The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Impact of Non-Poissonian Activity Patterns on Spreading Processes
Open accessAbstract
Halting a computer or biological virus outbreak requires a detailed understanding of the timing of the interactions between susceptible and infected individuals. While current spreading models assume that users interact uniformly in time, following a Poisson process, a series of recent measurements indicates that the intercontact time distribution is heavy tailed, corresponding to a temporally inhomogeneous bursty contact process. Here we show that the non-Poisson nature of the contact dynamics results in prevalence decay times significantly larger than predicted by the standard Poisson process based models. Our predictions are in agreement with the detailed time resolved prevalence data of computer viruses, which, according to virus bulletins, show a decay time close to a year, in contrast with the 1 day decay predicted by the standard Poisson process based models.
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Cited by
Epidemic processes in complex networks
Pastor-Satorras, R., Castellano, C., Van Mieghem, P., & Vespignani, A. (2015) · Reviews of Modern Physics · doi:10.1103/revmodphys.87.925 · Cited by 3,697
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Statistical physics of vaccination
Wang, Z., Bauch, C. T., Bhattacharyya, S., d'Onofrio, A., Manfredi, P., Perc, M., Perra, N., Salathé, M., & Zhao, D. (2016) · Physics Reports · doi:10.1016/j.physrep.2016.10.006 · Cited by 872
Small but slow world: How network topology and burstiness slow down spreading
Karsai, M., Kivelä, M., Pan, R. K., Kaski, K., Kertész, J., Barabási, A.-L., & Saramäki, J. (2011) · Physical Review E · doi:10.1103/physreve.83.025102 · Cited by 668
Self-citationDynamical strength of social ties in information spreading
Miritello, G., Moro, E., & Lara, R. (2011) · Physical Review E · doi:10.1103/physreve.83.045102 · Cited by 306
Metadata
- Authors
- Vazquez, A., Rácz, B., Lukács, A., & Barabási, A.-L.
- Venue
- Physical Review Letters
- Publisher
- American Physical Society (APS)
- Published
- 2007-04-10
- Volume
- 98
- Issue
- 15
- Pages
- 158702-158702
- ISSN
- 0031-9007 (ISSN-L)
- 1079-7114
- OpenAlex
- W2084538642
- Cited by
- 338
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 8.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Vazquez, A., Rácz, B., Lukács, A., & Barabási, A.-L. (2007). Impact of Non-Poissonian Activity Patterns on Spreading Processes. Physical Review Letters. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevlett.98.158702
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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