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Prospects for Biodiversity
Abstract
Assuming no radical transformation in human behavior, we can expect important changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services by 2050. A considerable number of species extinctions will have taken place. Existing large blocks of tropical forest will be much reduced and fragmented, but temperate forests and some tropical forests will be stable or increasing in area, although the latter will be biotically impoverished. Marine ecosystems will be very different from today's, with few large marine predators, and freshwater biodiversity will be severely reduced almost everywhere. These changes will not, in themselves, threaten the survival of humans as a species.
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Cited by
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Gregory, R. D., van Strien, A., Vorisek, P., Gmelig Meyling, A. W., Noble, D. G., Foppen, R. P. B., & Gibbons, D. W. (2005) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2004.1602 · Cited by 948
Net effects of multiple stressors in freshwater ecosystems: a meta‐analysis
Jackson, M. C., Loewen, C. J. G., Vinebrooke, R. D., & Chimimba, C. T. (2016) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13028 · Cited by 854
A biodiversity intactness index
Scholes, R. J., & Biggs, R. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03289 · Cited by 577
Plant diversity effects on soil microorganisms support the singular hypothesis
Eisenhauer, N., Beßler, H., Engels, C., Gleixner, G., Habekost, M., Milcu, A., Partsch, S., Sabais, A. C. W., Scherber, C., Steinbeiss, S., et al. (2010) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/08-2338.1 · Cited by 533
Lakes and streams as sentinels of environmental change in terrestrial and atmospheric processes
Williamson, C. E., Dodds, W., Kratz, T. K., & Palmer, M. A. (2008) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1890/070140 · Cited by 462
Metadata
- Authors
- Jenkins, M.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2003-11-14
- Volume
- 302
- Issue
- 5648
- Pages
- 1175-1177
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2035898274
- Cited by
- 534
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 14.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
