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Explaining the Poor Performance of Consumption‐based Asset Pricing Models
Open accessAbstract
We show that the external habit‐formation model economy of Campbell and Cochrane (1999) can explain why the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and its extensions are betterapproximate asset pricing models than is the standard onsumption‐based model. The model economy produces time‐varying expected eturns, tracked by the dividend–price ratio. Portfolio‐based models capture some of this variation in state variables, which a state‐independent function of consumption cannot capture. Therefore, though the consumption‐based model and CAPM are both perfect conditional asset pricing models, the portfolio‐based models are better approximate unconditional asset pricing models.
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Citations
Cites
Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(93)90023-5 · Cited by 25,754
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
Campbell, J. Y., & Cochrane, J. H. (1999) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/250059 · Cited by 5,210
Self-citation
Cited by
Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns
BAKER, M., & WURGLER, J. (2006) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00885.x · Cited by 6,049
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-section of Stock Returns
Baker, M. P., & Wurgler, J. A. (2003) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.464843 · Cited by 1,456
Forecasting the equity risk premium: the role of technical indicators
Neely, C. J., Rapach, D. E., Tu, J., & Zhou, G. (2014) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.2013.1838 · Cited by 1,003
Does risk aversion drive financial crises? Testing the predictive power of empirical indicators
Coudert, V., & Gex, M. (2008) · Journal of Empirical Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jempfin.2007.06.001 · Cited by 217
Metadata
- Authors
- Campbell, J. Y., & Cochrane, J. H.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2000-12
- Volume
- 55
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 2863-2878
- ISSN
- 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
- 1540-6261
- OpenAlex
- W2127034225
- Cited by
- 313
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 17.11
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
