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Equity Valuation Using Multiples
Open accessAbstract
We examine the valuation performance of a comprehensive list of value drivers and find that multiples derived from forward earnings explain stock prices remarkably well: pricing errors are within 15 percent of stock prices for about half our sample. In terms of relative performance, the following general rankings are observed consistently each year: forward earnings measures are followed by historical earnings measures, cash flow measures and book value of equity are tied for third, and sales performs the worst. Curiously, performance declines when we consider more complex measures of intrinsic value based on short‐cut residual income models. Contrary to the popular view that different industries have different “best” multiples, these overall rankings are observed consistently for almost all industries examined. Since we require analysts’ earnings and growth forecasts and positive values for all measures, our results may not be representative of the many firm‐years excluded from our sample.
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Cites
The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis
KAPLAN, S. N., & RUBACK, R. S. (1995) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb04050.x · Cited by 512
Cited by
Costs of Equity and Earnings Attributes
Francis, J., LaFond, R., Olsson, P. M., & Schipper, K. (2004) · The Accounting Review · doi:10.2308/accr.2004.79.4.967 · Cited by 2,377
Business sustainability performance and cost of equity capital
Ng, A. C., & Rezaee, Z. (2015) · Journal of Corporate Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.08.003 · Cited by 650
The Predictive Value of Expenses Excluded from Pro Forma Earnings
Doyle, J. T., Lundholm, R. J., & Soliman, M. T. (2003) · Review of Accounting Studies · doi:10.1023/a:1024472210359 · Cited by 533
Political Uncertainty and IPO Activity: Evidence from U.S. Gubernatorial Elections
Çolak, G., Durnev, A., & Qian, Y. (2017) · Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · doi:10.1017/s0022109017000862 · Cited by 486
Valuation Approaches and Metrics: A Survey of the Theory and Evidence
Damodaran, A. (2007) · Foundations and Trends® in Finance · doi:10.1561/0500000013 · Cited by 326
Metadata
- Authors
- Liu, J., Nissim, D., & Thomas, J.
- Venue
- Journal of Accounting Research
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2002-03
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 135-172
- ISSN
- 0021-8456 (ISSN-L)
- 1475-679X
- OpenAlex
- W3123014936
- Cited by
- 723
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 71.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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