The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Short-Term Load Forecasting Using General Exponential Smoothing
Abstract
An essential component of a comprehensive, real-time control center for power systems is a method for the calculation of short-term load forecasts. This paper explores the use of general exponential smoothing to develop an adaptive forecasting system based on observed values of integrated hourly demand. A model is developed which offers high accuracy and operational simplicity. Forecasts of hourly MWH load with lead times of one to twenty-four hours are computed at hourly intervals throughout the week. A pragmatic viewpoint is maintained throughout the paper, which includes an analysis of two years of hourly load data, test results for the method developed, and discussions of adjustments for holidays and weather disturbances.
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Cites
A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems
Kalman, R. E. (1960) · Journal of Basic Engineering · doi:10.1115/1.3662552 · Cited by 31,751
Cited by
Forecasting Time Series With Complex Seasonal Patterns Using Exponential Smoothing
De Livera, A. M., Hyndman, R. J., & Snyder, R. D. (2011) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1198/jasa.2011.tm09771 · Cited by 1,049
Zheng, H., Yuan, J., & Chen, L. (2017) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en10081168 · Cited by 635
On recent advances in PV output power forecast
Raza, M. Q., Nadarajah, M., & Ekanayake, C. (2016) · Solar Energy · doi:10.1016/j.solener.2016.06.073 · Cited by 544
Short-term load forecasting using lifting scheme and ARIMA models
Lee, C.-M., & Ko, C.-N. (2011) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.11.033 · Cited by 438
Metadata
- Authors
- Christiaanse, W.
- Venue
- IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems
- Published
- 1971-03
- Volume
- PAS-90
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 900-911
- ISSN
- 0018-9510 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2076163358
- Cited by
- 500
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 3.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Christiaanse, W. (1971). Short-Term Load Forecasting Using General Exponential Smoothing. IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems. https://doi.org/10.1109/tpas.1971.293123
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
