Optimal Income Transfer Programs: Intensive versus Extensive Labor Supply Responses
Abstract
This paper investigates the optimal income transfer problem at the low end of the income distribution. The government maximizes a social welfare function and faces the traditional equity-efficiency trade-off. The paper models labor supply behavioral responses along the intensive margin (hours or intensity of work on the job) and along the extensive margin (participation in the labor force). Optimal tax formulas are derived as a function of the behavioral elasticities, the shape of the income distribution and the redistribution tastes of the government. When behavioral responses are concentrated along the intensive margin, the optimal transfer program is a classical Negative Income Tax program with a substantial guaranteed income support that is taxed away at high rates. However, when behavioral responses are concentrated along the extensive margin, the optimal transfer program is an Earned Income Credit program with negative marginal tax rates at low income levels and a small guaranteed income. Numerical simulations calibrated with the actual empirical earnings distribution are presented for a range of behavioral elasticities and redistributive tastes of the government. For realistic elasticities, the optimal program provides a moderate guaranteed income, imposes low tax rates on very low annual earnings levels, and then starts phasing out benefits at substantial rates.
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A universal basic income has labor supply distortions because there is still a tax on labor income, and adding it requires adjusting the tax schedule elsewhere.
“3) as emphasized by Saez (2002), it is not the case that a universal basic income has no labor supply distortions, since there is still a tax on labor income, and in particular adding the universal basic income to the tax schedule requires adjusting the tax schedule elsewhere.”
From Universal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries (2018) · cites this paper as Saez (2002)
The Abstract (p. 2) describes an equity–efficiency trade-off, labor-supply responses to income transfers, and guaranteed income that is taxed away at high rates. This supports the point that transfers can involve labor-supply distortions, but the readable passages do not specifically discuss a universal basic income or say that adding one requires adjusting the tax schedule elsewhere. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA universal basic transfer can be recast as a particular feature of a tax schedule, as described by Saez (2002).
“Given that a universal basic income would need to be financed through taxation, one can recast universal basic transfers as a particular feature of a tax schedule, as described by Saez (2002) and illustrated by Figure 1.”
From Universal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries (2018) · cites this paper as Saez (2002)
The Abstract (p. 2) describes income-transfer programs through optimal tax formulas, including a negative income tax with guaranteed income support; the figures on p. 40 are labeled transfer and tax schedules. This supports treating transfers as part of a tax schedule, but the readable passages do not specifically describe a universal basic transfer or its tax financing. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAn optimal income tax schedule is likely to feature a universal basic income when intensive labor supply elasticities are larger than extensive labor supply elasticities.
“He also discusses the conditions under which an optimal income tax schedule is likely to feature a universal basic incomeessentially, when intensive labor supply elasticities (the effects of changes in wages on hours of existing workers) are larger than extensive labor supply elasticities (the effect of changes in wages on hours of workers entering or leaving the labor force).”
From Universal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries (2018) · cites this paper as Saez (2002)
The Abstract (p. 2) says that when labor-supply responses are concentrated on the intensive margin, the optimal program is a negative income tax with substantial guaranteed income. It does not call this a universal basic income, and it says the optimum also depends on the income distribution and the government's redistributive preferences. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Optimal Taxation of Top Labor Incomes: A Tale of Three Elasticities
Piketty, T., Saez, E., & Stantcheva, S. (2014) · American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · doi:10.1257/pol.6.1.230 · Cited by 713 · see citing works
Self-citationUniversal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries
Hanna, R., & Olken, B. A. (2018) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.32.4.201 · Cited by 299 · see citing works
Globalization, inequality and welfare
Antràs, P., de Gortari, A., & Itskhoki, O. (2017) · Journal of International Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jinteco.2017.07.009 · Cited by 181 · see citing works
- Authors
- Saez, E.
- Affiliations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- Corresponding author
- Saez, E.
- Venue
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2002-08-01
- Volume
- 117
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1039-1073
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W2890726336
- Cited by
- 727
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 28 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 26 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 35 · 2016: 41 · 2015: 43 · 2014: 25 · 2013: 38 · 2012: 38
- FWCI
- 38.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Fiscal Studies
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Income, Poverty, and Inequality
- Keywords
- negative income tax, Earned Income Tax Credit, labor force participation, guaranteed income, marginal tax rates, low-income households
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