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Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in cancer patients treated with tirzepatide compared to GLP-1 receptor agonists: A target trial emulation using real-world data.
Abstract
12027 Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause mortality in cancer patients. Obesity and type 2 diabetes are well-known modifiable risk factors for CVD progression and adverse CV related outcomes. We aim to assess the CV benefit of tirzepatide versus GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), a mainstay treatment in management of obesity and cardiometabolic disease, in cancer patients. Methods: We conducted a target trial emulation using TriNetX, an aggregated EHR platform. We identified adults (May 2022-Jan 2024) diagnosed with solid neoplasm and cardiometabolic conditions (hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, or type 2 diabetes). We excluded patients with in situ neoplasms, hematologic malignancy, metastatic solid neoplasm, medication contraindication (type 1 diabetes, gastroparesis, thyroid cancer), performance status ECOG > 3, or on dialysis. Patients were divided into two exclusive groups: tirzepatide or GLP-1RA. The first prescription of each medication was defined as time zero/index event. Individuals with any MACE within 60 days prior to index event were excluded. Study groups were propensity matched, using a 1:1 nearest neighbor algorithm, for 55 covariates: demographics, Charlson comorbidity index and cardiac conditions, chemotherapy, radiation, BMI, HbA1c, LDL, eGFR, systolic BP, medications, smoking/alcohol, and social determinants. Primary outcome was incidence of MACE (acute myocardial infarction, stroke, or CV death) and overall survival over a 2-year period. Secondary outcomes were changes in HbA1c and BMI. Kaplan Meier analysis and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated to compare time-to-event outcomes. Results: We identified 42,584 patients [mean age 55.4 (±12.1) years; 62.5% female; 63.1% White; mean HbA1c 6.82 (±1.81); mean BMI 37.5 (±7.7)] with solid tumors and cardiometabolic conditions. Tirzepatide was associated with a significant MACE reduction compared to GLP-1RA and improved overall survival (Table 1). At follow-up, mean HbA1c was significantly lower in tirzepatide group (6.21 ± 1.28) compared to GLP-1RA (6.50 ± 1.46; p < 0.001). Patients on tirzepatide also experienced greater BMI reduction (34.7 ± 7.7 kg/m2) compared to GLP-1RA (35.5 ± 7.7 kg/m2; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Tirzepatide was associated with significant reductions in MACE, HbA1c, and BMI compared to GLP-1RA, suggesting a preferential pharmacotherapy option for addressing obesity and cardiovascular disease reduction in cancer patients while improving overall survival outcomes and quality of care in this high-risk population. Outcome Adjusted HR (95% CI) p- value MACE 0.761 (0.616-0.940) 0.011 Myocardial Infarction 0.650 (0.475-0.889) 0.007 Stroke 1.103 (0.937-1.300) 0.240 Ischemic Heart Disease 0.785 (0.627-0.983) 0.035 Cardiac Death 0.621 (0.365-0.890) 0.032 Overall Survival 0.563 (0.415-0.736) <0.001
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Studies have reported beneficial effects in cardiovascular outcomes in populations with type 2 diabetes.
“While studies have reported beneficial effects in cardiovascular outcomes in populations with T2D,19–23 data to understand the long-term health benefits, such as CVD risk reduction, in patients with obesity are limited.24,25”
From Tirzepatide compared with semaglutide and 10-year cardiovascular disease risk reduction in obesity: post-hoc analysis of the SURMOUNT-5 trial (2025) · cites this paper as [22]
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Mamas, M. A., Bays, H., Li, R., Upadhyay, N., Irani, T., Senyucel, C., Dunn, J. P., & Liu-Seifert, H. (2025) · European Heart Journal Open · doi:10.1093/ehjopen/oeaf117 · Cited by 24
Node, K., Batterham, R. L., Liu‐Seifert, H., Li, R., Yoshino, M., Oura, T., Tanizawa, Y., & Komuro, I. (2026) · Current Medical Research and Opinion · doi:10.1080/03007995.2026.2686052 · Cited by 1
“Tirzepatide appears to lower CVD risk through multiple interrelated mechanisms, including reduced body weight, improved glycemic control, lowered systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and improved lipid profiles 4–8,23,24 .”
GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Use in Cancer Survivors—Challenges and Opportunities: A Narrative Review
Agurs‐Collins, T., & Sauter, E. R. (2026) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers18162714
“The fifth study evaluated the incidence of MACE among patients with solid tumors and cardiometabolic conditions, including individuals with and without T2DM, who were treated with tirzepatide or other GLP-1 medicines [53].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Ashruf, O., Mushtaq, A., Lin, C. (.-T., Volk, M., Orozco, Z., Hundal, J., Safdar, A., Thompson, C., Karimi, S., Jain, A. G., Sukumar, J. S., Moudgil, R., Mukherjee, S., Schwartz, G. K., Kaelber, D., Ma, W., Adjei, A. A., Mustafa Ali, M. K., & Singh, A.
- Affiliations
- Northeast Ohio Medical University (US)
- Cleveland Clinic (US)
- MetroHealth Medical Center (US)
- Los Angeles General Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA
- The University of Texas at Austin (US)
- The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
- Case Comprehensive Cancer Center (US)
- Cleveland Clinic Taussig Cancer Center, Cleveland, OH
- ORCID
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Oncology
- Published
- 2025-06
- Volume
- 43
- Issue
- 16_suppl
- Pages
- 12027-12027
- ISSN
- 0732-183X (ISSN-L)
- 1527-7755
- OpenAlex
- W4410816573
- Cited by
- 4
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 2
- Type
- conference abstract
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Clinical Oncology (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology (medical) › Pharmacology and Obesity Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity and mitigation
- Keywords
- tirzepatide, GLP-1 receptor agonists, major adverse cardiovascular events, cancer patients, cardiovascular safety, obesity, type 2 diabetes, cardiometabolic disease, overall survival, HbA1c, body mass index, target trial emulation, real-world data, solid tumors, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular mortality, antidiabetic drugs
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