Construction of genetic classification model for coronary atherosclerosis heart disease using three machine learning methods

Abstract

Background: Although the diagnostic method for coronary atherosclerosis heart disease (CAD) is constantly innovated, CAD in the early stage is still missed diagnosis for the absence of any symptoms. The gene expression levels varied during disease development; therefore, a classifier based on gene expression might contribute to CAD diagnosis. This study aimed to construct genetic classification models for CAD using gene expression data, which may provide new insight into the understanding of its pathogenesis. Methods: All statistical analysis was completed by R 3.4.4 software. Three raw gene expression datasets (GSE12288, GSE7638 and GSE66360) related to CAD were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database and included for analysis. Limma package was performed to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between CAD samples and healthy controls. The WGCNA package was conducted to recognize CAD-related gene modules and hub genes, followed by recursive feature elimination analysis to select the optimal features genes (OFGs). The genetic classification models were established using support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR), respectively. Further validation and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were conducted to evaluate the classification performance. Results: In total, 374 DEGs, eight gene modules, 33 hub genes and 12 OFGs (HTR4, KISS1, CA12, CAMK2B, KLK2, DDC, CNGB1, DERL1, BCL6, LILRA2, HCK, MTF2) were identified. ROC curve analysis showed that the accuracy of SVM, RF and LR were 75.58%, 63.57% and 63.95% in validation; with area under the curve of 0.813 (95% confidence interval, 95% CI 0.761–0.866, P < 0.0001), 0.727 (95% CI 0.665–0.788, P < 0.0001) and 0.783 (95% CI 0.725–0.841, P < 0.0001), respectively. Conclusions: In conclusion, this study found 12 gene signatures involved in the pathogenic mechanism of CAD. Among the CAD classifiers constructed by three machine learning methods, the SVM model has the best performance.