The DOI matches its Crossref record.
External debt and growth: role of stable macroeconomic policies
Open accessAbstract
Purpose: This study aims to examine the impact of external debt on economic growth in Bangladesh within a broader macroeconomic scenario. Design/methodology/approach: In the process of doing so, it assesses the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics of the concerned variables for the period of 1980–2017 applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration. First, debt-gross domestic product linkage explores the impact of external debt impact on economic growth using a set of macro and country risk variables, and then this linkage is also analyzed along with a newly formed macroeconomic policy (MEP) variable using principal component analysis. Findings: The study results reveal the negative impact of external debt on GDP growth, but the larger positive impact of MEP index indicates that this adverse effect of debt can be mitigated or even nullified by sound MEP and appropriate human resource policy. Originality/value: The dynamic effects of different shocks (external debt and macro policy variable) on economic growth by vector autoregression impulse response function also confirm our ARDL findings.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Figures
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The cited source doesn’t support the claim as written.
In the citing paper
“the empirical research addressing the nexus between economic growth and poverty alleviation in the context of Indonesia and developing countries is scanty and focuses on examining the correlation between financial development and economic growth in developed countries rather than poverty reduction and income inequality in developing regions at different demography and district levels”
From Islamic banks' contribution to Indonesia districts' economic growth and poverty alleviation (2024) · cites this paper as Dey and Tareque, 2020
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 43
- Ajayi, 2012, Effect of external debt on economic growth and development of Nigeria, International Journal of Business and Social Science, 3, 297
- Ali, 2012, External debt accumulation and its impact on economic growth in Pakistan, The Pakistan Development Review, 51, 79, 10.30541/v51i4IIpp.79-96 · DOI
- Atique, 2012, Impact of domestic and external debt on the economic growth of Pakistan, World Applied Sciences Journal, 20, 120
- Barro, R. (1996), “Determinants of economic growth: a cross-country empirical study”, 10.3386/w5698. · DOI
- Beetsma, 2003, Strategic debt accumulation in a heterogeneous monetary union, European Journal of Political Economy, 19, 1, 10.1016/S0176-2680(02)00126-X · DOI
- Blanchard, 2002, An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, 1329, 10.1162/003355302320935043 · DOI
- Boopen, 2007, External debt and economic growth: a vector error correction approach, International Journal of Business Research, 51, 211
- Borensztein, 1990, Debt overhang, credit rationing and investment, Journal of Development Economics, 32, 315, 10.1016/0304-3878(90)90041-9 · DOI
- Burnside, 2000, Aid, policies, and growth, American Economic Review, 90, 847, 10.1257/aer.90.4.847 · DOI
- Burnside, 2004, Aid, Policies, and Growth: Revisiting the Evidence, 10.1596/1813-9450-3251 · DOI
- Choong, 2010, Does debts foster economic growth? The experience of Malaysia, African Journal of Business Management, 4, 1564
- Collier, 1999, Explaining African economic performance, Journal of Economic Literature, 37, 64, 10.1257/jel.37.1.64 · DOI · Paper page
- Easterly, 2002, How did heavily indebted poor countries become heavily indebted? Reviewing two decades of debt relief, World Development, 30, 1677, 10.1016/S0305-750X(02)00073-6 · DOI
- Easterly, 1997, Africa’s growth tragedy: policies and ethnic divisions, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112, 1203, 10.1162/003355300555466 · DOI · Paper page
- Easterly, 1993, Fiscal policy and economic growth, Journal of Monetary Economics, 32, 417, 10.1016/0304-3932(93)90025-B · DOI
- Engle, 1987, Co-Integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing, Econometrica, 55, 251, 10.2307/1913236 · DOI · Paper page
- Farhana, 2014, Impact of foreign debt on growth in Bangladesh: an econometrics analysis, International Journal of Developing and Emerging Economics, 2, 1
- Finance Division, M. of F, 2017, Bangladesh economic review, 2017
- Fischer, 1993, The role of macroeconomic factors in growth, Journal of Monetary Economics, 32, 485, 10.1016/0304-3932(93)90027-D · DOI
- Fosu, 1999, The external debt burden and economic growth in the 1980s: evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa, Canadian Journal of Development Studies/Revue Canadienne D'études du Développement, 20, 307, 10.1080/02255189.1999.9669833 · DOI
- Gallup, 1998, Economic Growth and the Income of the Poor
- Hameed, 2008, External debt and its impact on economic and business growth in Pakistan, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 20, 132
- Iqbal, 1998, Macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Pakistan, The Pakistan Development Review, 37, 125, 10.30541/v37i2pp.125-148 · DOI
- Khan, 2001, Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, IMF Working Papers, 00, 1
- Kharusi, 2018, External debt and economic growth: the case of emerging economy, Journal of Economic Integration, 33, 1141, 10.11130/jei.2018.33.1.1141 · DOI
- Korkmaz, 2015, The relationship between external debt and economic growth in Turkey, 971
- Mohamed, 2005, The impact of external debts on economic growth: an empirical assessment of the Sudan: 1978-2001, Eastern Africa Social Science Research Review, 21, 53, 10.1353/eas.2005.0008 · DOI
- Nguyen, 2003, External Debt, Public Investment, and Growth in Low-Income Countries (Issues 3-249)
- Onafowora, 2017, Impact of external debt shocks on economic growth in Nigeria: a SVAR analysis, Economic Change and Restructuring, 52, 157, 10.1007/s10644-017-9222-5 · DOI
- Pattillo, 2004, What Are the Channels through Which External Debt Affects Growth? (Issues 4-15)
- Pesaran, 1999, An autoregressive distributed lag modeling approach to cointegration analysis, 10.1017/CCOL521633230.011 · DOI
- Pesaran, 2001, Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289, 10.1002/jae.616 · DOI · Paper page
- Poirson, 2002, External Debt and Growth (Issues 2-69)
- Rahman, 2012, External debt and gross domestic product in Bangladesh: a co-integration analysis, Management Research and Practice, 4
- Ramzan, 2014, External debt growth nexus: role of macroeconomic policies, Economic Modelling, 38, 204, 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.12.014 · DOI
- Saifuddin, 2016, Public debt and economic growth: evidence from Bangladesh, Global Journal of Management and Business Research
- Sen, 2007, Debt overhang and economic growth–the Asian and the Latin American experiences, Economic Systems, 31, 3, 10.1016/j.ecosys.2006.12.002 · DOI
- Shah, 2012, External public debt and economic growth: empirical evidence from Bangladesh, 1974 to 2010, Academic Research International, 3
- Wijeweera, A., Dollery, B. and Pathberiya, P. (2005), “Economic growth and external debt servicing: a cointegration analysis of Sri Lanka, 1952 to 2002”, University of New England Working Paper Series in Economics, Vol. 8.
- Workie Tiruneh, 2004, External Imbalances as an Explanation for Growth Rate Differences across Time and Space: An Econometric Exploration
- Yeasmin, 2015, External public debt and economic growth in Bangladesh: a co-integration analysis, Civilization, 6
- Department, W. B. C. E. and Dept, D. C. E, 1990, Adjustment Lending Policies for Sustainable Growth (Issue 14)
- Finance Division, M. of F, 2017, Bangladesh economic review, 2017
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Islamic banks' contribution to Indonesia districts' economic growth and poverty alleviation
Junaidi, J. (2024) · Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science · doi:10.1108/jefas-06-2021-0097 · Cited by 40
Metadata
- Authors
- Dey, S. R., & Tareque, M.
- Affiliations
- Bangladesh Institute of Governance and Management (BD)
- Corresponding author
- Dey, Sima Rani
- Venue
- Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science
- Publisher
- Emerald
- Published
- 2020-07-28
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 50
- Pages
- 185-204
- ISSN
- 2077-1886 (ISSN-L)
- 2218-0648
- OpenAlex
- W3045679800
- Cited by
- 81
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 21 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 8
- FWCI
- 6.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Global Financial Crisis and Policies
- Keywords
- external debt, economic growth, macroeconomic policy, debt-growth nexus, country risk, personnel policy, Bangladesh, policy shocks
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

