering 23, 28, and 37 μg/m. Third, we estimated the risk of cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions associated with smoke waves for Medicare enrollees. We used a generalized linear mixed model to estimate the relative risk of hospital admissions on smoke wave days compared with matched comparison days without wildfire smoke. RESULTS: We estimated that about 46 million people of all ages were exposed to at least one smoke wave during 2004 to 2009 in the Western United States. Of these, 5 million are Medicare enrollees (≥65 years). We found a 7.2% (95% confidence interval: 0.25%, 15%) increase in risk of respiratory admissions during smoke wave days with high wildfire-specific PM2.5 (>37 μg/m) compared with matched non smoke wave days. We did not observe an association between smoke wave days with wildfire-specific PM2.5 ≤ 37 μg/mand respiratory or cardiovascular admissions. Respiratory effects of wildfire-specific PM2.5 may be stronger than that of PM2.5 from other sources. CONCLUSION: Short-term exposure to wildfire-specific PM2.5was associated with risk of respiratory diseases in the elderly population in the Western United States during severe smoke days. See video abstract at, http://links.lww.com/EDE/B137.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Liu et al. estimated a 7.2% increase in risk for respiratory admissions during smoke wave days with high wildfire-specific PM2.5 during 2004 and 2009 in the Western United States.
“Liu et al.11 estimated a 7.2% increase in risk for respiratory admissions during smoke wave days with high wildfire-specific PM2.5 during 2004 and 2009 in the Western United States.”
From Health impacts of wildfire-related air pollution in Brazil: a nationwide study of more than 2 million hospital admissions between 2008 and 2018 (2021) · cites this paper as [11]
The concept of wildfire wave defined in this study is similar to concepts of extreme air pollution events from wildfires defined in previous studies.
“The concept of wildfire wave defined in our study is similar to the concepts of extreme air pollution events from wildfires defined in previous studies11,15.”
From Health impacts of wildfire-related air pollution in Brazil: a nationwide study of more than 2 million hospital admissions between 2008 and 2018 (2021) · cites this paper as [11]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity.
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Swetnam, T. W. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128834 · Cited by 5,176 · see citing works
A systematic review of the physical health impacts from non-occupational exposure to wildfire smoke
Liu, J. C., Pereira, G., Uhl, S. A., Bravo, M. A., & Bell, M. L. (2015) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2014.10.015 · Cited by 685 · see citing works
Self-citationThe economic cost of adverse health effects from wildfire-smoke exposure: a review
Kochi, I., Donovan, G. H., Champ, P. A., & Loomis, J. B. (2010) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf09077 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Moore, D., Copes, R., Fisk, R., Joy, R., Chan, K., & Brauer, M. (2006) · Canadian Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1007/bf03405325 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 30
- [1]Spracklen DV Mickley LJ Logan JA Hudman RC Yevich R Flannigan MD Westerling AL Impacts of climate change from 2000 to 2050 on wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations in the western United States Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 2009 114
- [4]Dennison PE Brewer SC Arnold JD Moritz MA Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984–2011 Geophysical Research Letters 2014 41 8 2928 2933
- [6]Kim KH Kabir E Kabir S A review on the human health impact of airborne particulate matter Environment International 2015 74 136 143 25454230
- [8]Bell ML Ebisu K Environmental inequality in exposures to airborne particulate matter components in the United States Environ Health Perspect 2012 120 12 1699 1704 22889745 PMC3546368
- [9]Peng RD Bell ML Geyh AS McDermott A Zeger SL Samet JM Dominici F Emergency admissions for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases and the chemical composition of fine particle air pollution Environ Health Perspect 2009 117 6 957 963 19590690 PMC2702413
- [10]Delfino RJ Brummel S Wu J Stern H Ostro B Lipsett M Winer A Street DH Zhang L Tjoa T Gillen DL The relationship of respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions to the southern California wildfires of 2003 Occup Environ Med 2009 66 3 189 197 19017694 PMC4176821
- [12]Morgan G Sheppeard V Khalaj B Ayyar A Lincoln D Jalaludin B Beard J Corbett S Lumley T Effects of bushfire smoke on daily mortality and hospital admissions in Sydney, Australia Epidemiology 2010 21 1 47 55 19907335
- [14]Bey I Jacob DJ Yantosca RM Logan JA Field BD Fiore AM Li QB Liu HGY Mickley LJ Schultz MG Global modeling of tropospheric chemistry with assimilated meteorology: Model description and evaluation Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 2001 106 D19 23073 23095
- [16]Spracklen DV Logan JA Mickley LJ Park RJ Yevich R Westerling AL Jaffe DA Wildfires drive interannual variability of organic carbon aerosol in the western US in summer Geophysical Research Letters 2007 34 16
- [17]Yue X Mickley LJ Logan JA Kaplan JO Ensemble projections of wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations over the western United States in the mid-21st century Atmospheric Environment 2013 77 767 780 24015109 PMC3763857
- [18]Mu M Randerson JT van der Werf GR Giglio L Kasibhatla P Morton D Collatz GJ DeFries RS Hyer EJ Prins EM Griffith DWT Wunch D Toon GC Sherlock V Wennberg PO Daily and 3-hourly variability in global fire emissions and consequences for atmospheric model predictions of carbon monoxide Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 2011 116
- [20]Chow JC Watson JG Review of PM2.5 and PM10 apportionment for fossil fuel combustion and other sources by the chemical mass balance receptor model Energy & Fuels 2002 16 2 222 260
- [21]Park RJ Jacob DJ Field BD Yantosca RM Chin M Natural and transboundary pollution influences on sulfate-nitrate-ammonium aerosols in the United States: Implications for policy Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 2004 109 D15
- [22]Sapkota A Symons JM Kleissl J Wang L Parlange MB Ondov J Breysse PN Diette GB Eggleston PA Buckley TJ Impact of the 2002 Canadian forest fires on particulate matter air quality in Baltimore City Environmental Science & Technology 2005 39 1 24 32 15667071
- [24]Bravo MA Fuentes M Zhang Y Burr MJ Bell ML Comparison of exposure estimation methods for air pollutants: Ambient monitoring data and regional air quality simulation Environmental Research 2012 116 1 10 22579357 PMC3543158
- [25]Dominici F Peng RD Bell ML Pham L McDermott A Zeger SL Samet JM Fine particulate air pollution and hospital admission for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases Jama-Journal of the American Medical Association 2006 295 10 1127 1134 PMC3543154 16522832
- [26]Bell ML Ebisu K Peng RD Walker J Samet JM Zeger SL Dominici F Seasonal and regional short-term effects of fine particles on hospital admissions in 202 US counties, 1999–2005 Am J Epidemiol 2008 168 11 1301 1310 18854492 PMC2732959
- [27]Peng RD Chang HH Bell ML McDermott A Zeger SL Samet JM Dominici F Coarse particulate matter air pollution and hospital admissions for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases among Medicare patients JAMA 2008 299 18 2172 2179 18477784 PMC3169813
- [28]Samet J Zeger S Kelsall J Xu J Kalkstein L Does weather confound or modify the association of particulate air pollution with mortality? An analysis of the Philadelphia data, 1973–1980 Environmental Research 1998 77 1 9 19 9593623
- [29]Maraun D Bias Correction, Quantile Mapping, and Downscaling: Revisiting the Inflation Issue Journal of Climate 2013 26 6 2137 2143
- [31]Bobb JF Obermeyer Z Wang Y Dominici F Cause-Specific Risk of Hospital Admission Related to Extreme Heat in Older Adults Jama-Journal of the American Medical Association 2014 312 24 2659 2667 PMC4319792 25536257
- [32]Duclos P Sanderson LM Lipsett M The 1987 forest fire disaster in California: assessment of emergency room visits Arch Environ Health 1990 45 1 53 58 2180383
- [33]Frankenberg E McKee D Thomas D Health consequences of forest fires in Indonesia Demography 2005 42 1 109 129 15782898
- [34]Lee TS Falter K Meyer P Mott J Gwynn C Risk factors associated with clinic visits during the 1999 forest fires near the Hoopa Valley Indian Reservation, California, USA Int J Environ Health Res 2009 19 5 315 327 19629821
- [35]Rappold AG Stone SL Cascio WE Neas LM Kilaru VJ Carraway MS Szykman JJ Ising A Cleve WE Meredith JT Vaughan-Batten H Deyneka L Devlin RB Peat bog wildfire smoke exposure in rural North Carolina is associated with cardiopulmonary emergency department visits assessed through syndromic surveillance Environ Health Perspect 2011 119 10 1415 1420 21705297 PMC3230437
- [36]Bell ML Ebisu K Peng RD Samet JM Dominici F Hospital Admissions and Chemical Composition of Fine Particle Air Pollution American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine 2009 179 12 1115 1120 19299499 PMC2695497
- [37]Zanobetti A Franklin M Koutrakis P Schwartz J Fine particulate air pollution and its components in association with cause-specific emergency admissions Environmental Health 2009 8 PMC2807856 20025755
- [38]Bell ML Son JY Peng RD Wang Y Dominici F Ambient PM2.5 and Risk of Hospital Admissions Do Risks Differ for Men and Women? Epidemiology 2015 26 4 575 579 25906368 PMC4452416
- [39]Randerson JT Chen Y van der Werf GR Rogers BM Morton DC Global burned area and biomass burning emissions from small fires Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 2012 117
- [40]Giglio L Randerson JT van der Werf GR Analysis of daily, monthly, and annual burned area using the fourth-generation global fire emissions database (GFED4) Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 2013 118 1 317 328
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Wildland fire smoke and human health
Cascio, W. E. (2018) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.086 · Cited by 642 · see citing works
Liu, J. C., Wilson, A., Mickley, L. J., Ebisu, K., Sulprizio, M. P., Wang, Y., Peng, R. D., Yue, X., Dominici, F., & Bell, M. L. (2017) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwx141 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Self-citationRequia, W. J., Amini, H., Mukherjee, R., Gold, D. R., & Schwartz, J. D. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-26822-7 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
Lower test scores from wildfire smoke exposure
Wen, J., & Burke, M. (2022) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-022-00956-y · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Yang (2018) · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2018.08.027 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Canadian Wildfire Smoke and Asthma Syndrome Emergency Department Visits in New York City
Chen, K., Ma, Y., Bell, M. L., & Yang, W. (2023) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2023.18768 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Liu, J. C., Wilson, A., Mickley, L. J., Dominici, F., Ebisu, K., Wang, Y., Sulprizio, M. P., Peng, R. D., Yue, X., Son, J.-Y., Anderson, G. B., & Bell, M. L.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Liu, Jia Coco
- ORCID
- Venue
- Epidemiology
- Published
- 2017-01
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 77-85
- ISSN
- 1044-3983 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5130603
- OpenAlex
- W2523426713
- Cited by
- 303
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 37 · 2025: 42 · 2024: 45 · 2023: 40 · 2022: 35 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 14 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 3
- FWCI
- 7.71
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (R01ES024332, R00ES022631, R21ES020152, R21ES022585, R01ES019560, R21ES021427, T32ES007142)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Indoor Air Quality and Microbial Exposure
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Keywords
- wildfire smoke, PM2.5, respiratory hospital admissions, cardiovascular hospital admissions, Medicare enrollees, older adults, chemical transport model, American West, air pollution health effects
- MeSH terms
- Wildfires, Aged, Medicare, Hospitalization, Humans, Rural Population, Smoke, United States, Urban Population, Weather, Midwestern United States, Northwestern United States, Southwestern United States, Particulate Matter
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review