Horizontal Inequality, Crosscutting Cleavages, and Civil War
Abstract
In this article, the authors bring together research on horizontal inequality, geographic dispersion of ethnic groups and crosscutting cleavages to present a more holistic theory of ethnic structure and civil war onset. The authors argue that rebel leaders are thwarted in their mobilization efforts in highly crosscutting societies due to a lower probability of potential combatants identifying with nationalist goals, decreased ability to exert social control, and diminished in-group communication. Using cross-national data from over 100 countries, the authors provide evidence that civil war onset is an average of nearly twelve times less probable in societies where ethnicity is crosscut by socioeconomic class, geographic region, and religion.
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Civil war is 12 times less probable in societies where ethnicity is cross-cut by another social identity such as class, geography, or religion.
“scholars have found that civil war is 12 times less probable in societies where ethnicity is cross-cut by another social identity such as class, geography, or religion (ref. 45; see also refs. 46, 47).”
From How digital media drive affective polarization through partisan sorting (2022) · cites this paper as [45]
Cites
Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset
GLEDITSCH, N. P., WALLENSTEEN, P., ERIKSSON, M., SOLLENBERG, M., & STRAND, H. (2002) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343302039005007 · Cited by 3,846 · cited 2× · see citing works
“…State Failure Problem Set (Bates et al. 2003), Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP)/ Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) Armed Conflict Data set (Gleditsch et al. 2002), and Major Episodes of Political Violence (MEPV; Marshall 2005).15 These three data sets differ primarily in the threshold of…”
BackgroundMethodEthnic Polarization, Potential Conflict, and Civil Wars
Montalvo, J. G., & Reynal-Querol, M. (2005) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/0002828054201468 · Cited by 1,386 · cited 3× · see citing works
“Results were mixed, however, even for studies that used similar measures (Collier and Hoeffler 1998, 2000, 2004; Fearon and Laitin 2003; Reynal-Querol 2002; Posner 2004; Montalvo and Reynal-Querol 2005; Kalyvas 2007; Fearon, Kasara, and Laitin 2007; Wimmer, Cederman, and Min 2009).”
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How digital media drive affective polarization through partisan sorting
Törnberg, P. (2022) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2207159119 · Cited by 288 · see citing works
- Authors
- Gubler, J. R., & Selway, J. S.
- Affiliations
- Brigham Young University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Selway, Joel Sawat
- Venue
- Journal of Conflict Resolution
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2012-04
- Volume
- 56
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 206-232
- ISSN
- 0022-0027 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-8766
- OpenAlex
- W2155884724
- Cited by
- 227
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 34 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 42 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 11 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 13 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 23.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Conflict Resolution (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Middle East Politics and Society
- Keywords
- horizontal inequality, civil war onset, ethnic composition, socioeconomic class, in-group communication, social control, ethnic conflict
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