The DOI matches its Crossref record; 46 of the 46 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Learning, Asset‐Pricing Tests, and Market Efficiency
Abstract
This paper studies the asset‐pricing implications of parameter uncertainty. We show that, when investors must learn about expected cash flows, empirical tests can find patterns in the data that differ from those perceived by rational investors. Returns might appear predictable to an econometrician, or appear to deviate from the Capital Asset Pricing Model, but investors can neither perceive nor exploit this predictability. Returns may also appear excessively volatile even though prices react efficiently to cash‐flow news. We conclude that parameter uncertainty can be important for characterizing and testing market efficiency.
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Citations
Cites
The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns
FAMA, E. F., & FRENCH, K. R. (1992) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x · Cited by 17,261
EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK*
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Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests
Fama, E. F., & MacBeth, J. D. (1973) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/260061 · Cited by 14,258
Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work
Fama, E. F. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.2307/2325486 · Cited by 13,635
Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency
JEGADEESH, N., & TITMAN, S. (1993) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04702.x · Cited by 11,584
Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis
Berger, J. O. (1985) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-4286-2 · Cited by 7,722
Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies
FAMA, E. F., & FRENCH, K. R. (1996) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb05202.x · Cited by 6,700
Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
De Long, J. B., Shleifer, A., Summers, L. H., & Waldmann, R. J. (1990) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261703 · Cited by 6,234
Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model
Merton, R. C. (1971) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1016/0022-0531(71)90038-x · Cited by 5,958
Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy
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Cited by
A comprehensive look at the empirical performance of equity premium prediction
Welch, I., & Goyal, A. (2008) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhm014 · Cited by 3,987
Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns
Huang, D., Jiang, F., Tu, J., & Zhou, G. (2015) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhu080 · Cited by 1,123
Ambiguity, Information Quality, and Asset Pricing
EPSTEIN, L. G., & SCHNEIDER, M. (2008) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2008.01314.x · Cited by 833
Environmentally significant behavior in the home
Stern, P. C. (2008) · The Cambridge Handbook of Psychology and Economic Behaviour · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511490118.015 · Cited by 50
Metadata
- Authors
- Lewellen, J., & Shanken, J.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2002-06
- Volume
- 57
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1113-1145
- ISSN
- 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
- 1540-6261
- OpenAlex
- W1966052319
- Cited by
- 377
- References
- 46
- FWCI
- 36.61
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.