Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe

Schröter, Dagmar; Cramer, Wolfgang; Leemans, Rik; Prentice, I. Colin; Araújo, Miguel B.; Arnell, Nigel W.; Bondeau, Alberte; Bugmann, Harald; Carter, Timothy R.; Gracia, Carlos A.; de la Vega-Leinert, Anne C.; Erhard, Markus; Ewert, Frank; Glendining, Margaret; House, Joanna I.; Kankaanpää, Susanna; Klein, Richard J. T.; Lavorel, Sandra; Lindner, Marcus; Metzger, Marc J.; Meyer, Jeannette; Mitchell, Timothy D.; Reginster, Isabelle; Rounsevell, Mark; Sabaté, Santi; Sitch, Stephen; Smith, Ben; Smith, Jo; Smith, Pete; Sykes, Martin T.; Thonicke, Kirsten; Thuiller, Wilfried; Tuck, Gill; Zaehle, Sönke; Zierl, Bärbel

doi:10.1126/science.1115233

Cited by 1,705

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe

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Schröter, Dagmar, Cramer, Wolfgang, Leemans, Rik, Prentice, I. Colin, Araújo, Miguel B., Arnell, Nigel W., Bondeau, Alberte, Bugmann, Harald, Carter, Timothy R., Gracia, Carlos A., de la Vega-Leinert, Anne C., Erhard, Markus, Ewert, Frank, Glendining, Margaret, House, Joanna I., Kankaanpää, Susanna, Klein, Richard J. T., Lavorel, Sandra, Lindner, Marcus, Metzger, Marc J., Meyer, Jeannette, Mitchell, Timothy D., Reginster, Isabelle, Rounsevell, Mark, Sabaté, Santi, Sitch, Stephen, Smith, Ben, Smith, Jo, Smith, Pete, Sykes, Martin T., Thonicke, Kirsten, Thuiller, Wilfried, Tuck, Gill, Zaehle, Sönke, Zierl, Bärbel·2005·Science

DOI 10.1126/science.1115233

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Abstract

Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, “surplus land” for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.

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Global Consequences of Land Use
Foley, J. A., DeFries, R., Asner, G. P., Barford, C., Bonan, G., Carpenter, S. R., Chapin, F. S., Coe, M. T., Daily, G. C., Gibbs, H. K., et al. (2005) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1111772 · Cited by 13,272
Self-citation
Ecological responses to recent climate change.
Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bairlein, F. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/416389a · Cited by 9,975
Global Biodiversity Scenarios for the Year 2100
Sala, O. E., Stuart Chapin, F., III, Armesto, J. J., Berlow, E., Bloomfield, J., Dirzo, R., Huber-Sanwald, E., Huenneke, L. F., Jackson, R. B., et al. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.287.5459.1770 · Cited by 9,280
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Vulnerability
Adger, W. N. (2006) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.006 · Cited by 5,417
Forest disturbances under climate change
Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., et al. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3303 · Cited by 2,878
Science for managing ecosystem services: Beyond the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
Carpenter, S. R., Mooney, H. A., Agard, J., Capistrano, D., DeFries, R. S., Díaz, S., Dietz, T., Duraiappah, A. K., Oteng-Yeboah, A., Pereira, H. M., et al. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0808772106 · Cited by 2,257
The emergence of land change science for global environmental change and sustainability
Turner, B. L., Lambin, E. F., & Reenberg, A. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0704119104 · Cited by 2,216
Alien species in a warmer world: risks and opportunities
Walther, G.-R., Roques, A., Hulme, P. E., Sykes, M. T., Pyšek, P., Kühn, I., Zobel, M., Bacher, S., Botta-Dukát, Z., & Bugmann, H. (2009) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.008 · Cited by 1,424
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Authors: Schröter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I. C., Araújo, M. B., Arnell, N. W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., de la Vega-Leinert, A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J. I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R. J. T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Metzger, M. J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T. D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M. T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S., & Zierl, B.
Venue: Science
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Published: 2005-11-25
Volume: 310
Issue: 5752
Pages: 1333-1337
ISSN: 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
1095-9203
DOI: 10.1126/science.1115233
OpenAlex: W2152369329
Cited by: 1,705
References: 3
FWCI: 54.55
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green

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This page: CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.1115233
The paper: Schröter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I. C., Araújo, M. B., Arnell, N. W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., de la Vega-Leinert, A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J. I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R. J. T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., . . . Zierl, B. (2005). Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1115233

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Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe

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