The DOI matches its Crossref record; 25 of the 25 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
CoVaR
Abstract
We propose a measure of systemic risk, Δ CoVaR, defined as the change in the value at risk of the financial system conditional on an institution being under distress relative to its median state. Our estimates show that characteristics such as leverage, size, maturity mismatch, and asset price booms significantly predict Δ CoVaR. We also provide out-of-sample forecasts of a countercyclical, forward-looking measure of systemic risk, and show that the 2006:IV value of this measure would have predicted more than one-third of realized Δ CoVaR during the 2007–2009 financial crisis. (JEL C58, E32, G01, G12, G17, G20, G32)
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Citations
Cites
Koenker, R., & Bassett, G. (1978) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913643 · Cited by 13,316
Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity
Brunnermeier, M. K., & Pedersen, L. H. (2009) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhn098 · Cited by 4,835
Self-citationChristoffersen, P. F. (1998) · International Economic Review · doi:10.2307/2527341 · Cited by 2,669
Adrian, T., & Shin, H. S. (2010) · Journal of Financial Intermediation · doi:10.1016/j.jfi.2008.12.002 · Cited by 2,527
Self-citationEconometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors
Billio, M., Getmansky, M., Lo, A. W., & Pelizzon, L. (2012) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.12.010 · Cited by 2,511
CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles
Engle, R. F., & Manganelli, S. (2004) · Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · doi:10.1198/073500104000000370 · Cited by 2,199
A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector
Brunnermeier, M. K., & Sannikov, Y. (2014) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.104.2.379 · Cited by 1,969
Self-citationCapital Shortfall: A New Approach to Ranking and Regulating Systemic Risks
Acharya, V., Engle, R., & Richardson, M. (2012) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.102.3.59 · Cited by 1,153
Financial Intermediaries and the Cross‐Section of Asset Returns
ADRIAN, T., ETULA, E., & MUIR, T. (2014) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/jofi.12189 · Cited by 837
Self-citationLorenzoni, G. (2008) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-937x.2008.00494.x · Cited by 719
Cited by
Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk*
Baruník, J., & Křehlík, T. (2018) · Journal of Financial Econometrics · doi:10.1093/jjfinec/nby001 · Cited by 1,766
Artificial Intelligence risk measurement
Giudici, P., Centurelli, M., & Turchetta, S. (2024) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2023.121220 · Cited by 181
Metadata
- Authors
- Adrian, T., & Brunnermeier, M. K.
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2016-07-01
- Volume
- 106
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 1705-1741
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4246715751
- Cited by
- 2,373
- References
- 25
- FWCI
- 261.00
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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