Student or educator? Sign up with your school email and get 6 months of Pro free.
Cited by 909

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 24 of the 24 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Macroeconomic Priorities

Lucas, Robert E·2003·American Economic Review

Abstract

Macroeconomics was born as a distinct field in the 1940s, as a part of the intellectual response to the Great Depression. The term then referred to the body of knowledge and expertise that we hoped would prevent the recurrence of that economic disaster. My thesis in this lecture is that macroeconomics in this original sense has succeeded: Its central problem of depression-prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes, and has in fact been solved for many decades. There remain important gains in welfare from better fiscal policies, but I argue that these are gains from providing people with better incentives to work and to save, not from better fine tuning of spending flows. Taking U.S. performance over the past 50 years as a benchmark, the potential for welfare gains from better long-run, supply side policies exceeds by far the potential from further improvements in short-run demand management. My plan is to review the theory and evidence leading to this conclusion. Section I outlines the general logic of quantitative welfare analysis, in which policy comparisons

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1257/000282803321455133

Cites

24 of 24 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Show all 24 references

Research works printed but not linked: 12

  1. Aiyagari S. Rao, 1994, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 18, 22
  2. 10.1086/261796 · doi:10.1086/261796
  3. Blanchard Olivier J, 1989, American Economic Review, 79, 655
  4. 10.1006/redy.1998.0020 · doi:10.1006/redy.1998.0020
  5. Friedman Milton, 1968, American Economic Review, 58, 1
  6. 10.1086/261797 · doi:10.1086/261797
  7. 1999, Dynamics, 2, 245
  8. 10.1086/258768 · doi:10.1086/258768
  9. Prescott Edward C, 1986, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10, 9
  10. Rosen Sherwin, 1996, Journal of Economic Literature, 34, 729
  11. 10.1016/S0014-2921(00)00101-X · doi:10.1016/s0014-2921(00)00101-x
  12. Summers Lawrence H, 1981, American Economic Review, 71, 533

Cited by

See all 909

Metadata

Authors
Lucas, R. E.
Venue
American Economic Review
Published
2003-02-01
Volume
93
Issue
1
Pages
1-14
ISSN
0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4252127857
Cited by
909
References
24
FWCI
69.52
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

How to cite

Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.

This page
CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Macroeconomic Priorities. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/000282803321455133
The paper
Lucas, R. E. (2003). Macroeconomic Priorities. American Economic Review. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803321455133

Data sources

Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.