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Cited by 329

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Asset Pricing with Distorted Beliefs: Are Equity Returns Too Good to Be True?

Cecchetti, Stephen G, Lam, Pok-Sang, Mark, Nelson C·2000·American Economic Review

Abstract

We study a Lucas asset-pricing model that is standard in all respects, except that the representative agent's subjective beliefs about endowment growth are distorted. Using constant relative risk-aversion (CRRA) utility, with a CRRA coefficient below 10; fluctuating beliefs that exhibit, on average, excessive pessimism over expansions; and excessive optimism over contractions (both ending more quickly than the data suggest), our model is able to match the first and second moments of the equity premium and risk-free rate, as well as the persistence and predictability of excess returns found in the data. (JEL E44, G12)

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Metadata

Authors
Cecchetti, S. G., Lam, P.-S., & Mark, N. C.
Venue
American Economic Review
Published
2000-09-01
Volume
90
Issue
4
Pages
787-805
ISSN
0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3122414763
Cited by
329
References
1
FWCI
17.11
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Asset Pricing with Distorted Beliefs: Are Equity Returns Too Good to Be True? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/aer.90.4.787
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Cecchetti, S. G., Lam, P.-S., & Mark, N. C. (2000). Asset Pricing with Distorted Beliefs: Are Equity Returns Too Good to Be True? American Economic Review. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.90.4.787

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