The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference
Abstract
Structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) are widely used for policy analysis and to provide stylized facts for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models; yet no workable rank conditions to ascertain whether an SVAR is globally identified have been established. Moreover, when nonlinear identifying restrictions are used, no efficient algorithms exist for small-sample estimation and inference. This paper makes four contributions towards filling these important gaps in the literature. First, we establish general rank conditions for global identification of both identified and exactly identified models. These rank conditions are sufficient for general identification and are necessary and sufficient for exact identification. Second, we show that these conditions can be easily implemented and that they apply to a wide class of identifying restrictions, including linear and certain nonlinear restrictions. Third, we show that the rank condition for exactly identified models amounts to a straightforward counting exercise. Fourth, we develop efficient algorithms for small-sample estimation and inference, especially for SVARs with nonlinear restrictions.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
Christiano, L. J., Eichenbaum, M., & Evans, C. L. (2005) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/426038 · Cited by 6,238
Research works printed but not linked: 52
- BEKKER, 1986, “Identification of Linear Stochastic Models with Covariance Restrictions”, Journal of Econometrics, 31, 179, 10.1016/0304-4076(86)90047-3 · doi:10.1016/0304-4076(86)90047-3
- BENATI, L. and MUMTAZ, H. (2006), “U.S. Evolving Macroeconomic Dynamics: A Structural Investigation” (Unpublished Manuscript, European Central Bank and Bank of England). · DOI
- BERNANKE, 1998, “Measuring Monetary Policy”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113, 869, 10.1162/003355398555775 · DOI · Paper page
- BLANCHARD, 1993, “The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances”, American Economic Review, 83, 655
- CANOVA, 2002, “Monetary Disturbances Matter for Business Fluctuations in the G-7”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 49, 1121, 10.1016/S0304-3932(02)00145-9 · DOI · Paper page
- CHRISTIANO, 1996, “The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Flow of Funds”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 78, 16, 10.2307/2109845 · DOI · Paper page
- COCHRANE, J. H. (2006), “Identification and Price Determination with Taylor Rules: A Critical Review” (Manuscript, University of Chicago, June 2006). · DOI
- COGLEY, 2005, “Drifts and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S.”, Review of Economic Dynamics, 8, 262, 10.1016/j.red.2004.10.009 · DOI · Paper page
- DHRYMES, 1978, Introductory Econometrics, 10.1007/978-1-4612-6292-3 · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-6292-3
- DHRYMES, 1994, Topics in Advanced Econometrics, 10.1007/978-1-4612-4302-1 · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-4302-1
- EICHENBAUM, 1995, “Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of Shocks to Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 975, 10.2307/2946646 · doi:10.2307/2946646
- FAUST, 1998, “The Robustness of Identified Var Conclusions About Money”, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 48, 207, 10.1016/S0167-2231(99)00009-3 · DOI · Paper page
- FERNÁNDEZ-VILLAVERDE, 2004, “Comparing Dynamic Equilibrium Models to Data: A Bayesian Approach”, Journal of Econometrics, 123, 153, 10.1016/j.jeconom.2003.10.031 · DOI
- FISHER, 1966, The Identification Problem in Econometrics
- GALÍ, 1992, “How Well Does the IS-LM Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data?”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, 709, 10.2307/2118487 · DOI · Paper page
- GALÍ, 1999, “Technology, Employment, and the Business Cycle: Do Technology Shocks Explain Aggregate Fluctuations?”, American Economic Review, 89, 249, 10.1257/aer.89.1.249 · DOI · Paper page
- GAMBETTI, 2008, “Structural Dynamics of US Output and Inflation: What Explains the Changes?”, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 40, 369, 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2008.00117.x · DOI
- GEWEKE, 1986, “Exact Inference in the Inequality Constrained Normal Linear Regression Model”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1, 127, 10.1002/jae.3950010203 · DOI
- GEWEKE, 1999, “Using Simulation Methods for Bayesian Econometric Models: Inference, Development and Communication”, Econometric Reviews, 18, 1, 10.1080/07474939908800428 · DOI · Paper page
- GEWEKE, 2005, Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, 10.1002/0471744735 · DOI · Paper page
- GIANNINI, 1992, Topics in Structural VAR Econometrics, 10.1007/978-3-662-02757-8 · doi:10.1007/978-3-662-02757-8
- GORDON, 1994, “The Dynamic Impacts of Monetary Policy: An Exercise in Tentative Identification”, Journal of Political Economy, 102, 1228, 10.1086/261969 · DOI
- GREENE, 1993, Econometric Analysis
- HAMILTON, 1994, Times Series Analysis, 10.1515/9780691218632 · DOI · Paper page
- HAMILTON, 2007, “Normalization in Econometrics”, Econometric Reviews, 26, 221, 10.1080/07474930701220329 · doi:10.1080/07474930701220329
- HAUSMAN, 1983, “Identification in Linear Simultaneous Equations Models with Covariance Restrictions: An Instrumental Variables Interpretation”, Econometrica, 51, 1527, 10.2307/1912288 · DOI
- HSIAO, 1983, Handbook of Econometrics I, 224
- INOUE, 2002, “Bootstrapping Autoregressive Processes with Possible Unit Roots”, Econometrica, 70, 377, 10.1111/1468-0262.00281 · DOI
- KILIAN, 1998, “Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 186, 10.1162/003465398557465 · DOI · Paper page
- KING, 1991, “Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations”, American Economic Review, 81, 819
- LEEPER, 1996, “What Does Monetary Policy Do?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 1, 10.2307/2534619 · DOI · Paper page
- LEEPER, 2003, “Modest Policy Interventions”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 50, 1673, 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2003.01.002 · DOI · Paper page
- PEERSMAN, 2003, The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Euro Area: More Evidence from VAR Analysis
- PESAVENTO, 2006, “Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21, 1135, 10.1002/jae.894 · DOI
- PRIMICERI, 2005, “Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy”, Review of Economic Studies, 72, 821, 10.1111/j.1467-937X.2005.00353.x · DOI · Paper page
- ROTHENBERG, 1971, “Identification in Parametric Models”, Econometrica, 39, 577, 10.2307/1913267 · DOI · Paper page
- RUBIO-RAMÍREZ, J. F. , WAGGONER, D. F. and ZHA, T. (2005), “Markov-Switching Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory and Application” (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Paper 2005-27). · DOI
- RUBIO-RAMÍREZ, J. F. , WAGGONER, D. F. and ZHA, T. (2008), “Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference” (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper 2008-18, September 2008). · DOI
- SARGENT, 1976, “The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics”, Journal of Political Economy, 84, 631, 10.1086/260465 · DOI
- SIMS, 1980, “Macroeconomics and Reality”, Econometrica, 48, 1, 10.2307/1912017 · DOI · Paper page
- SIMS, 1986, “Are Forecasting Models Usable for Policy Analysis?”, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10, 2
- SIMS, 1998, “Bayesian Methods for Dynamic Multivariate Models”, International Economic Review, 39, 949, 10.2307/2527347 · DOI · Paper page
- SIMS, 1999, “Error Bands for Impulse Responses”, Econometrica, 67, 1113, 10.1111/1468-0262.00071 · DOI · Paper page
- SIMS, 2006, “Does Monetary Policy Generate Recessions?”, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 10, 231, 10.1017/S136510050605019X · DOI
- SIMS, 2006, “Were There Regime Switches in US Monetary Policy?”, American Economic Review, 96, 54, 10.1257/000282806776157678 · DOI · Paper page
- SMETS, 2003, “An Estimated Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area”, Journal of European Economic Association, 1, 1123, 10.1162/154247603770383415 · DOI
- SPIVAK, 1965, Calculus on Manifolds: A Modern Approach to Classical Thoerems of Advanced Calculus
- STEWART, 1980, “The Efficient Generation of Random Orthogonal Matrices with an Application to Condition Estimators”, SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis, 17, 403, 10.1137/0717034 · DOI
- UHLIG, 1997, “Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility”, Econometrica, 65, 59, 10.2307/2171813 · DOI
- UHLIG, 2005, “What are the Effects of Monetary Policy on Output? Results from an Agnostic Identification Procedure”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 52, 381, 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2004.05.007 · DOI · Paper page
- WAGGONER, 2003, “Likelihood Preserving Normalization in Multiple Equation Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 114, 329, 10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00087-3 · doi:10.1016/s0304-4076(03)00087-3
- ZHA, 1999, “Block Recursion and Structural Vector Autoregressions”, Journal of Econometrics, 90, 291, 10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00045-1 · doi:10.1016/s0304-4076(98)00045-1
Cited by
THE ROLE OF INVENTORIES AND SPECULATIVE TRADING IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR CRUDE OIL
Kilian, L., & Murphy, D. P. (2014) · Journal of Applied Econometrics · doi:10.1002/jae.2322 · Cited by 1,472
Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses
Plagborg-Møller, M., & Wolf, C. K. (2021) · Econometrica · doi:10.3982/ecta17813 · Cited by 732
WHY AGNOSTIC SIGN RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT ENOUGH: UNDERSTANDING THE DYNAMICS OF OIL MARKET VAR MODELS
Kilian, L., & Murphy, D. P. (2012) · Journal of the European Economic Association · doi:10.1111/j.1542-4774.2012.01080.x · Cited by 544
Narrative Sign Restrictions for SVARs
Antolín-Díaz, J., & Rubio-Ramírez, J. F. (2018) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20161852 · Cited by 346
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- RUBIO-RAMÍREZ, J. F., WAGGONER, D. F., & ZHA, T.
- Venue
- Review of Economic Studies
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2010-04
- Volume
- 77
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 665-696
- ISSN
- 0034-6527 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-937X
- OpenAlex
- W2109425163
- Cited by
- 901
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 45.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.1467-937x.2009.00578.x
- The paper
- RUBIO-RAMÍREZ, J. F., WAGGONER, D. F., & ZHA, T. (2010). Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference. Review of Economic Studies. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937x.2009.00578.x
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.