The DOI matches its Crossref record; 24 of the 24 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Macroeconomic Priorities
Abstract
Macroeconomics was born as a distinct field in the 1940s, as a part of the intellectual response to the Great Depression. The term then referred to the body of knowledge and expertise that we hoped would prevent the recurrence of that economic disaster. My thesis in this lecture is that macroeconomics in this original sense has succeeded: Its central problem of depression-prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes, and has in fact been solved for many decades. There remain important gains in welfare from better fiscal policies, but I argue that these are gains from providing people with better incentives to work and to save, not from better fine tuning of spending flows. Taking U.S. performance over the past 50 years as a benchmark, the potential for welfare gains from better long-run, supply side policies exceeds by far the potential from further improvements in short-run demand management. My plan is to review the theory and evidence leading to this conclusion. Section I outlines the general logic of quantitative welfare analysis, in which policy comparisons
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Cited by
Rare Disasters, Asset Prices, and Welfare Costs
Barro, R. J. (2009) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.99.1.243 · Cited by 855
Markups, Gaps, and the Welfare Costs of Business Fluctuations
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Arregle, J., Miller, T. L., Hitt, M. A., & Beamish, P. W. (2013) · Strategic Management Journal · doi:10.1002/smj.2051 · Cited by 214
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Slicing the Pie: Quantifying the Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Trade
Galle, S., Rodríguez-Clare, A., & Yi, M. (2017) · doi:10.3386/w23737 · Cited by 111
Metadata
- Authors
- Lucas, R. E.
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2003-02-01
- Volume
- 93
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-14
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4252127857
- Cited by
- 909
- References
- 24
- FWCI
- 69.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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