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Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks
Open accessAbstract
Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these real-world applications often involves a mixture of long-term and short-term patterns, for which traditional approaches such as Autoregressive models and Gaussian Process may fail. In this paper, we proposed a novel deep learning framework, namely Long- and Short-term Time-series network (LSTNet), to address this open challenge. LSTNet uses the Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) to extract short-term local dependency patterns among variables and to discover long-term patterns for time series trends. Furthermore, we leverage traditional autoregressive model to tackle the scale insensitive problem of the neural network model. In our evaluation on real-world data with complex mixtures of repetitive patterns, LSTNet achieved significant performance improvements over that of several state-of-the-art baseline methods. All the data and experiment codes are available online.
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Cited by
Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting
Zhou, H., Zhang, S., Peng, J., Zhang, S., Li, J., Xiong, H., & Zhang, W. (2021) · Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.1609/aaai.v35i12.17325 · Cited by 7,752
Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions
Hewamalage, H., Bergmeir, C., & Bandara, K. (2021) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.06.008 · Cited by 1,371
TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Series
Yue, Z., Wang, Y., Duan, J., Yang, T., Huang, C., Tong, Y., & Xu, B. (2022) · Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.1609/aaai.v36i8.20881 · Cited by 850
Jin, M., Koh, H. Y., Wen, Q., Zambon, D., Alippi, C., Webb, G. I., King, I., & Pan, S. (2024) · IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence · doi:10.1109/tpami.2024.3443141 · Cited by 567
A survey on anomaly detection for technical systems using LSTM networks
Lindemann, B., Maschler, B., Sahlab, N., & Weyrich, M. (2021) · Computers in Industry · doi:10.1016/j.compind.2021.103498 · Cited by 445
Metadata
- Authors
- Lai, G., Chang, W.-C., Yang, Y., & Liu, H.
- Venue
- The 41st International ACM SIGIR Conference on Research & Development in Information Retrieval
- Publisher
- ACM
- Published
- 2018-06-27
- Pages
- 95-104
- OpenAlex
- W2604847698
- Cited by
- 2,152
- References
- 4
- FWCI
- 78.99
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Lai, G., Chang, W.-C., Yang, Y., & Liu, H. (2018). Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks. The 41st International ACM SIGIR Conference on Research & Development in Information Retrieval. https://doi.org/10.1145/3209978.3210006
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