Cited by 821Local Government Finance and DecentralizationFiscal Policy and Economic GrowthFiscal Policies and Political Economy

The DOI matches its Crossref record, with a small difference in title or year; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Anomalies: The Flypaper Effect

Open access
Hines, James R, Thaler, Richard H·1995·Journal of Economic Perspectives

Abstract

What happens to a state's spending when it receives an unconditional grant from the federal government? The standard theoretical analysis predicts that the increase in spending will be the same as that generated by an equivalent increase in local incomes--or roughly 5-10 percent for most states. In contrast, numerous empirical analyses have found that spending increases by much more, with some estimates near 100 percent. This result is known as the ’flypaper effect,’ since the money appears to ‘stick where it hits.’ The authors review this evidence as well as other studies that find similar behavior in firms.

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1257/jep.9.4.217

Cites

1 of 1 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The findings are more consistent with a 'liquidity flypaper effect' than a standard lifecycle model with liquidity constraints.

    “Our findings are more consistent with a 'liquidity flypaper effect' where additional retail liquidity through BNPL 'sticks where it hits', than a standard lifecycle model with liquidity constraints.”

    From Buy Now, Pay Later Credit: User Characteristics and Effects on Spending Patterns (2022) · cites this paper as Hines and Thaler, 1995

  • BNPL significantly tilts expenditures towards retail, attributable to a 'liquidity flypaper effect'.

    “We attribute the finding that BNPL significantly tilts expenditures towards retail to a 'liquidity flypaper effect' (Hines and Thaler, 1995), where liquidity in one expenditure category drives additional same-category expenditure.”

    From Buy Now, Pay Later Credit: User Characteristics and Effects on Spending Patterns (2022) · cites this paper as Hines and Thaler, 1995

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 20

  1. 10.1016/0304-405X(94)90009-4 · DOI
  2. Bowman John H, 1974, National Tax Journal, 27, 163, 10.1086/NTJ41861940 · DOI
  3. 10.1016/0047-2727(93)90036-S · DOI
  4. Feldstein Martin S, 1975, American Economic Review, 65, 75
  5. 10.1016/0047-2727(82)90025-1 · DOI
  6. Fisher Ronald C, 1979, National TaxJournal, 32, 173
  7. 10.1016/0094-1190(82)90021-3 · DOI
  8. 10.2307/2534084 · DOI
  9. 10.1016/0047-2727(83)90040-3 · DOI
  10. 10.2307/3325462 · DOI
  11. 10.1016/0094-1190(87)90053-2 · DOI
  12. Marshall Louise, 1991, American Economic Review, 81, 1336
  13. 10.2307/1927243 · DOI
  14. Moffitt Robert, 1984, Journal ofPublic Economics, 23, 279
  15. Olmsted George M, 1993, Journal ofPublic Economics, 52, 345
  16. Stine William F, 1994, National Tax Journal, 47, 799, 10.1086/NTJ41789109 · DOI
  17. 10.1257/jep.3.2.181 · DOI
  18. 10.1257/jep.4.1.193 · DOI · Paper page
  19. Weicher John C, 1972, National TaxJournal, 25, 573
  20. Wyckoff Paul Gary, 1991, Journal of UrbanEconomics, 30, 310

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Hines, J. R., & Thaler, R. H.
Affiliations
National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
Venue
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Published
1995-11-01
Volume
9
Issue
4
Pages
217-226
ISSN
0895-3309 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W1540194579
Cited by
821
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 40 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 42 · 2019: 28 · 2018: 40 · 2017: 43 · 2016: 43 · 2015: 28 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 36 · 2012: 36
FWCI
45.48
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • The Journal of Economic Perspectives (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Local Government Finance and Decentralization
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
Keywords
flypaper effect, state expenditures, federal grants, unconditional grants, fiscal federalism, local government spending, fiscal multipliers, intergovernmental transfers

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review