Diagnostic Certainty as a Source of Medical Practice Variation in Coronary Heart Disease: Results from a Cross-National Experiment of Clinical Decision Making
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The authors examined physician diagnostic certainty as one reason for cross-national medical practice variation. Data are from a factorial experiment conducted in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, estimating 384 generalist physicians' diagnostic and treatment decisions for videotaped vignettes of actor patients depicting a presentation consistent with coronary heart disease (CHD). Despite identical vignette presentations, the authors observed significant differences across health care systems, with US physicians being the most certain and German physicians the least certain (P < 0.0001). Physicians were least certain of a CHD diagnoses when patients were younger and female (P < 0.0086), and there was additional variation by health care system (as represented by country) depending on patient age (P < 0.0100) and race (P < 0.0021). Certainty was positively correlated with several clinical actions, including test ordering, prescriptions, referrals to specialists, and time to follow-up.
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Many assumption studies attempted to make their vignettes as realistic as possible by having them validated by clinicians and by having participants view/read the vignettes as part of a normal day at work.
“many of the assumption studies attempted to make their vignettes as realistic as possible by having them validated by clinicians [25–41] and also by having participants view/read the vignettes as part of a normal day at work [27–36, 39, 41].”
From Implicit bias in healthcare professionals: a systematic review (2017) · cites this paper as [29]
Eight articles appeared to refer to the same data collected in a single cross-country comparison study, and a further two articles analysed the same data.
“eight articles appeared to refer to the same data collected in a single cross-country comparison study [27–32, 34, 35] and a further two articles analysed the same data [45, 47].”
From Implicit bias in healthcare professionals: a systematic review (2017) · cites this paper as [29]
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References 56 · Cited by 37
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- Authors
- Lutfey, K. E., Link, C. L., Marceau, L. D., Grant, R. W., Adams, A., Arber, S., Siegrist, J., Bönte, M., von dem Knesebeck, O., & McKinlay, J. B.
- Affiliations
- New England Research Institutes (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- University of Warwick (GB)
- University of Surrey (GB)
- Dusseldorf University, Dusseldorf, Germany (JS); and University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
- Universität Hamburg (DE)
- New England Research Institutes, Watertown, Massachusetts
- Corresponding author
- Lutfey, Karen E.
- Venue
- Medical Decision Making
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2009-05-21
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 606-618
- ISSN
- 0272-989X (ISSN-L)
- 1552-681X
- PMC
- PMC3755454
- OpenAlex
- W2161932708
- Cited by
- 37
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2025: 2 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 3 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 1 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 1.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Medical Decision Making (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Surrey Research Insight Open Access (The University of Surrey) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (PC6/CSA04/01)
- National Institute on Aging (AG 16747, R01AG016747)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Family Practice › Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Clinical practice guidelines implementation
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Primary Care and Health Outcomes
- Keywords
- diagnostic certainty, clinical practice variation, coronary artery disease, clinical decision-making, cross-national comparison, health care system, vignette study, generalist physicians, sex differences in diagnosis, patient age, race, test ordering, specialist referral
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Coronary Disease, Decision Making, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Practice Patterns, Physicians', Uncertainty
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