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State "Death" Taxes and Elderly Migration—The Chicken or the Egg?
Abstract
Researchers and practitioners hypothesize that the elderly may move to avoid paying "death" (estate, inheritance and gift, or EIG) taxes. Past research on elderly migration, however, has been based on cross-sectional data. Cross-sectional analyses may be misleading as many states that are historical net-importers of the elderly were also among the first to reduce or eliminate their EIG taxes. Using time variability in migration patterns and EIG tax policies and using the young as a "control" group eliminates any evidence that EIG policies affect elderly migration. Rather, we provide evidence that the causality may instead run in the other direction.
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“In the United States, Bakija and Slemrod (2004) and Conway and Rork (2006) find that high inheritance and estate taxes have statistically significant, but modest, negative impacts on the number of federal estate tax returns filed in a state.”
From Taxation and Migration: Evidence and Policy Implications (2020) · cites this paper as Conway and Rork (2006)
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No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 38
- The Five, pick-up
- One, 2005, Connecticut eliminated its incremental estate tax as of
- However, 1979, its EIG tax policy was constructed in such a way that there was no incremental EIG tax burden except between 1977 and
- Specifically, 1980, the 1970 census migration information is based on a 15 percent sample
- The, 1962, The $100,000-499,999 range in 2000 translates into $21,569-107,845
- Because, thus, we have less concern about endogeneity, we report the results defining elderly migration as a percent of the elderly population
- Specifically, 1990, 1970 the average net in-migration rate for no incremental EIG states was 6.08 compared to -0.071 for EIG states. In 1980
- 2003, Conway and Houtenville (1998, 2001
- We, pickup
- 1990, the results from two years - 1980 and
- Several, 1970, The 1980 results strongly suggest that high EIG taxes discourage elderly migration, whereas the 1990 results suggest little impact. This trend holds more generally
- The, 1986, same-sign
- Standard, 1980, State and year fixed effects included
- demand-side
- Very, same sign
- 2001, are implicitly being compared with those of all others. As outlined in Conway and Houtenville
- Lemeshow Hosmer, 1999, caused
- We, 2000, As a practical matter, many of the variables are not available more recently than
- Standard, State and year fixed effects are included
- 1991, Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277, 10.2307/2297968 · DOI · Paper page
- Working Paper No NBER, 10645
- 1990, Public Choice, 67, 87, 10.1007/BF01890159 · DOI
- 1998, Public Choice, 97, 663, 10.1023/A:1004908701365 · DOI
- "Elderly Migration and State Fiscal Policy: Evidence from the 1990 Census Migration Flows." National Tax Journal 54No.1(March,
- "Elderly Internal Migration in the United States Revisited." Public Finance Review 28
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- "Bequest Taxes, Inter Vivos Gifts and the Bequest Motive." Journal of Public Economics
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- "Unanswered Questions and New Directions in Research on Elderly Migration: Economic and Demographic Perspectives." Journal of Aging and Social Policy 4No.3/4
- "The Costs and Returns of Human Migration." Journal of Political Economy 70No.5
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- Standard, Year fixed effects are included
Cited by
Taxation and Migration: Evidence and Policy Implications
Kleven, H., Landais, C., Muñoz, M., & Stantcheva, S. (2020) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.34.2.119 · Cited by 226
Metadata
- Authors
- Conway, K. S., & Rork, J. C.
- Venue
- National Tax Journal
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 2006-03-01
- Volume
- 59
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 97-128
- ISSN
- 0028-0283 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-7477
- OpenAlex
- W2252943167
- Cited by
- 72
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2025: 2 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 3 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 3 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 8.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- National Tax Journal (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Migration, Aging, and Tourism Studies
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Fiscal Studies
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
- Keywords
- elderly migration, estate tax, inheritance tax, gift tax, state tax policy, tax avoidance, reverse causality
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- Conway, K. S., & Rork, J. C. (2006). State "Death" Taxes and Elderly Migration—The Chicken or the Egg? National Tax Journal. https://doi.org/10.17310/ntj.2006.1.05
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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