The DOI matches its Crossref record; 42 of the 43 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Long and Short of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement
Abstract
The Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement provides a unique window onto the effects of a reciprocal trade agreement on an industrialized economy (Canada). For industries that experienced the deepest Canadian tariff cuts, the contraction of low-productivity plants reduced employment by 12 percent while raising industry-level labor productivity by 15 percent. For industries that experienced the largest U.S. tariff cuts, plant-level labor productivity soared by 14 percent. These results highlight the conflict between those who bore the short-run adjustment costs (displaced workers and struggling plants) and those who are garnering the long-run gains (consumers and efficient plants).
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“The first study of the impact of a trading partner's reduction in tariffs using plant-level data was Daniel Trefler's (2004) analysis of the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement.”
From Trade Liberalization, Exports, and Technology Upgrading: Evidence on the Impact of MERCOSUR on Argentinian Firms (2011) · cites this paper as Daniel Trefler's (2004)
Citations
Cites
(2001) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 27,577
(2012) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.102.7.i · Cited by 7,275
Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic's Guide to the Cross-National Evidence
Rodríguez, F. R., Rodrik, D., & Rodriguez, F. (2000) · NBER Macroeconomics Annual · doi:10.1086/654419 · Cited by 3,375
Trade Liberalization, Exit, and Productivity Improvements: Evidence from Chilean Plants
Pavcnik, N. (2002) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1111/1467-937x.00205 · Cited by 1,777
Manufacturing Firms in Developing Countries: How Well Do They Do, and Why?
Tybout, J. R. (2000) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.38.1.11 · Cited by 1,533
Exporters, Jobs, and Wages in U.S. Manufacturing: 1976-1987
Bernard, A. B., Jensen, J. B., & Lawrence, R. Z. (1995) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Microeconomics · doi:10.2307/2534772 · Cited by 1,208
“The Relation between Price and Marginal Cost in U.S. Industry”
Hall, R. E. (1988) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261570 · Cited by 1,207
The Relation Between Price and Marginal Cost in U.S. Industry
Hall, R. E. (1986) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w1785 · Cited by 1,122
Trefler, D. (1993) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261869 · Cited by 763
Self-citationTrade Policy and Economic Welfare.
Bhagwati, J. N., & Corden, W. M. (1976) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.2307/2230966 · Cited by 680
Research works printed but not linked: 10
- Finger J., 1982, American Economic Review, 72, 452
- 39(1-2), pp. 1-25. "The Labour Market Consequences of
- 1997, 30(1), pp. 18 - 41.
- ics, April 1999b, 47(2), pp. 295-320. "Increasing Returns versus National
- Economic Review, September 2001, 91(4),
- pp. 858 -76.
- Huber J. Richard, 1971, May-, 79, 614
- Krueger Anne O, 1997, American Economic Review, 87, 391
- pp. 321- 44.
- U.S. Free Trade Agreement." National Bureau of Economic Research (Cambridge, MA) Working Paper No. 8293, May 2001.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 801–900 of 1,000
Mo, W.-S., Rahnamamoghadam, M., Summers, P. M., & Valcarcel, V. J. (2014) · Research in Applied Economics · doi:10.5296/rae.v6i2.5149 · Cited by 1
Hong, G.-H. (2014) · International Economic Journal · doi:10.1080/10168737.2014.976244 · Cited by 1
Ouverture commerciale et marché du travail : une revue de la littérature
Laffineur, C. (2014) · Revue d économie politique · doi:10.3917/redp.243.0361 · Cited by 1
Jarrett, P. (2012) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 1
Strategic R&D Commitment and the Gains from Trade
Dewit, G., & Leahy, D. (2016) · Review of International Economics · doi:10.1111/roie.12250 · Cited by 1
South African manufacturing firms in transition
Francis, D. C., Roberts, G., & Valodia, I. (2018) · International Review of Applied Economics · doi:10.1080/02692171.2019.1524013 · Cited by 1
Quantifying Disruptive Trade Policies
Balistreri, E. J., Christoph Böhringer, A., & Rutherford, T. F. (2025) · Journal of Global Economic Analysis · doi:10.21642/jgea.100101af · Cited by 1
The elusive impacts of tariff reduction on firm selection
Wang, Y., & Zhang, G. (2021) · Economics of Transition and Institutional Change · doi:10.1111/ecot.12311 · Cited by 1
The Effect of Bilateral Labor Agreements on Trade
Maximova, A., & Paraschiv, M. (2022) · Journal of Economic Integration · doi:10.11130/jei.2022.37.4.649 · Cited by 1
Regionalism or Multilateralism: Evidence from India
Kathjoo, U. N., & Fazili, A. I. (2022) · South Asia Economic Journal · doi:10.1177/13915614221090029 · Cited by 1
Fund, I. M. (2014) · IMF Staff Country Reports · doi:10.5089/9781498304023.002 · Cited by 1
Sertyesilisik, E. (2022) · Emerald Group Publishing Limited eBooks · doi:10.1108/978-1-80117-870-920221022 · Cited by 1
Trade Liberalisation and the Reduction of Poverty—A Revisit
Turongpun, P. (2022) · Open Journal of Social Sciences · doi:10.4236/jss.2022.1012040 · Cited by 1
The Effect of CUSFTA and NAFTA on Canada’s Export Composition
Maleki, M. B., Samarghandi, H., & Bruneau, J. (2025) · Journal of Industry Competition and Trade · doi:10.1007/s10842-025-00448-7 · Cited by 1
Regional Content Requirements And Market Power: Lessons from Cusfta
Chung, W., & Perroni, C. (2022) · Journal of International Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104097 · Cited by 1
Exporter Premia, Self‐selection and Learning‐by‐exporting: Evidence from Listed Firms in Türkiye
GÜDER, M. (2025) · Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi · doi:10.30798/makuiibf.1606148 · Cited by 1
FOREIGN COMPETITION, FIRM HETEROGENEITY AND THE DISTINCTION BETWEEN TFP AND EMPLOYMENT FIRM GROWTH
Zajc, K., & Ponikvar, N. (2011) · Repository of the University of Ljubljana (University of Ljubljana) · Cited by 1
Firm Life-Cycle Dynamics and Productivity
Leung, D., Meh, C. A., & Terajima, Y. (2008) · Cited by 1
Selected Developmental Aspects of Trade and Trade Policies
Bineau, Y., & Montalbano, P. (2011) · Cited by 1
International Trade and Productivity after Apartheid
Rubini, L. (2020) · The B E Journal of Macroeconomics · doi:10.1515/bejm-2019-0154 · Cited by 1
Bowen, H. P., Hollander, A., & Viaene, J. (2012) · doi:10.1007/978-1-137-01551-8_8 · Cited by 1
Sheidaei, Z. (2022) · SN Social Sciences · doi:10.1007/s43545-022-00523-4 · Cited by 1
Containing Chinese state-owned enterprises? The role of deep trade agreements
Lefebvre, K., Rocha, N., & Ruta, M. (2022) · Review of World Economics · doi:10.1007/s10290-022-00484-z · Cited by 1
Measured Skill Premia and Input Trade Liberalization: Evidence from Chinese Firms
Chen, B., Yu, M., & Yu, Z. (2023) · Contributions to economics · doi:10.1007/978-981-99-7599-0_9 · Cited by 1
WHY PURSUE TRADE LIBERALIZATION?Preprint
Anderson, K., & Anderson, K. (2005) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.32883 · Cited by 1
Preferential Liberalization And Its Economy-Wide Effects In Honduras
Medvedev, D. (2008) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/1813-9450-4537 · Cited by 1
Location, Productivity, and TradePreprint
Wiseman, K. (2010) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 1
Can NAFTA be a stepping stone to monetary integration in North America?
Salvatore, D. (2006) · Économie internationale · doi:10.3917/ecoi.107.0135 · Cited by 1
The evolving quality of trade between Canada and the United States
Andresen, M. A. (2008) · Canadian Geographies / Géographies canadiennes · doi:10.1111/j.1541-0064.2008.00199.x · Cited by 1
Preferential Trade Agreements and Welfare: General Equilibrium AnalysisPreprint
Takayama, S., Yeo, T., & Cheong, J. (2013) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 1
Input-Trade Liberalization and MarkupsPreprint
Fan, H., Li, Y. A., & Luong, T. A. (2015) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2585543 · Cited by 1
RTAs Formation and Trade PolicyPreprint
Sala, D. (2006) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 1
Foreign Market Conditions and Export Performance: Evidence from Italian Firm-Level DataPreprint
Holger Breinlich, Y., & Tucci, A. (2009) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1398730 · Cited by 1
The geography of Canada - United States trade
Andresen, M. A. (2010) · cIRcle (University of British Columbia) · doi:10.14288/1.0092867 · Cited by 1
Can Intellectual Property Rights Protection Generate Brain Gain from International Migration?Preprint
Naghavi, A. J., & Strozzi, C. (2015) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2567391 · Cited by 1
Export Intensity and Input Trade Costs: Evidence from Chinese FirmsPreprint
Yu, M., & Tian, W. (2012) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2114068 · Cited by 1
International trade, foreign direct investment and productivity : an empirical investigation
Rodrigue, J. (2008) · QSpace (Queen's University Library) · Cited by 1
Competition and the Cost of DebtPreprint
Valta, P. (2011) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1492670 · Cited by 1
Lee, H., & Itakura, K. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 1
Input-Trade Liberalization and MarkupsPreprint
Fan, H., Li, Y. A., & Luong, T. A. (2016) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2607794 · Cited by 1
Globaliseringens drivkrafter och samhällsekonomiska konsekvenser
Ekholm, K. (2007) · Cited by 1
Regulatory Heterogeneity and Global Value Chain-Related TradePreprint
Lombini, A. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4166043 · Cited by 1
Deposit and Credit Reallocation in a Banking Panic: The Role of State-Owned BanksPreprint
Kulkarni, N., Acharya, V. V., Mishra, P., Prabhala, N. R., & Das, A. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4241013 · Cited by 1
Deposit and Credit Reallocation in a Banking Panic: The Role of State-Owned BanksPreprint
Acharya, V. V., Das, A., Kulkarni, N., Mishra, P., & Prabhala, N. R. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4249586 · Cited by 1
Foreign and Domestic Firms: Long Run Employment Effects of Export OpportunitiesPreprint
McCaig, B., Pavcnik, N., & Wong, W. F. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4315995 · Cited by 1
Trade Liberalization, Labor Share, and Rise of Superstar Importers: Evidence from ChinaPreprint
Miao, Z., Yu, M., & Zhong, T. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4352394 · Cited by 1
How Do U.S. Firms Withstand Foreign Industrial Policies? Evidence from China's Five-Year PlansPreprint
Cen, X., Fos, V., & Jiang, W. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4418407 · Cited by 1
Heterogeneous Productivity Response to Abolishing Antidumping Protection
Leijdekker, R. (2011)
Trade Liberalization, Price Distortions, and Resource ReallocationPreprint
Álvarez, R., & Braun, M. (2006) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Summary Of: Tariff Reduction and Employment in Canadian Manufacturing, 1988-1994Preprint
Larochelle-Côté, S. (2005) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Baldwin, J. R., & Yan, B. (2010)
Barriers to firm growth in open economies
Piguillem, F., & Rubini, L. (2018) · The B E Journal of Macroeconomics · doi:10.1515/bejm-2018-0003
Le secteur canadien de la fabrication : adaptation aux défis
Baldwin, J. R., & MacDonald, R. J. (2009)
International and innovation activities of firms
Steinwender, C. (2014) · London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)
Baldwin, J. R., Brown, W. M., & Gu, W. (2008) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Reductions tarifaires et emploi dans le secteur de la fabrication au Canada, 1988 a 1994Preprint
Larochelle-Côté, S. (2005) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Essays in International Economics
Göksel, T. (2009) · University of Minnesota Digital Conservancy (University of Minnesota) · doi:10.1501/ankara-24703
Gu, W., Sawchuk, G. D., & Rennison, L. W. (2003)
Winners and Losers in International Economic Integration: The Distributional Effects of the NAFTAPreprint
Ciuriak, D. (2010) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1532881
Baldwin, J. R., & Gu, W. (2006) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Strategic Investment and the Gains from TradePreprint
Dewit, G., & Leahy, D. (2011) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Lifting the Veil: The Face of TFP in an Indian Rail MillPreprint
Das, S., Krishna, K. M., Lychagin, S., & Somanathan, R. (2011) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1888196
Movement of heterogeneous goods and people.
Rolleigh, M. (2009) · University of Minnesota Digital Conservancy (University of Minnesota)
R&D in the Network of International Trade
World Trade Organization (2008) · WTO Working papers · doi:10.30875/188c7b5a-en
A Model of Ideal Di¤erentiation and Trade DRAFT
Ferguson, S. (2008)
Knobel, A. Y., & Chokaev, B. (2013) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2341350
Rita, R. M. S., & Leote, F. J. M. (2009) · Portuguese National Funding Agency for Science, Research and Technology (RCAAP Project by FCT)
Essays on international trade and firm dynamics
Spiegel, G. (2015) · Electronic Theses of LMU Munich (Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München) · doi:10.5282/edoc.18265
Essays on Industrial Policy and Communication
Rotemberg, M. (2015) · Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University)
Financial reforms, product differentiation, and trade
Munasib, A., & Roy, D. (2014) · Economics Letters · doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2014.01.006
Room to Move: Why Some Industries Drive the Trade-Specialization Nexus and Others Do Not
Bos, J. W. B., & Zhang, L. (2020) · Springer proceedings in business and economics · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-47106-4_12
Kitaoka, H. (2008) · KU ScholarWorks (University of Kansas)
Gius, M. P. (2006) · New York economic review
Globalization and Vertical Structure: An Empirical Investigation
Bühler, S., & Burghardt, D. (2013) · Alexandria (UniSG) (University of St.Gallen)
Recent Publications Relating To Canada
Stevenson, M. D. (2009) · Canadian Historical Review · doi:10.1353/can.0.0175
Raza, W., Tröster, B., & von Arnim, R. L. (2016) · European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies Intervention · doi:10.4337/ejeep.2016.01.08
(2019) · American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics eBooks · doi:10.2514/5.9781624105142.0001.0038
Productivity and the Role of the Global Acquisition Market
Spearot, A. C. (2008)
Guadalupe, M., & Wulf, J. M. (2007)
Globalization, Acquisitions and Endogenous Firm Structure
Qiu, L. D., & Zhou, W. (2009)
Export Intensity and Input Trade Liberalization: Evidence from
Yu, M., & Tian, W. (2013)
Feenstra, R. C. (2007)
Globalization and Firm Refocusing
Liu, R. (2004)
Evidence from a Gross National Product Function for Canada and the
Larue, B., & Gervais, J. (2010)
Baldwin, J. R., & Yan, B. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Trade Liberalization, Heterogeneous Firms and Industrial Dynamics
Zhu, M. (2011) · Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja
Essays on Development Economics
Kumler, T. (2015) · doi:10.7916/d85b019g
A new look at variation in employment growth in CanadaPreprint
Campolieti, M., Gefang, D., & Koop, G. M. (2013) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Import Competition and the Cost of CapitalPreprint
Sauvagnat, J., Loualiche, E., & Barrot, J.-N. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
The Effect of Trade Protection on Productivity in UruguayPreprint
Casacuberta, C., & Zaclicever, D. (2015) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
Essays on Firm Organization and International Trade
Chen, C. (2014) · ProQuest Demo Repository
Empirical Evaluations of Heterogeneous Firm Models: An Event Study Approach
Holger Breinlich, Y. (2010) · Econstor (Econstor)
Firms in Integrating EuropePreprint
Hansen, T. (2010) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.5282/edoc.11150
Analyzing Structural Changes and Trade Impacts in the Tomato Industry
Arguelles, P., & Maria, P. E. L. S. (2015) · OakTrust (Texas A&M University Libraries)
Year 2015-2016 - International Economics I (21213)
Willis, S. (2016)
The heterogeneous eects of trade facilitation: theory and evidence
Fergusonand, S., & Forslid, R. (2011)
Three Essays on Low-skilled Migration, Sustainability and Trade in Services
Milot, C. (2012) · uO Research (University of Ottawa) · doi:10.20381/ruor-5788
The role of environmental agreements on trade margins and investment flows
Wang, J. (2016) · SMARTech Repository (Georgia Institute of Technology)
노재확 (2015) · The Journal of International Trade & Commerce · doi:10.16980/jitc.11.6.201512.175
Metadata
- Authors
- Trefler, D.
- Affiliations
- Canadian Institute for Advanced Research (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Trefler, Daniel
- ORCID
- Trefler, Daniel
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2004-09-01
- Volume
- 94
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 870-895
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3023641402
- Cited by
- 1,071
- References
- 43
- Citations by year
- 2026: 39 · 2025: 35 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 52 · 2022: 72 · 2021: 58 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 60 · 2018: 48 · 2017: 54 · 2016: 55 · 2015: 62 · 2014: 61 · 2013: 50 · 2012: 58
- FWCI
- 57.18
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Economic Review (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Global trade and economics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Canadian Policy and Governance
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
- Keywords
- Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement, reciprocal trade agreements, tariff reduction, employment effects, industrial restructuring, displaced workers, adjustment costs, deindustrialization
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review