The DOI matches its Crossref record.
The Role of Conflict in the Rapid Fertility Decline in Eritrea and Prospects for the Future
Abstract
The large fertility decline observed in Eritrea between the mid-1990s and the early part of the new century is examined using data from two detailed national household surveys. Little evidence is found that this decrease infertility signals the beginning of a sustained decline. Rather, the results indicate that one of the outcomes of the military mobilization and displacement associated with the 1998-2000 border conflict with Ethiopia was a steep reduction in the proportion of women exposed to the risk of pregnancy. Part of this reduction was due to delayed age at marriage, but it came about largely because married women were less likely to be living with their husbands in 2002 than in 1995. Projections of the number of births that could occur if women implement their stated reproductive intentions and a postwar "baby boom" results show that the health system may be facing an increased demand for child health services over the next several years.
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“Likewise, wars are extreme cases of political decisions quickly affecting fertility (e.g., Blanc 2004; Cetorelli 2014), mortality (e.g., Li and Wen 2005), and migration (e.g., Abel et al. 2019).”
From Demography: Fast and Slow (2022) · cites this paper as Blanc 2004
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No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 14
- Almedom Astier M., 2003, Maternal psychosocial well‐being in Eritrea: Application of participatory methods and tools of investigation and analysis in complex emergency settings, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 81, 360
- Arneberg Marie W., 1999, Urban Households and Urban Economy in Eritrea: Analytical Report from the Urban Eritrean Household Income and Expenditure Survey 1996/97
- 10.2307/1972149 · DOI
- 10.2307/2648112 · DOI
- Ministry of Health [Eritrea], 2003, Annual Health Services Activity Report
- National Statistics and Evaluation Office (NSEO), 2003, Dimensions of Poverty in Eritrea. Preliminary Report
- National Statistics Office [Eritrea] and Macro International, 1995, Eritrea Demographic and Health Survey, 1995
- National Statistics and Evaluation Office (NSEO) [Eritrea] and ORC Macro, 2003, Eritrea Demographic and Health Survey, 2002
- Population Services International (PSI), 2004, A New Kind of War: PSI Arms African Militaries Against AIDS
- 10.1111/j.1728-4465.2003.00087.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1728-4465.2003.00001.x · DOI
- 10.2307/172272 · DOI
- United Nations (UN), 2003, World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision
- 10.18356/453b7968-en · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Violent conflict and gender inequality: an overview
Buvinic, M., Das Gupta, M., Casabonne, U., & Verwimp, P. (2013) · The World Bank Research Observer · doi:10.1093/wbro/lks011 · Cited by 140
Wagner, Z., Heft-Neal, S., Wise, P. H., Black, R. E., Burke, M., Boerma, T., Bhutta, Z. A., & Bendavid, E. (2019) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(19)30407-3 · Cited by 116
Billari, F. C. (2022) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/padr.12464 · Cited by 52
Metadata
- Authors
- Blanc, A. K.
- Corresponding author
- Blanc, Ann K.
- Venue
- Studies in Family Planning
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2004-12
- Volume
- 35
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 236-245
- ISSN
- 0039-3665 (ISSN-L)
- 1728-4465
- OpenAlex
- W1976513390
- Cited by
- 85
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 4 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 1.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Studies in Family Planning (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- United States Agency for International Development
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Reproductive Health and Contraception
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Keywords
- fertility decline, Eritrea, armed conflict, infertility, pregnancy risk, age at marriage, military mobilization, displacement, fertility intentions
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Birth Rate, Contraception Behavior, Female, Forecasting, Humans, Marriage, Middle Aged, Regression Analysis, Residence Characteristics, Warfare, Eritrea
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