Deaths, injuries and detentions during civil demonstrations in Sudan: a secondary data analysis
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Since December 2018, the latest wave of anti-government protests in Sudan has led to deaths, injuries and detentions. We estimated the number of people killed and described patterns of deaths, injuries and detentions up to 9 April 2019. METHODS: We tabulated data from three publicly available lists maintained by Sudanese civil society sources (the Independent Movement, the Sudan Doctors' Union and the "Lest We Forget" project), and applied to these a capture-recapture statistical technique that models the overlap among lists to estimate the number of deaths not on any list. RESULTS: We estimated that about 117 civilians were killed in demonstrations during the above period, a considerably larger number than hitherto reported. Most decedents and injury victims were shot. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis demonstrates the importance of real-time data on political violence collected by civil society initiatives. The de facto Sudanese government should immediately cease attacks against peaceful civilian protesters and put in place guarantees for their safety.
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The FFC's public coordination during this period led to modest levels of participation as well as high levels of regime repression.
“The FFC's public coordination during this period led to modest levels of participation as well as high levels of regime repression (Dahab et al. 2019).”
From Coordinated Dis-Coordination (2024) · cites this paper as Dahab et al. 2019
The Discussion reports killings, firearm injuries and detentions during the Sudanese protests, supporting the claim that protesters faced substantial repression. It does not assess FFC public coordination, describe participation as modest, or establish that coordination caused either outcome. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredDespite the security apparatus's weakness, the FFC's public coordination of protest activities facilitated repression by the regime's security apparatus, eventually leading to the death of one hundred to two hundred protestors and the detention of around two thousand by April 2019.
“Yet, despite this weakness, the FFC's public coordination of protest activities facilitated repression by the regime's security apparatus, eventually leading to the death of one hundred to two hundred protestors and the detention of around two thousand protestors by April 2019 (Dahab et al. 2019; Medani 2021, 208).”
From Coordinated Dis-Coordination (2024) · cites this paper as Dahab et al. 2019
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References 5 · Cited by 17
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- [14]International Working Group for Disease Monitoring and Forecasting Capture-recapture and multiple-record systems estimation I: history and theoretical development Am J Epidemiol 1995 142 1047 1058 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117559 7485050 · DOI
- [15]Fienberg SE Johnson MS Junker BW Classical multilevel and Bayesian approaches to population size estimation using multiple lists J R Stat Soc A Stat Soc 1999 162 383 405 10.1111/1467-985X.00143 · DOI
- [17]Silva R Ball P The profile of human rights violations in Timor-Leste, 1974–1999: a report by the Benetech human rights data analysis group to the commission on reception, truth and reconciliation of Timor-Leste In Book The Profile of Human Rights Violations in Timor-Leste, 1974-1999: A Report by the Benetech Human Rights Data Analysis Group to the Commission on Reception, Truth and Reconciliation of Timor-Leste (Editor ed.^eds.) 2006 City Benetech
- Authors
- Dahab, M., Abdelmagid, N., Kodouda, A., & Checchi, F.
- Affiliations
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- George Washington University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Checchi, Francesco
- Venue
- Conflict and Health
- Published
- 2019-05-02
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 16-16
- ISSN
- 1752-1505 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6498502
- OpenAlex
- W2946075168
- Cited by
- 17
- References
- 5
- Citations by year
- 2025: 4 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 5
- FWCI
- 3.07
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Conflict and Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion, public-domain)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Health and Conflict Studies
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Memory, violence, and history
- Keywords
- anti-government protests, civilian deaths, injuries, detention, political violence, Sudan, mark-recapture, independent movement, human rights
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