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Natural history of Crohn's disease in a population-based cohort from Cardiff (1986–2003): a study of changes in medical treatment and surgical resection rates

Ramadas, A V, Gunesh, S, Thomas, G A O, Williams, G T, Hawthorne, A B·2010·Gut

Abstract

Introduction: Benefits of immunosuppressive therapy in Crohn's disease have been demonstrated in controlled trials; however, it is unclear whether these drugs alter the longer-term natural history of this condition. Aims and Methods: To assess changes in disease outcomes in a population-based cohort of patients diagnosed in Cardiff from 1986 to 2003. Case notes from Crohn's disease incidence studies in Cardiff were reviewed retrospectively for disease characteristics and follow-up information on drug therapy, and the need for surgery for Crohn's disease. The study population was divided into three groups by year of diagnosis (Group A=1986–1991, Group B=1992–1997 and Group C=1998–2003). Results: 341 patients were included. Kaplan–Meier (KM) analysis showed increasing use of immunosuppressants over time. At 5 years after diagnosis this was 11% in Group A, 28% in Group B, and 45% in Group C (p=0.001) and the median time to start of thiopurines was 77, 21 and 11 months in Group A, B and C respectively. There was a significant reduction in long-term steroid use at 5 years post diagnosis: 45 (44%), 31 (31%) and 24 (19%) patients in Group A, B and C respectively (p=0.001). KM analysis showed a significant reduction in the cumulative probability of intestinal surgery: At 5 years this was 59% (Group A), 37% (Group B) and 25% (Group C) (p=0.001). In a multivariate Cox analysis, year of diagnosis, disease location, oral corticosteroids within 3 months of diagnosis and early thiopurine use (within the first year of diagnosis) were all independent factors affecting likelihood of intestinal surgery. Conclusion: This population-based cohort shows marked changes in rates of surgery, and the reduction is independently associated with year of diagnosis, and associated temporally with increased and earlier thiopurine use.

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Metadata

Authors
Ramadas, A. V., Gunesh, S., Thomas, G. A. O., Williams, G. T., & Hawthorne, A. B.
Venue
Gut
Publisher
BMJ
Published
2010-07-21
Volume
59
Issue
9
Pages
1200-1206
ISSN
  • 0017-5749 (ISSN-L)
  • 1468-3288
OpenAlex
W2154875222
Cited by
384
References
27
FWCI
16.26
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Natural history of Crohn's disease in a population-based cohort from Cardiff (1986–2003): a study of changes in medical treatment and surgical resection rates. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1136/gut.2009.202101
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Ramadas, A. V., Gunesh, S., Thomas, G. A. O., Williams, G. T., & Hawthorne, A. B. (2010). Natural history of Crohn's disease in a population-based cohort from Cardiff (1986–2003): a study of changes in medical treatment and surgical resection rates. Gut. https://doi.org/10.1136/gut.2009.202101

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