Negative Association of Random Variables with Applications

Abstract

Random variables, $X_1, \cdots, X_k$ are said to be negatively associated (NA) if for every pair of disjoint subsets $A_1, A_2$ of $\{1, 2, \cdots, k\}, \operatorname{Cov}\lbrack f(X_1, i \in A_1), g(X_j, j \in A_2) \rbrack \leq 0$, for all nondecreasing functions $f, g$. The basic properties of negative association are derived. Especially useful is the property that nondecreasing functions of mutually exclusive subsets of NA random variables are NA. This property is shown not to hold for several other types of negative dependence recently proposed. One consequence is the inequality $P(X_i \leq x_i, i = 1, \cdots, k) \leq \prod^k_1P(X_i \leq x_i)$ for NA random variables $X_1, \cdots, X_k$, and the dual inequality resulting from reversing the inequalities inside the square brackets. In another application it is shown that negatively correlated normal random variables are NA. Other NA distributions are the (a) multinomial, (b) convolution of unlike multinomials, (c) multivariate hypergeometric, (d) Dirichlet, and (e) Dirichlet compound multinomial. Negative association is shown to arise in situations where the probability measure is permutation invariant. Applications of this are considered for sampling without replacement as well as for certain multiple ranking and selection procedures. In a somewhat striking example, NA and positive association representing quite strong opposing types of dependence, are shown to exist side by side in models of categorical data analysis.