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Resilient Royals: How Arab Monarchies Hang On
Abstract
No monarchy fell to revolution in the Arab Spring. What accounts for this monarchical exceptionalism? Analysts have argued that royal autocracies are inherently more resilient than authoritarian republics due to their cultural foundations and institutional structure. By contrast, this paper leverages comparative analysis to offer a different explanation emphasizing deliberate regime strategies made in circumstances of geographic fortuity. The mobilization of cross-cutting coalitions, hydrocarbon wealth, and foreign patronage account for the resilience of monarchical dictatorships in the Middle East. Without these factors, kingships are just as vulnerable to overthrow as any other autocracy—something that history indicates, given the long list of deposed monarchies in the region over the past half-century.
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“The Gulf regimes thus closed ranks to collectively address a shared threat to stability and regime survival, as a realist reading of these events would have anticipated (Yom and Gause 2012).”
From Regionalism and Alliances in the Middle East, 2011-2021: From a “Flash in the Pan” of Regional Cooperation to Liquid Alliances (2024) · cites this paper as Yom and Gause 2012
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The intra-GCC crises: mapping GCC fragmentation after 2011
Bianco, C., & Stansfield, G. (2018) · International Affairs · doi:10.1093/ia/iiy025 · Cited by 64
Del Sarto, R. A., & Soler i Lecha, E. (2024) · Geopolitics · doi:10.1080/14650045.2023.2268542 · Cited by 28
“18 The Gulf regimes thus closed ranks to collectively address a shared threat to stability and regime survival, as a realist reading of these events would have anticipated (Yom and Gause 2012).”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Yom, S. L., & Gause, F. G.
- Venue
- Journal of Democracy
- Publisher
- Project MUSE
- Published
- 2012-10
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 74-88
- ISSN
- 1045-5736 (ISSN-L)
- 1086-3214
- OpenAlex
- W2044841334
- Cited by
- 305
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 20 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 43 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 48 · 2018: 39 · 2017: 19 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 17 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 16 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 48.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of democracy (publishedVersion)
- Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Middle East and Rwanda Conflicts
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Middle East Politics and Society
- Keywords
- Arab monarchies, regime resilience, Arab Spring, Middle East, authoritarianism
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