Cited by 37Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic SkillsClinical practice guidelines implementationPrimary Care and Health Outcomes

Diagnostic Certainty as a Source of Medical Practice Variation in Coronary Heart Disease: Results from a Cross-National Experiment of Clinical Decision Making

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Lutfey, Karen E., Link, Carol L., Marceau, Lisa D., Grant, Richard W., Adams, Ann, Arber, Sara, Siegrist, Johannes, Bönte, Markus +2 more·2009·Medical Decision Making

Abstract

The authors examined physician diagnostic certainty as one reason for cross-national medical practice variation. Data are from a factorial experiment conducted in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, estimating 384 generalist physicians' diagnostic and treatment decisions for videotaped vignettes of actor patients depicting a presentation consistent with coronary heart disease (CHD). Despite identical vignette presentations, the authors observed significant differences across health care systems, with US physicians being the most certain and German physicians the least certain (P < 0.0001). Physicians were least certain of a CHD diagnoses when patients were younger and female (P < 0.0086), and there was additional variation by health care system (as represented by country) depending on patient age (P < 0.0100) and race (P < 0.0021). Certainty was positively correlated with several clinical actions, including test ordering, prescriptions, referrals to specialists, and time to follow-up.

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  • Many assumption studies attempted to make their vignettes as realistic as possible by having them validated by clinicians and by having participants view/read the vignettes as part of a normal day at work.

    “many of the assumption studies attempted to make their vignettes as realistic as possible by having them validated by clinicians [25–41] and also by having participants view/read the vignettes as part of a normal day at work [27–36, 39, 41].”
  • Eight articles appeared to refer to the same data collected in a single cross-country comparison study, and a further two articles analysed the same data.

    “eight articles appeared to refer to the same data collected in a single cross-country comparison study [27–32, 34, 35] and a further two articles analysed the same data [45, 47].”

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Authors
Lutfey, K. E., Link, C. L., Marceau, L. D., Grant, R. W., Adams, A., Arber, S., Siegrist, J., Bönte, M., von dem Knesebeck, O., & McKinlay, J. B.
Affiliations
  • New England Research Institutes (US)
  • Harvard University (US)
  • University of Warwick (GB)
  • University of Surrey (GB)
  • Dusseldorf University, Dusseldorf, Germany (JS); and University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
  • Universität Hamburg (DE)
  • New England Research Institutes, Watertown, Massachusetts
Corresponding author
Lutfey, Karen E.
Venue
Medical Decision Making
Published
2009-05-21
Volume
29
Issue
5
Pages
606-618
ISSN
  • 0272-989X (ISSN-L)
  • 1552-681X
OpenAlex
W2161932708
Cited by
37
References
56
Citations by year
2025: 2 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 3 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 1 · 2012: 2
FWCI
1.22
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Medical Decision Making (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • Surrey Research Insight Open Access (The University of Surrey) (submittedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • National Institute for Health and Care Research (PC6/CSA04/01)
  • National Institute on Aging (AG 16747, R01AG016747)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Family Practice › Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Clinical practice guidelines implementation
  • Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Primary Care and Health Outcomes
Keywords
diagnostic certainty, clinical practice variation, coronary artery disease, clinical decision-making, cross-national comparison, health care system, vignette study, generalist physicians, sex differences in diagnosis, patient age, race, test ordering, specialist referral
MeSH terms
Aged, Coronary Disease, Decision Making, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Practice Patterns, Physicians', Uncertainty

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