The DOI matches its Crossref record; 35 of the 40 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The role of the basic state in the ENSO–monsoon relationship and implications for predictability
Open accessAbstract
The impact of systematic model errors on a coupled simulation of the Asian summer monsoon and its interannual variability is studied. Although the mean monsoon climate is reasonably well captured, systematic errors in the equatorial Pacific mean that the monsoon–ENSO teleconnection is rather poorly represented in the general-circulation model. A system of ocean-surface heat flux adjustments is implemented in the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans in order to reduce the systematic biases. In this version of the general-circulation model, the monsoon–ENSO teleconnection is better simulated, particularly the lag–lead relationships in which weak monsoons precede the peak of El Niño. In part this is related to changes in the characteristics of El Niño, which has a more realistic evolution in its developing phase. A stronger ENSO amplitude in the new model version also feeds back to further strengthen the teleconnection. These results have important implications for the use of coupled models for seasonal prediction of systems such as the monsoon, and suggest that some form of flux correction may have significant benefits where model systematic error compromises important teleconnections and modes of interannual variability. Copyright © 2005 Royal Meteorological Society
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“HadCM3 has been shown to perform skilfully in reproducing these monsoons and climate across Asia (Inness and Slingo 2003;Turner et al. 2005).”
From Climate Change and the Rise of the Central Asian Silk Roads (2019) · cites this paper as Turner et al. 2005
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“HadCM3 has previously been shown not to represent the teleconnections between ENSO and the monsoon systems (Turner et al. 2005), which may explain some of this decoupling.”
From Climate Change and the Rise of the Central Asian Silk Roads (2019) · cites this paper as Turner et al. 2005
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2001 : the scientific basis
Houghton, J., Ding, Y., Griggs, D., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. V. D., Dai, X., Maskell, K., & Johnson, C. (2001) · Foreign Affairs · doi:10.2307/20033020 · Cited by 14,162
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., & Kaplan, A. (2003) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2002jd002670 · Cited by 11,133
Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction
Webster, P. J., Magaña, V. O., Palmer, T. N., Shukla, J., Tomas, R. A., Yanai, M., & Yasunari, T. (1998) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/97jc02719 · Cited by 2,951
Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C. A., Banks, H. T., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C., Mitchell, J. F. B., & Wood, R. (2000) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820050010 · Cited by 2,616
Monsoon and ENSO: Selectively interactive systems
Webster, P. J., & Yang, S. (1992) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49711850705 · Cited by 1,978
Gorshkov, S. G., Flot, S. U. V.-M., & Glavnoe Upravlenie Navigat︠s︡ii i Okeanografii Ministerstva Oborony, S. S. S. R. (1976) · Pergamon eBooks · Cited by 1,735
The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model: HadAM3
Pope, V. D., Gallani, M. L., Rowntree, P. R., & Stratton, R. A. (2000) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820050009 · Cited by 1,542
All-India monthly and seasonal rainfall series: 1871?1993
Parthasarathy, B., Munot, A. A., & Kothawale, D. R. (1994) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/bf00867461 · Cited by 796
World Ocean Atlas 2023, Volume 1: Temperature
Locarnini, R. A., Mishonov, A. V., Baranova, O. K., Reagan, J. R., Boyer, T. P., Seidov, D., Wang, Z., Garcia, H. E., Bouchard, C., Cross, S. L., et al. (2023) · Institutional Archive of Ifremer (French Research Institute for Exploitation of the Sea) · doi:10.1016/0967-0653(95)95154-7 · Cited by 782
Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M., Ingram, W., Johnson, C. E., Jones, A. C., Lowe, J. A., Mitchell, J. F. B., Roberts, D. L., Sexton, D. M. H., Stevenson, D. S., et al. (2003) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0296-y · Cited by 575
The Asian summer monsoon and ENSO
Ju, J., & Slingo, J. (1995) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49712152509 · Cited by 522
Self-citationCharney, J. G., & Shukla, J. (1981) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511897580.009 · Cited by 491
Monsoon precipitation in the AMIP runs
Gadgil, S., & Sajani, S. (1998) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820050248 · Cited by 283
ENSIP: the El Niño simulation intercomparison project
Latif, M., Sperber, K. R., Arblaster, J. M., Braconnot, P., Chen, D., Colman, A. W., Ulrich Cubasch, B., Cooper, C., Delécluse, P., DeWitt, D. G., et al. (2001) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820100174 · Cited by 279
Triggering of El Ni�o by westerly wind events in a coupled general circulation model
Lengaigne, M., Guilyardi, É., Boulanger, J., Menkès, C. E., Delécluse, P., Inness, P. M., Cole, J., & Slingo, J. (2004) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0457-2 · Cited by 260
Self-citationSingle-Column Models and Cloud Ensemble Models as Links between Observations and Climate Models
Randall, D. A., Xu, K., Somerville, R. C. J., & Iacobellis, S. F. (1996) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009 · Cited by 259
Factors that affect the amplitude of El Nino in global coupled climate models
Meehl, G. A., Gent, P. R., Arblaster, J. M., Otto‐Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E. C., & Craig, A. P. (2001) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/pl00007929 · Cited by 207
Sperber, K. R., Slingo, J., & Annamalai, H. (2000) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49712656810 · Cited by 204
Self-citationGuilyardi, É., Gualdi, S., Slingo, J., Navarra, A., Delécluse, P., Cole, J., Madec, G., Roberts, M. J., Latif, M., & Terray, L. (2004) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-3260.1 · Cited by 150
Self-citationRajeevan, M. N., Pai, D. S., Dikshit, S. K., & KELKAR, R. R. (2004) · Open Access Digital Repository of Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India (Government of India) · Cited by 144
Inness, P. M., Slingo, J., Woolnough, S. J., Neale, R., & Pope, V. D. (2001) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820000148 · Cited by 141
Self-citationCoupled Ocean–Atmosphere Dynamical Processes in the Tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans and the TBO
Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., & Loschnigg, J. (2003) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/2767.1 · Cited by 135
The Life Cycle of Stratospheric Aerosol Particles
Hamill, P., Jensen, E. J., Russell, P. B., & Bauman, J. J. (1997) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078 · Cited by 127
Ocean response to the March 1997 Westerly Wind Event
Lengaigne, M., Boulanger, J., Menkès, C. E., Masson, S., Madec, G., & Delécluse, P. (2002) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2001jc000841 · Cited by 124
Normand, C. (1953) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49707934202 · Cited by 113
Dynamics of monsoon‐induced biennial variability in ENSO
Kim, K. ‐., & Lau, K. ‐. (2001) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2000gl012465 · Cited by 75
Ashrit, R., Douville, H., & Kumar, K. R. (2003) · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II · doi:10.2151/jmsj.81.779 · Cited by 72
Indian Ocean Climate and Dipole Variability in Hadley Centre Coupled GCMs
Spencer, H., Sutton, R. T., Slingo, J., Roberts, M. J., & Black, E. C. L. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3410.1 · Cited by 38
Self-citationCombining Predictive Schemes in Short-Term Forecasting
Fraedrich, K., & Leslie, L. M. (1987) · Monthly Weather Review · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115 · Cited by 34
Seasonal predictability of ENSO teleconnections: the role of the remote ocean response
Spencer, H., Slingo, J., & Davey, M. K. (2004) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0393-1 · Cited by 26
Self-citationEmanuel (1983) · doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1983)111
(2003) · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016
Self-citationCarlin (2002) · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015
Quesada (2001) · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014
McHugh, M. (2004) · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017
Research works printed but not linked: 6
- Lau, 2001, J. Climate, 14, 2880, 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2880:PMORSV>2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- 2002b, J. Climate, 15, 923, 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0923:IMGSET>2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- Neale, 2003, J. Climate, 16, 834, 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0834:TMCAIR>2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- Palmer, 1994, Proc. Indian Natl. Sci. Acad., 60, 57
- Rajeevan, 2004, Current Science, 86, 422
- Spencer, 2005, J. Climate
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon
Turner, A. G., & Annamalai, H. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1495 · Cited by 1,109
Self-citationWaßmann, R., Jagadish, S. V. K., Sumfleth, K., Pathak, H. N., Howell, G., Ismail, A. M., Serraj, R., Redoña, E. D., Singh, R. K., & Heuer, S. (2009) · Advances in agronomy · doi:10.1016/s0065-2113(09)01003-7 · Cited by 567
The global monsoon across time scales: Mechanisms and outstanding issues
Wang, P. X., Wang, B., Cheng, H., Fasullo, J., Guo, Z., Kiefer, T., & Liu, Z. (2017) · Earth-Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.07.006 · Cited by 513
The New Hadley Centre Climate Model (HadGEM1): Evaluation of Coupled Simulations
Johns, T. C., Durman, C. F., Banks, H. T., Roberts, M. J., McLaren, A. J., Ridley, J., Senior, C. A., Williams, K. D., Jones, A., Rickard, G. J., et al. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3712.1 · Cited by 428
The South Asian Summer Monsoon and Its Relationship with ENSO in the IPCC AR4 Simulations
Annamalai, H., Hamilton, K., & Sperber, K. R. (2007) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli4035.1 · Cited by 383
Metadata
- Authors
- Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., & Slingo, J. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Reading (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Turner, A. G.
- Venue
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2005-04-01
- Volume
- 131
- Issue
- 607
- Pages
- 781-804
- ISSN
- 0035-9009 (ISSN-L)
- 1477-870X
- OpenAlex
- W2100244618
- Cited by
- 139
- References
- 40
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 6.66
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Locations
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (publishedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Natural Environment Research Council
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- ENSO, Asian summer monsoon, systematic model errors, coupled climate model, interannual variability, El Niño, seasonal forecasting, model bias correction
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
