Identification of outcome-oriented progression subtypes from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease using electronic health records
Open accessAbstract
Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a complex heterogeneous neurodegenerative disease that requires an in-depth understanding of its progression pathways and contributing factors to develop effective risk stratification and prevention strategies. In this study, we proposed an outcome-oriented model to identify progression pathways from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to AD using electronic health records (EHRs) from the OneFlorida+ Clinical Research Consortium. To achieve this, we employed the long short-term memory (LSTM) network to extract relevant information from the sequential records of each patient. The hierarchical agglomerative clustering was then applied to the learned representation to group patients based on their progression subtypes. Our approach identified multiple progression pathways, each of which represented distinct patterns of disease progression from MCI to AD. These pathways can serve as a valuable resource for researchers to understand the factors influencing AD progression and to develop personalized interventions to delay or prevent the onset of the disease.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Various passive data types-physical activity, movement, driving, sleep, speech, eye tracking, facial expressions, technology use, writing, texting, and typing dynamics-have been shown to distinguish people with neurodegenerative disease from those without.
“For example, changes in physical activity and movement patterns, driving behavior, sleep patterns, everyday speech, eye tracking, facial expressions, technology use, writing, texting, and keyboard typing dynamics have all been shown to differentiate those with and without neurodegenerative disease.111–119”
From Review of Artificial Intelligence for Clinical Use in Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (2026) · cites this paper as [116]
The Introduction and the section on constructing temporal trajectories describe clinical EHR data used to study progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease. Our copy does not report that the listed passive data types distinguish people with neurodegenerative disease from those without (searched for the listed data types and for passive-data differentiation). (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
2023 Alzheimer's disease facts and figures
(2023) · Alzheimer's & Dementia · doi:10.1002/alz.13016 · Cited by 3,212 · see citing works
Mild cognitive impairment: a concept in evolution
Petersen, R. C., Caracciolo, B., Brayne, C., Gauthier, S., Jelic, V., & Fratiglioni, L. (2014) · Journal of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1111/joim.12190 · Cited by 1,694 · see citing works
Federated Learning for Healthcare Informatics
Xu, J., Glicksberg, B. S., Su, C., Walker, P., Bian, J., & Wang, F. (2021) · Journal of Healthcare Informatics Research · doi:10.1007/s41666-020-00082-4 · Cited by 1,542 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 31
- Zvěřová M. Clinical aspects of Alzheimer's disease. Clin Biochem. 2019;72:3-6.
- Hebert LE, Weuve J, Scherr PA, Evans DA. Alzheimer disease in the United States (2010-2050) estimated using the 2010 census. Neurology. 2013;80(19):1778-1783.
- Stephan BCM, Hunter S, Harris D, et al. The neuropathological profile of mild cognitive impairment (MCI): a systematic review. Mol Psychiatry. 2012;17(11):1056-1076.
- Sun BL, Li WW, Zhu C, et al. Clinical Research on Alzheimer's Disease: Progress and Perspectives. Neurosci Bull. 2018;34(6):1111-1118.
- Li JQ, Tan L, Wang HF, et al. Risk factors for predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2016;87(5):476-484.
- Petersen RC, Roberts RO, Knopman DS, et al. Mild cognitive impairment: ten years later. Arch Neurol. 2009;66(12):1447-1455.
- Doody RS, Massman P, Dunn JK. A method for estimating progression rates in Alzheimer disease. Arch Neurol. 2001;58(3):449-454.
- Doody RS, Pavlik V, Massman P, Rountree S, Darby E, Chan W. Predicting progression of Alzheimer's disease. Alzheimers Res Ther. 2010;2(1):2.
- Hinrichs C, Singh V, Xu G, Johnson SC, Alzheimers Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Predictive markers for AD in a multi-modality framework: an analysis of MCI progression in the ADNI population. Neuroimage. 2011;55(2):574-589.
- Jagust WJ, Bandy D, Chen K, et al. The Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative positron emission tomography core. Alzheimers Dement. 2010;6(3):221-229.
- Westman E, Muehlboeck JS, Simmons A. Combining MRI and CSF measures for classification of Alzheimer's disease and prediction of mild cognitive impairment conversion. Neuroimage. 2012;62(1):229-238.
- Henley SMD, Bates GP, Tabrizi SJ. Biomarkers for neurodegenerative diseases. Curr Opin Neurol. 2005;18(6):698-705.
- Bucholc M, Ding X, Wang H, et al. A practical computerized decision support system for predicting the severity of Alzheimer's disease of an individual. Expert Syst Appl. 2019;130:157-171.
- Kumar S, Oh I, Schindler S, Lai AM, Payne PRO, Gupta A. Machine learning for modeling the progression of Alzheimer disease dementia using clinical data: a systematic literature review. JAMIA Open. 2021;4(3):ooab052.
- Xu J, Wang F, Xu Z, et al. Data-driven discovery of probable Alzheimer's disease and related dementia subphenotypes using electronic health records. Learn Health Syst. 2020;4(4):e10246.
- Lladó A, Froelich L, Khandker RK, et al. Assessing the Progression of Alzheimer's Disease in Real- World Settings in Three European Countries. J Alzheimers Dis. 2021;80(2):749-759.
- Landi I, Glicksberg BS, Lee HC, et al. Deep representation learning of electronic health records to unlock patient stratification at scale. NPJ Digit Med. 2020;3:96.
- Prabhu SS, Berkebile JA, Rajagopalan N, et al. Multi-Modal Deep Learning Models for Alzheimer's Disease Prediction Using MRI and EHR. In: 2022 IEEE 22nd International Conference on Bioinformatics and Bioengineering (BIBE). ieeexplore.ieee.org; 2022:168-173.
- Poulakis K, Pereira JB, Muehlboeck JS, et al. Multi-cohort and longitudinal Bayesian clustering study of stage and subtype in Alzheimer's disease. Nat Commun. 2022;13(1):4566.
- Lee C, Rashbass J, van der Schaar M. Outcome-Oriented Deep Temporal Phenotyping of Disease Progression. IEEE Trans Biomed Eng. 2021;68(8):2423-2434.
- Eshaghi A, Young AL, Wijeratne PA, et al. Identifying multiple sclerosis subtypes using unsupervised machine learning and MRI data. Nat Commun. 2021;12(1):2078.
- Yu Y, Si X, Hu C, Zhang J. A review of recurrent neural networks: LSTM cells and network architectures. Neural Comput. 2019;31(7):1235-1270.
- Murtagh F, Contreras P. Algorithms for hierarchical clustering: an overview. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Data Min Knowl Discov. 2012;2(1):86-97.
- Shenkman E, Hurt M, Hogan W, et al. OneFlorida Clinical Research Consortium: Linking a clinical and Translational Science Institute with a community-based distributive medical education model. Acad Med. 2018;93(3):451-455.
- Xu J, Zhang H, Zhang H, Bian J, Wang F. Machine learning enabled subgroup analysis with real- world data to inform clinical trial eligibility criteria design. Sci Rep. 2023;13(1):613.
- Baytas IM, Xiao C, Zhang X, Wang F, Jain AK, Zhou J. Patient Subtyping via Time-Aware LSTM Networks. Proceedings of the 23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. Published online 2017. doi:10.1145/3097983.3097997 · DOI
- Su C, Hou Y, Xu J, et al. Integrative analyses of multimodal clinical, neuroimaging, genetic, and transcriptomic data identify subtypes and potential treatments for heterogeneous Parkinson's disease progression. bioRxiv. Published online July 22, 2021. doi:10.1101/2021.07.18.21260731 · DOI
- McInnes L, Healy J, Melville J. UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction. arXiv [statML]. Published online February 9, 2018. http://arxiv.org/abs/1802.03426 · arXiv
- Serrano-Pozo A, Frosch MP, Masliah E, Hyman BT. Neuropathological alterations in Alzheimer disease. Cold Spring Harb Perspect Med. 2011;1(1):a006189.
- Gomes KM, Ratwani RM. Evaluating improvements and shortcomings in clinician satisfaction with electronic health record usability. JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2(12):e1916651.
- Hubbard AE, Laan MJVANDER. Population intervention models in causal inference. Biometrika. 2008;95(1):35-47.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Zhou, M., Tang, A. S., Zhang, H., Xu, Z., Ke, A. M. C., Su, C., Huang, Y., Mantyh, W. G., Jaffee, M. S., Rankin, K. P., et al. (2025) · Journal of Biomedical Informatics · doi:10.1016/j.jbi.2025.104820 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Self-citationReview of Artificial Intelligence for Clinical Use in Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias
Breithaupt, A. G., Tang, A., Paolillo, E. W., Bibars, M., Johnson, E. C. B., Saloner, R., Possin, K. L., Windon, C. C., Hill-Jarrett, T. G., Giorgio, J., et al. (2026) · Seminars in Neurology · doi:10.1055/a-2744-9871 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
- Authors
- Xu, J., Yin, R., Huang, Y., Gao, H., Wu, Y., Guo, J., Smith, G. E., DeKosky, S. T., Wang, F., Guo, Y., & Bian, J.
- Affiliations
- University of Florida Health (US)
- University of Florida (US)
- Weill Cornell Medicine (US)
- Corresponding author
- Xu, Jie
- ORCID
- Venue
- medRxiv
- Publisher
- openRxiv
- Published
- 2023-08-04
- Volume
- 2023
- Pages
- 764-773
- PMC
- PMC10785946
- OpenAlex
- W4385644938
- Cited by
- 5
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 3
- Type
- posted content
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- medRxiv (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Florida Department of Health (23A09)
- National Institutes of Health (UL1TR001427, R01AG080991, R01AG076234)
- National Institute on Aging (R01AG080991, R01AG080624, R01AG076234)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Keywords
- Alzheimer's disease, mild cognitive impairment, electronic health records, LSTM, agglomerative clustering, patient clustering, risk stratification, disease prevention
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review