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Economic And Demographic Trends Signal An Impending Physician Shortage
Abstract
It is widely believed that the United States is producing too many physicians. We have approached this issue by developing a new model for workforce planning based on assessments of the macrotrends that underlie the supply and use of physician services. These trends include economic expansion, population growth, physicians' work effort, and the provision of services by nonphysician clinicians. Contrary to earlier predictions, this model projects that the United States soon will have a shortage of physicians and that if the pace of medical education remains unchanged, the shortage will become more severe. A dialogue focused on that eventuality is imperative.
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Citations
Cited by
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STARFIELD, B., SHI, L., & MACINKO, J. (2005) · The Milbank Quarterly · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0009.2005.00409.x · Cited by 5,507
Physician wellness: a missing quality indicator
Wallace, J. E., Lemaire, J. B., & Ghali, W. A. (2009) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(09)61424-0 · Cited by 1,608
Fisher, E. S., Wennberg, D. E., Stukel, T. A., Gottlieb, D. J., Lucas, F. L., & Pinder, É. L. (2003) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-138-4-200302180-00006 · Cited by 1,539
Automated Early Detection of Diabetic Retinopathy
Abràmoff, M. D., Reinhardt, J. M., Russell, S. R., Folk, J. C., Mahajan, V. B., Niemeijer, M., & Quellec, G. (2010) · Ophthalmology · doi:10.1016/j.ophtha.2010.03.046 · Cited by 287
The Clinical Endocrinology Workforce: Current Status and Future Projections of Supply and Demand
Vigersky, R. A., Fish, L., Hogan, P., Stewart, A., Kutler, S., Ladenson, P. W., McDermott, M., & Hupart, K. H. (2014) · The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism · doi:10.1210/jc.2014-2257 · Cited by 238
Metadata
- Authors
- Cooper, R. A., Getzen, T. E., McKee, H. J., & Laud, P.
- Venue
- Health Affairs
- Publisher
- Health Affairs Publishing, LLC
- Published
- 2002-01
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 140-154
- ISSN
- 0278-2715 (ISSN-L)
- 1544-5208
- OpenAlex
- W2043715819
- Cited by
- 477
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 51.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Cooper, R. A., Getzen, T. E., McKee, H. J., & Laud, P. (2002). Economic And Demographic Trends Signal An Impending Physician Shortage. Health Affairs. https://doi.org/10.1377/hlthaff.21.1.140
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
