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Incarceration and Incapacitation: Evidence from the 2006 Italian Collective Pardon

Buonanno, Paolo, Raphael, Steven·2013·American Economic Review
DOI 10.1257/aer.103.6.2437
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Abstract

In August 2006, the Italian government released one-third of the nation's prison inmates via a national collective pardon. We test for a discontinuous break in national crime rates corresponding to the mass release. We also test for the effect of the return of the incarceration rate to its predicted steady state level on national crime rates. Finally, we exploit regional variation in prison releases based on the province of residence of pardoned inmates. All three sources of variation yield substantial incapacitation effect estimates and suggest that the crime-preventing effects of incarceration diminish with increases in the incarceration rate. (JEL K42)

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  • Much of the literature focuses on incapacitation effects, finding reductions in crime while offenders are in prison.

    “Much of this literature focuses on incapacitation effects, finding reductions in crime while offenders are in prison.”

    From Incarceration, Recidivism, and Employment (2020) · cites this paper as Buonanno and Raphael (2013)

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Authors
Buonanno, P., & Raphael, S.
Affiliations
  • University of Bergamo, Via dei Caniana 2, 24127 Bergamo, Italy.
  • University of California, Berkeley, 2607 Hearst Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720-7320.
Venue
American Economic Review
Publisher
American Economic Association
Published
2013-10-01
Volume
103
Issue
6
Pages
2437-2465
ISSN
0002-8282
DOI
10.1257/aer.103.6.2437
Cited by
66
References
1
Language
en

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