Cited by 113Meta-analysis and systematic reviewsscientometrics and bibliometrics researchAcademic Publishing and Open Access

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MENKVELD, ALBERT J., DREBER, ANNA, HOLZMEISTER, FELIX, HUBER, JUERGEN, JOHANNESSON, MAGNUS, KIRCHLER, MICHAEL, NEUSÜß, SEBASTIAN, RAZEN, MICHAEL +335 more·2024·The Journal of Finance

Abstract

In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data‐generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence‐generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across researchers adds uncertainty—nonstandard errors (NSEs). We study NSEs by letting 164 teams test the same hypotheses on the same data. NSEs turn out to be sizable, but smaller for more reproducible or higher rated research. Adding peer‐review stages reduces NSEs. We further find that this type of uncertainty is underestimated by participants.

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MENKVELD, A. J., DREBER, A., HOLZMEISTER, F., HUBER, J., JOHANNESSON, M., KIRCHLER, M., NEUSÜß, S., RAZEN, M., WEITZEL, U., ABAD‐DÍAZ, D., ABUDY, M. (., ADRIAN, T., AIT‐SAHALIA, Y., AKMANSOY, O., ALCOCK, J. T., ALEXEEV, V., ALOOSH, A., AMATO, L., AMAYA, D., ANGEL, J. J., AVETIKIAN, A. T., BACH, A., BAIDOO, E., BAKALLI, G., BAO, L., BARBON, A., BASHCHENKO, O., BINDRA, P. C., BJØNNES, G. H., BLACK, J. R., BLACK, B. S., BOGOEV, D., CORREA, S. B., BONDARENKO, O., BOS, C. S., BOSCH‐ROSA, C., BOURI, E., BROWNLEES, C., CALAMIA, A., CAO, V. N., CAPELLE‐BLANCARD, G., ROMERO, L. M. C., CAPORIN, M., CARRION, A., CASKURLU, T., CHAKRABARTY, B., CHEN, J., CHERNOV, M., CHEUNG, W., CHINCARINI, L. B., CHORDIA, T., CHOW, S., CLAPHAM, B., COLLIARD, J., COMERTON‐FORDE, C., CURRAN, E., DAO, T., DARE, W., DAVIES, R. J., BLASIS, R. D., NARD, G. F. D., DECLERCK, F., DEEV, O., DEGRYSE, H., DEKU, S. Y., DESAGRE, C., DIJK, M. A. V., DIM, C., DIMPFL, T., DONG, Y. J., DRUMMOND, P. A., DUDDA, T., DUEVSKI, T., DUMITRESCU, A., DYAKOV, T., DYHRBERG, A. H., DZIELIŃSKI, M., EKSI, A., KALAK, I. E., ELLEN, S. T., EUGSTER, N., EVANS, M. D. D., FARRELL, M., FELEZ‐VINAS, E., FERRARA, G., FERROUHI, E. M., FLORI, A., FLUHARTY‐JAIDEE, J. T., FOLEY, S. D. V., FONG, K. Y. L., FOUCAULT, T., FRANUS, T., FRANZONI, F., FRIJNS, B., FRÖMMEL, M., FU, S. M., FÜLLBRUNN, S. C., GAN, B., GAO, G., GEHRIG, T. P., GEMAYEL, R., GERRITSEN, D., GIL‐BAZO, J., GILDER, D., GLOSTEN, L. R., GOMEZ, T., GORBENKO, A., GRAMMIG, J., GRÉGOIRE, V., GÜÇBILMEZ, U., HAGSTRÖMER, B., HAMBUCKERS, J., HAPNES, E., HARRIS, J. H., HARRIS, L., HARTMANN, S., HASSE, J., HAUTSCH, N., HE, X. (., HEATH, D., HEDIGER, S., HENDERSHOTT, T., HIBBERT, A. M., HJALMARSSON, E., HOELSCHER, S. A., HOFFMANN, P., HOLDEN, C. W., HORENSTEIN, A. R., HUANG, W., HUANG, D., HURLIN, C., ILCZUK, K., IVASHCHENKO, A., IYER, S. R., JAHANSHAHLOO, H., JALKH, N., JONES, C. M., JURKATIS, S., JYLHÄ, P., KAECK, A. T., KAISER, G., KARAM, A., KARMAZIENE, E., KASSNER, B., KAUSTIA, M., KAZAK, E., KEARNEY, F., KERVEL, V. V., KHAN, S. A., KHOMYN, M. K., KLEIN, T., KLEIN, O., KLOS, A., KOETTER, M., KOLOKOLOV, A., KORAJCZYK, R. A., KOZHAN, R., KRAHNEN, J. P., KUHLE, P., KWAN, A., LAJAUNIE, Q., LAM, F. Y. E. C., LAMBERT, M., LANGLOIS, H., LAUSEN, J., LAUTER, T., LEIPPOLD, M., LEVIN, V., LI, Y., LI, H., LIEW, C. Y., LINDNER, T., LINTON, O., LIU, J., LIU, A., LLORENTE, G., LOF, M., LOHR, A., LONGSTAFF, F., LOPEZ‐LIRA, A., MANKAD, S., MANO, N., MARCHAL, A., MARTINEAU, C., MAZZOLA, F., MELOSO, D., MI, M. G., MIHET, R., MOHAN, V., MOINAS, S., MOORE, D., MU, L., MURAVYEV, D., MURPHY, D., NESZVEDA, G., NEUMEIER, C., NIELSSON, U., NIMALENDRAN, M., NOLTE, S., NORDEN, L. L., O'NEILL, P., OBAID, K., ØDEGAARD, B. A., ÖSTBERG, P., PAGNOTTA, E., PAINTER, M., PALAN, S., PALIT, I. J., PARK, A., PASCUAL, R., PASQUARIELLO, P., PASTOR, L., PATEL, V., PATTON, A. J., PEARSON, N. D., PELIZZON, L., PELLI, M., PELSTER, M., PÉRIGNON, C., PFIFFER, C., PHILIP, R., PLÍHAL, T., PRAKASH, P., PRESS, O., PRODROMOU, T., PROKOPCZUK, M., PUTNINS, T., QIAN, Y., RAIZADA, G., RAKOWSKI, D., RANALDO, A., REGIS, L., REITZ, S., RENAULT, T., RENJIE, R. W., RENO, R., RIDDIOUGH, S. J., RINNE, K., RINTAMÄKI, P., RIORDAN, R., RITTMANNSBERGER, T., LONGARELA, I. R., ROESCH, D., ROGNONE, L., ROSEMAN, B., ROŞU, I., ROY, S., RUDOLF, N., RUSH, S. R., RZAYEV, K., RZEŹNIK, A. A., SANFORD, A., SANKARAN, H., SARKAR, A., SARNO, L., SCAILLET, O., SCHARNOWSKI, S., SCHENK‐HOPPÉ, K. R., SCHERTLER, A., SCHNEIDER, M., SCHROEDER, F., SCHÜRHOFF, N., SCHUSTER, P., SCHWARZ, M. A., SEASHOLES, M. S., SEEGER, N. J., SHACHAR, O., SHKILKO, A., SHUI, J., SIKIC, M., SIMION, G., SMALES, L. A., SÖDERLIND, P., SOJLI, E., SOKOLOV, K., SÖNKSEN, J., SPOKEVICIUTE, L., STEFANOVA, D., SUBRAHMANYAM, M. G., SZASZI, B., TALAVERA, O., TANG, Y., TAYLOR, N., THAM, W. W., THEISSEN, E., THIMME, J., TONKS, I., TRAN, H., TRAPIN, L., TROLLE, A. B., VADUVA, M. A., VALENTE, G., NESS, R. A. V., VASQUEZ, A., VEROUSIS, T., VERWIJMEREN, P., VILHELMSSON, A., VILKOV, G., VLADIMIROV, V., VOGEL, S., VOIGT, S., WAGNER, W., WALTHER, T., WEISS, P., WEL, M. V. D., WERNER, I. M., WESTERHOLM, P. J., WESTHEIDE, C., WIKA, H. C., WIPPLINGER, E., WOLF, M., WOLFF, C. C. P., WOLK, L., WONG, W., WRAMPELMEYER, J., WU, Z., XIA, S., XIU, D., XU, K., XU, C., YADAV, P. K., YAGÜE, J., YAN, C., YANG, A., YOO, W., YU, W., YU, Y., YU, S., YUESHEN, B. Z., YUFEROVA, D., ZAMOJSKI, M., ZAREEI, A., ZEISBERGER, S. M., ZHANG, L., ZHANG, S. S., ZHANG, X., ZHAO, L., ZHONG, Z., ZHOU, Z. I., ZHOU, C., ZHU, X. S., ZOICAN, M., & ZWINKELS, R.
Affiliations
  • University of Amsterdam (NL)
  • Stockholm School of Economics (SE)
  • Universität Innsbruck (AT)
  • Aalto University (FI)
  • Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
  • Barcelona School of Economics (ES)
  • Bar-Ilan University (IL)
  • International Monetary Fund (US)
  • Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
  • European Central Bank (DE)
  • Wilfrid Laurier University (CA)
  • Georgetown University (US)
  • INSEAD (FR)
  • Bank of England (GB)
  • Auburn University (US)
  • Bank for International Settlements (CH)
  • HEC Paris (FR)
  • BI Norwegian Business School (NO)
  • EDF Energy (United Kingdom) (GB)
  • University of Liège (BE)
  • Norges Bank (NO)
  • Durham University (GB)
  • Bowling Green State University (US)
  • Eötvös Loránd University (HU)
  • Emory University (US)
  • Goethe University Frankfurt (DE)
  • KU Leuven (BE)
  • Columbia University (US)
  • Erasmus University Rotterdam (NL)
  • Frankfurt School of Finance & Management (DE)
  • Esade (ES)
  • Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales du Nord (FR)
  • Université Ibn-Tofail (MA)
  • Ghent University (BE)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York (US)
  • École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (CH)
  • HEC Montréal (CA)
  • Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques (FR)
  • Central Michigan University (US)
  • John von Neumann University (HU)
  • Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (DE)
  • Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IN)
  • Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel (DE)
  • Halle Institute for Economic Research (DE)
  • Cornell University (US)
  • Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research (HK)
  • Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen (DE)
  • Duke University (US)
  • Federal Housing Finance Agency (US)
  • Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (MX)
  • Deutsche Bundesbank (DE)
ORCID
Venue
The Journal of Finance
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2024-04-17
Volume
79
Issue
3
Pages
2339-2390
ISSN
  • 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
  • 1540-6261
OpenAlex
W4394881644
Cited by
113
References
8
Citations by year
2026: 42 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 3
FWCI
29.87
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
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  • Hispana (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Durham Research Online (Durham University) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
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  • UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Dublin City University Open Access Institutional Repository (Dublin City University) (submittedVersion)
  • ENLIGHTEN (Jurnal Bimbingan dan Konseling Islam) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (submittedVersion)
  • Infoscience (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
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  • Institutional Research Information System University of Turin (University of Turin) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
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  • RUA, Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Alicante (Universidad de Alicante) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
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  • HAL (submittedVersion)
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  • Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Hispana (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • IRIS (submittedVersion)
  • Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Lund University Publications (Lund University) (submittedVersion)
  • mediaTUM – the media and publications repository of the Technical University Munich (Technical University Munich) (submittedVersion)
  • Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Biblos-e Archivo (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid) (submittedVersion, public-domain)
  • CBS Research Portal (Copenhagen Business School) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
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  • SERVAL (Université de Lausanne) (submittedVersion)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
Funders
  • Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse
  • Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (P21‐0168)
  • Austrian Science Fund (P29362, SFBF63)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › scientometrics and bibliometrics research
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Information Systems and Management › Academic Publishing and Open Access
Keywords
research reproducibility, peer review, scientific uncertainty, hypothesis testing, research quality

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