The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Predictive Model Selection
Abstract
SUMMARY: We consider the problem of selecting one model from a large class of plausible models. A predictive Bayesian viewpoint is advocated to avoid the specification of prior probabilities for the candidate models and the detailed interpretation of the parameters in each model. Using criteria derived from a certain predictive density and a prior specification that emphasizes the observables, we implement the proposed methodology for three common problems arising in normal linear models: variable subset selection, selection of a transformation of predictor variables and estimation of a parametric variance function. Interpretation of the relative magnitudes of the criterion values for various models is facilitated by a calibration of the criteria. Relationships between the proposed criteria and other well-known criteria are examined.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
(1990) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.27-3338 · Cited by 35,305
McCullagh, P., & Nelder, J. A. (1989) · doi:10.1007/978-1-4899-3242-6 · Cited by 16,836
AITCHISON, J. (1975) · Biometrika · doi:10.1093/biomet/62.3.547 · Cited by 256
Cited by
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
Spiegelhalter, D. J., Best, N. G., Carlin, B. P., & Van Der Linde, A. (2002) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/1467-9868.00353 · Cited by 151
Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
Gneiting, T., & Raftery, A. E. (2007) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1198/016214506000001437 · Cited by 5,793
What to do about missing values in time series cross- section data
Honaker, J., & King, G. (2010) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00447.x · Cited by 966
(2004) · doi:10.1177/0049124103262065 · Cited by 906
The Practical Implementation of Bayesian Model Selection
Chipman, H., George, E. I., & McCulloch, R. E. (2001) · Institute of Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes - Monograph Series · doi:10.1214/lnms/1215540964 · Cited by 416
Metadata
- Authors
- Laud, P. W., & Ibrahim, J. G.
- Venue
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1995-01-01
- Volume
- 57
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 247-262
- ISSN
- 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9868
- OpenAlex
- W2471967545
- Cited by
- 350
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 11.71
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Predictive Model Selection. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02028.x
- The paper
- Laud, P. W., & Ibrahim, J. G. (1995). Predictive Model Selection. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02028.x
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.