Is climate change the greatest threat to global health?
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This commentary critically engages with the argument that climate change is the greatest threat to global health in the twenty‐first century. A review of climate‐health examples suggests that although it is important to be aware of the risk that climate change presents, health status is caused and mediated by multiple exposures. The current evidence suggests the impact of climate change over the next 30 years is not going to be catastrophic for health, and positioning it as the greatest threat – instead of other important factors such as poverty and health inequalities – could obscure the potential of current global health measures and reduce focus on other health risks such as non‐communicable diseases and HIV/AIDS. Although climate change mitigation is vitally important to reduce far‐future harm, the policymaking community should focus on current interventions that reduce populations’ exposure to climate change, boost populations’ ability to adapt, and reduce health inequalities.
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In the nearer term up to 2050, many recommended measures to improve health systems and public health, such as investing in the health workforce, service delivery, governance, and lifting people out of poverty, will help mitigate the effects of heat.
“In the nearer term, i.e. up to 2050, many of the recommended measures to improve health systems and public health, such as investing in the health workforce, service delivery, and governance, and lifting people out of poverty, will help to mitigate the effects of heat.44”
From Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century (2024) · cites this paper as [44]
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Cites
Climate change and human health: present and future risks
McMichael, A. J., Woodruff, R. E., & Hales, S. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)68079-3 · Cited by 2,585 · see citing works
Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003
Stott, P. A., Stone, D. A., & Allen, M. R. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03089 · Cited by 1,735 · see citing works
Climate change and human health: Impacts, vulnerability and public health
Haines, A., Kovats, R. S., Campbell-Lendrum, D., & Corvalan, C. (2006) · Public Health · doi:10.1016/j.puhe.2006.01.002 · Cited by 1,041 · see citing works
Kjellstrom, T., Butler, A. J., Lucas, R. M., & Bonita, R. (2010) · International Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1007/s00038-009-0090-2 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
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- Authors
- Papworth, A., Maslin, M., & Randalls, S.
- Affiliations
- University College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Papworth, Andrew
- Maslin, Mark
- Randalls, Samuel
- Venue
- The Geographical Journal
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2014-12-03
- Volume
- 181
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 413-422
- ISSN
- 0016-7398 (ISSN-L)
- 1475-4959
- OpenAlex
- W2128377686
- Cited by
- 30
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 1.32
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Geographical Journal (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Economic and Social Research Council
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Social Sciences › Health › Occupational Health and Global Justice
- Keywords
- climate change, global health, health disparities, poverty, non-communicable diseases, HIV/AIDS, climate change adaptation, climate change mitigation, health risk exposure, health policy
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