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Global Cooling After the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo: A Test of Climate Feedback by Water Vapor
Abstract
The sensitivity of Earth's climate to an external radiative forcing depends critically on the response of water vapor. We use the global cooling and drying of the atmosphere that was observed after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo to test model predictions of the climate feedback from water vapor. Here, we first highlight the success of the model in reproducing the observed drying after the volcanic eruption. Then, by comparing model simulations with and without water vapor feedback, we demonstrate the importance of the atmospheric drying in amplifying the temperature change and show that, without the strong positive feedback from water vapor, the model is unable to reproduce the observed cooling. These results provide quantitative evidence of the reliability of water vapor feedback in current climate models, which is crucial to their use for global warming projections.
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Citations
Cited by
The Changing Character of Precipitation
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Rasmussen, R. M., & Parsons, D. B. (2003) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-84-9-1205 · Cited by 3,196
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
Allen, M. R., & Ingram, W. J. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01092 · Cited by 3,009
How Well Do We Understand and Evaluate Climate Change Feedback Processes?
Bony, S., Colman, R., Kattsov, V. M., Allan, R. P., Bretherton, C. S., Dufresne, J.-L., Hall, A., Hallegatte, S., Holland, M. M., Ingram, W., et al. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3819.1 · Cited by 1,038
Self-citationTrends and variability in column-integrated atmospheric water vapor
Trenberth, K. E., Fasullo, J., & Smith, L. (2005) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0017-4 · Cited by 816
Decadal Prediction: Can It Be Skillful?
Meehl, G. A., Goddard, L., Murphy, J., Stouffer, R. J., Boer, G., Danabasoglu, G., Dixon, K., Giorgetta, M. A., Greene, A. M., Hawkins, E., et al. (2009) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/2009bams2778.1 · Cited by 755
Metadata
- Authors
- Soden, B. J., Wetherald, R. T., Stenchikov, G. L., & Robock, A.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2002-04-26
- Volume
- 296
- Issue
- 5568
- Pages
- 727-730
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2154336748
- Cited by
- 529
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 23.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Soden, B. J., Wetherald, R. T., Stenchikov, G. L., & Robock, A. (2002). Global Cooling After the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo: A Test of Climate Feedback by Water Vapor. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.296.5568.727
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
