Cited by 65Capital Investment and Risk AnalysisDecision-Making and Behavioral EconomicsExperimental Behavioral Economics Studies

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Learning to Wait: A Laboratory Investigation

OPREA, RYAN, FRIEDMAN, DANIEL, ANDERSON, STEVEN T.·2009·Review of Economic Studies

Abstract

Human subjects decide when to sink a fixed cost C to seize an irreversible investment opportunity whose value V is governed by Brownian motion. The optimal policy is to invest when V first crosses a threshold V* = (1 + w*)C, where the wait option premium w* depends on drift, volatility, and expiration hazard parameters. Subjects in the Low w* treatment on average invest at values quite close to optimum. Subjects in the two Medium and the High w* treatments invested at values below optimum, but with the predicted ordering, and values approached the optimum by the last block of 20 periods.

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Research works printed but not linked: 23

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Metadata

Authors
OPREA, R., FRIEDMAN, D., & ANDERSON, S. T.
Affiliations
  • University of California System (US)
  • United States Geological Survey (US)
Venue
Review of Economic Studies
Published
2009-07
Volume
76
Issue
3
Pages
1103-1124
ISSN
  • 0034-6527 (ISSN-L)
  • 1467-937X
OpenAlex
W3124622064
Cited by
65
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 7 · 2012: 7
FWCI
6.77
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • The Review of Economic Studies (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
Keywords
irreversible investment, optimal investment timing, Brownian motion, fixed costs, behavioral decision making, learning over time

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Learning to Wait: A Laboratory Investigation. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.1467-937x.2009.00543.x
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OPREA, R., FRIEDMAN, D., & ANDERSON, S. T. (2009). Learning to Wait: A Laboratory Investigation. Review of Economic Studies. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937x.2009.00543.x