Do Conditional Cash Transfers for Schooling Generate Lasting Benefits?: A Five-Year Followup of PROGRESA/Oportunidades
Abstract
Conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs link public transfers to human capital investment in hopes of alleviating current poverty and reducing its intergenerational transmission. However, little is known about their long-term impacts. This paper evaluates longer-run impacts on schooling and work of the best-known CCT program, Mexico’s PROGRESA/Oportunidades, using experimental and nonexperimental estimators based on groups with different program exposure. The results show positive impacts on schooling, reductions in work for younger youth (consistent with postponing labor force entry), increases in work for older girls, and shifts from agricultural to nonagricultural employment. The evidence suggests schooling effects are robust with time.
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Randomized trials of conditional cash transfers, including the original Progresa launch, showed substantial improvements on conditioned indicators initially and over the medium term.
“A number of randomized trials of these programs, including the original launch of Progresa, showed that these programs led to substantial improvements on the conditioned indicators, both initially (for example, see Behrman and Todd 1999;Gertler 2004) and over the medium term (Behrman, Parker, and Todd 2011; Barham, Macours, and Maluccio 2017; Kugler and Rojas 2018; Cahyadi, Hanna, Olken, Prima, S”
From Universal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries (2018) · cites this paper as Behrman, Parker, and Todd 2011
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Universal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries
Hanna, R., & Olken, B. A. (2018) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.32.4.201 · Cited by 299 · see citing works
- Authors
- Behrman, J. R., Parker, S. W., & Todd, P. E.
- Venue
- Journal of Human Resources
- Publisher
- University of Wisconsin Press
- Published
- 2011
- Volume
- 46
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 203-236
- ISSN
- 0022-166X (ISSN-L)
- 1548-8004
- OpenAlex
- W4254878055
- Cited by
- 92
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 14.61
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Journal of Human Resources (publishedVersion)
- Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Safety Research › Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Keywords
- conditional cash transfers, PROGRESA, Oportunidades, long-term program effects, educational outcomes, labour market entry, youth employment, gender differences in employment, agricultural employment, off-farm employment, intergenerational poverty, human capital investment
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