Peripheral blood immune cell dynamics reflect antitumor immune responses and predict clinical response to immunotherapy
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Despite treatment advancements with immunotherapy, our understanding of response relies on tissue-based, static tumor features such as tumor mutation burden (TMB) and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression. These approaches are limited in capturing the plasticity of tumor-immune system interactions under selective pressure of immune checkpoint blockade and predicting therapeutic response and long-term outcomes. Here, we investigate the relationship between serial assessment of peripheral blood cell counts and tumor burden dynamics in the context of an evolving tumor ecosystem during immune checkpoint blockade. METHODS: Using machine learning, we integrated dynamics in peripheral blood immune cell subsets, including neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), from 239 patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and predicted clinical outcome with immune checkpoint blockade. We then sought to interpret NLR dynamics in the context of transcriptomic and T cell repertoire trajectories for 26 patients with early stage NSCLC who received neoadjuvant immune checkpoint blockade. We further determined the relationship between NLR dynamics, pathologic response and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) clearance. RESULTS: Integrated dynamics of peripheral blood cell counts, predominantly NLR dynamics and changes in eosinophil levels, predicted clinical outcome, outperforming both TMB and PD-L1 expression. As early changes in NLR were a key predictor of response, we linked NLR dynamics with serial RNA sequencing deconvolution and T cell receptor sequencing to investigate differential tumor microenvironment reshaping during therapy for patients with reduction in peripheral NLR. Reductions in NLR were associated with induction of interferon-γ responses driving the expression of antigen presentation and proinflammatory gene sets coupled with reshaping of the intratumoral T cell repertoire. In addition, NLR dynamics reflected tumor regression assessed by pathological responses and complemented ctDNA kinetics in predicting long-term outcome. Elevated peripheral eosinophil levels during immune checkpoint blockade were correlated with therapeutic response in both metastatic and early stage cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that early dynamics in peripheral blood immune cell subsets reflect changes in the tumor microenvironment and capture antitumor immune responses, ultimately reflecting clinical outcomes with immune checkpoint blockade.
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ICRs have been repeatedly proposed as solid prognostic markers for various additional conditions including low-grade inflammation, rheumatic diseases, sepsis, myocarditis, thrombosis, ischemic and cardiovascular events, autoimmune and systemic diseases, cancer incidence, progression, response and outcome, COVID-19 severity and prognosis, critical illness, and overall mortality.
“Since then, IRCs have been repeatedly proposed as solid prognostic markers for various additional conditions including low-grade inflammation, rheumatic diseases, sepsis, myocarditis, thrombosis, ischemic and cardiovascular events, autoimmune and systemic diseases, cancer incidence, progression, response and outcome, COVID-19 severity and prognosis, critical illness, and overall mortality [26,27,2”
From Immune Cell Ratios Are Higher in Bipolar Affective than Unipolar Depressive Disorder and Modulated by Mood Episode: A Retrospective, Cross-Sectional Study (2023) · cites this paper as [33]
The Background describes the neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic or predictive biomarker in lung cancer. The Results section on pathologic response to immunotherapy links NLR changes to tumor regression and recurrence-free survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer. The paper does not support the sentence’s broader list of conditions, cancer incidence, or overall mortality across populations. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
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The artificial intelligence and machine learning in lung cancer immunotherapy
Gao, Q., Yang, L., Lu, M., Jin, R., Ye, H., & Ma, T. (2023) · Journal of Hematology & Oncology · doi:10.1186/s13045-023-01456-y · Cited by 148 · see citing works
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- Authors
- Hwang, M., Canzoniero, J. V., Rosner, S., Zhang, G., White, J. R., Belcaid, Z., Cherry, C., Balan, A., Pereira, G., Curry, A., Niknafs, N., Zhang, J., Smith, K. N., Sivapalan, L., Chaft, J. E., Reuss, J. E., Marrone, K., Murray, J. C., Li, Q. K., Lam, V., Levy, B. P., Hann, C., Velculescu, V. E., Brahmer, J. R., Forde, P. M., Seiwert, T., & Anagnostou, V.
- Affiliations
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (US)
- Georgetown Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Anagnostou, Valsamo
- ORCID
- Canzoniero, Jenna Vanliere
- Rosner, Samuel
- White, James R
- Belcaid, Zineb
- Balan, Archana
- Pereira, Gavin
- Niknafs, Noushin
- Zhang, Jiajia
- Smith, Kellie N
- Sivapalan, Lavanya
- Chaft, Jamie E
- Reuss, Joshua E
- Marrone, Kristen
- Murray, Joseph C
- Li, Qing Kay
- Lam, Vincent
- Levy, Benjamin P
- Hann, Christine
- Velculescu, Victor E
- Brahmer, Julie R
- Forde, Patrick M
- Seiwert, Tanguy
- Anagnostou, Valsamo
- Venue
- Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2022-06
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- e004688
- ISSN
- 2051-1426 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9189831
- OpenAlex
- W4281733207
- Cited by
- 150
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 32 · 2025: 41 · 2024: 47 · 2023: 29 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 12.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Emerson Collective
- Johns Hopkins Research Program in Quantitative Sciences
- Maryland Department of Health and Mental Hygiene
- Swim Across America
- National Institutes of Health (CA 9071-40, CA121113)
- LUNGevity Foundation
- V Foundation for Cancer Research
- Pearl M. Stetler Research Fund
- ECOG-ACRIN Thoracic Malignancies Integrated Translational Science Center (UG1CA233259)
- Bristol-Myers Squibb (International Immuno-Oncology Network)
- Bloomberg-Kimmel Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Immunotherapy and Biomarkers
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Inflammatory Biomarkers in Disease Prognosis
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Immune cells in cancer
- Keywords
- immune checkpoint blockade, non-small cell lung cancer, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, circulating tumor DNA, tumor microenvironment, T cell receptor repertoire, interferon-gamma, eosinophils, neoadjuvant immunotherapy, treatment response prediction, tumor regression, tumor mutational burden, PD-L1 expression
- MeSH terms
- Circulating Tumor DNA, Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors, Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung, Humans, Immunity, Immunologic Factors, Immunotherapy, Lung Neoplasms, Biomarkers, Tumor, Ecosystem, Tumor Microenvironment, B7-H1 Antigen
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