The DOI matches its Crossref record; 24 of the 24 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
IS THE DECLINE IN THE FREQUENCY OF DRAWS IN TEST MATCH CRICKET DETRIMENTAL TO THE LONG FORM OF THE GAME?
Abstract
The frequency of draws in test cricket has declined noticeably in the last fifteen years. This has been brought about by changes in the style of the 5‐day game, coupled with several rule changes designed to extend time played. While many believe this to be good for the game, a contrary argument advanced here suggests that too many Tests are finishing excessively early, and hence are more predictable. Regression results indicate that rising run rates and rising average wickets per Test have some explanatory power over the frequency of draws, but the rule changes have also played a big part. This is one issue (of several) that administrators must address to ensure that the oldest and purest form of the game is able to continue to compete for consumer interest with shorter forms of the game in the future.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“which mirrors previous findings that suggested a higher run rate is expected in Test cricket as T20s become more commonplace within the international cricket calendar (Lenten, 2008).”
From The Change in Test Cricket Performance Following the Introduction of T20 Cricket (2023) · cites this paper as Lenten, 2008
In the citing paper
“Previous findings identified an increase in Tests finishing within four days from 19.0% to 40.8%, and the number of Tests finishing within three days rising to 15.3% (from 2.5%; Lenten, 2008).”
From The Change in Test Cricket Performance Following the Introduction of T20 Cricket (2023) · cites this paper as Lenten, 2008
In the citing paper
“Research has shown a substantial 21% decrease (Lenten, 2008) in draw percentage in Test matches; however, a decrease of 7% has also been identified (Allsopp, 2005).”
From The Change in Test Cricket Performance Following the Introduction of T20 Cricket (2023) · cites this paper as Lenten, 2008
In the citing paper
“Research identified an increase in run rates for Test cricket that coincided with increasing ODI run rates, although there appeared to be an approximate 10-year delay (Lenten, 2008).”
From The Change in Test Cricket Performance Following the Introduction of T20 Cricket (2023) · cites this paper as Lenten, 2008
Citations
Cites
Estimating the Dimension of a Model
Schwarz, G. (1978) · The Annals of Statistics · doi:10.1214/aos/1176344136 · Cited by 47,033
Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle
Akaike, H. (1998) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0_15 · Cited by 17,781
Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation
Hodrick, R. J., & Prescott, E. C. (1997) · Journal of money credit and banking · doi:10.2307/2953682 · Cited by 7,410
Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions
Chow, G. C. (1960) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1910133 · Cited by 6,486
A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation
Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1911963 · Cited by 5,647
Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals.
Jarque, C. M., & Bera, A. K. (1980) · Economics Letters · doi:10.1016/0165-1765(80)90024-5 · Cited by 4,338
Tests for Specification Errors in Classical Linear Least-Squares Regression Analysis
Ramsey, J. B. (1969) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1969.tb00796.x · Cited by 3,352
Theory ahead of business-cycle measurement
Prescott, E. C. (1986) · Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy · doi:10.1016/0167-2231(86)90035-7 · Cited by 1,664
Godfrey, L. G. (1978) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913829 · Cited by 1,553
The Baseball Players' Labor Market
Rottenberg, S. (1956) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/257790 · Cited by 1,387
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Akaike H., 1973, 2nd International Symposium on Information Theory, 267
Cited by
Forecasting test cricket match outcomes in play
Akhtar, S., & Scarf, P. (2012) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.08.005 · Cited by 53
Lenten, L. J. A., Geerling, W., & Kónya, L. (2011) · Sport Management Review · doi:10.1016/j.smr.2011.01.002 · Cited by 20
Self-citationThe evolution of competitive balance in men’s international cricket
Mondal, S., Plumley, D., & Wilson, R. (2021) · Managing Sport and Leisure · doi:10.1080/23750472.2021.1938175 · Cited by 7
She Kicks: The State of Competitive Balance in the Top Five Women’s Football Leagues in Europe
Mondal, S. (2021) · Journal of Global Sport Management · doi:10.1080/24704067.2021.1875629 · Cited by 7
Booth, R. (2009) · Australian Economic Review · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8462.2009.00562.x · Cited by 7
Metadata
- Authors
- LENTEN, L. J. A.
- Affiliations
- La Trobe University (AU)
- Corresponding author
- LENTEN, LIAM J. A.
- ORCID
- LENTEN, LIAM J. A.
- Venue
- Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2008-12
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 364-380
- ISSN
- 0812-0439 (ISSN-L)
- 1759-3441
- OpenAlex
- W2057910775
- Cited by
- 11
- References
- 24
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 2.31
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Economic Papers A journal of applied economics and policy (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Sports Analytics and Performance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Sociology, History and Politics of Sport
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Sports, Gender, and Society
- Keywords
- Test cricket, match duration, sports management
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: IS THE DECLINE IN THE FREQUENCY OF DRAWS IN TEST MATCH CRICKET DETRIMENTAL TO THE LONG FORM OF THE GAME? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2008.tb01050.x
- The paper
- LENTEN, L. J. A. (2008). IS THE DECLINE IN THE FREQUENCY OF DRAWS IN TEST MATCH CRICKET DETRIMENTAL TO THE LONG FORM OF THE GAME? Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2008.tb01050.x
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.