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Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Impulse Responses
Abstract
Inference about an impulse response is a multiple testing problem with serially correlated coefficient estimates. This paper provides a method to construct simultaneous confidence regions for impulse responses and conditional bands to examine significance levels of individual impulse response coefficients given propagation trajectories. The paper also shows how to constrain a subset of impulse response paths to anchor structural identification and how to formally test the validity of such identifying constraints. Simulation and empirical evidence illustrate the new techniques. A broad summary of asymptotic analytic formulas is provided to make the methods easy to implement with commonly available statistical software.
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“From the result, obviously inflation responds significantly to oil oil price shocks in Nigeria due to global oil market behavior since the p-value is less than 0.05.”
From Oil Price Shocks and Inflation Dynamics in Nigeria: Sensitivity of Unit Root to Structural Breaks (2019) · cites this paper as [29]
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Research works printed but not linked: 24
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Oil Price Shocks and Inflation Dynamics in Nigeria: Sensitivity of Unit Root to Structural Breaks
Chukwudi Odionye, J. (2019) · International Journal of Business and Economics Research · doi:10.11648/j.ijber.20190802.13 · Cited by 15
Metadata
- Authors
- Jordà, Ò.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Davis (US)
- Corresponding author
- Jordà, Òscar
- ORCID
- Jordà, Òscar
- Venue
- Review of Economics and Statistics
- Publisher
- MIT Press
- Published
- 2009-08
- Volume
- 91
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 629-647
- ISSN
- 0034-6535 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-9142
- OpenAlex
- W2131260078
- Cited by
- 121
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 15.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Review of Economics and Statistics (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Diverse Scientific and Economic Studies
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Keywords
- impulse response, simultaneous confidence regions, multiple comparisons, serial correlation, structural identification, asymptotic formula
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- The paper
- Jordà, Ò. (2009). Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Impulse Responses. Review of Economics and Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.91.3.629